Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 20, 2011

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $20.0400 (0.3%) ($19.8400 - $20.2100) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $20.0400(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(44%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(39%)    XLY(32%)    QQQ(31%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.25(-38.87%)
Resistance Level   $21.17
5 Day Moving Average   $20.27(-1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.44(-1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.17(-5.34%)
To recent high   -20.3%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $11.885b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 4.2% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.74%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.03%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -11.54%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.5%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -18.6%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2011	21.29	21.17	20.44		20.19	20.04	20.04(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-60	-5	-130	2.26	57%	-0.05	-58.1	2.18%	0	-1.3	25	0
2	Jun_17_2011	21.3	21.29	20.56	20.27	20.36	20.16	19.98(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-60	-8	-141	5.42	57%	-0.05	-64.8	2.18%	0	-1.5	32	0
3	Jun_16_2011	21.31	21.41	20.8	20.33	20.39	20.35	20.12(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-0	-13	-130	2.36	54%	-0.09	-75.4	2.18%	0	-1.5	40	0
4	Jun_15_2011	21.33	21.49	21.06	20.49	20.46	20.56	20.4(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	30	-3	-98	2.19	54%	-0.09	-86.2	2.22%	0	-1.3	43	0
5	Jun_14_2011	21.35	21.58	21.27	20.58	20.59	20.44	20.8(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-50	-3	-83	3.04	54%	0	-100.6	2.22%	0	-1	44	0

6	Jun_13_2011	21.35	21.7	21.43	20.65	20.67	20.37	20.07(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-100	-23	-77	2.96	52%	-0.09	-98.1	2.18%	0	-2	38	0
7	Jun_10_2011	21.37	21.88	21.64	20.9	20.92	20.75	20.25(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-50	-29	-68	4.92	52%	-0.05	-90.6	2.17%	0	-1.9	32	0
8	Jun_9_2011	21.38	22.08	21.78	21.34	21.26	20.96	20.93(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-110	-25	-47	5.21	54%	-0.05	-68.9	2.13%	0	-1.3	35	0
9	Jun_8_2011	21.39	22.21	21.85	21.73	21.63	21.09	20.86(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-190	-31	-26	4.04	54%	0	-55.1	2.13%	0	-1.5	45	0
10	Jun_7_2011	21.39	22.38	21.93	22.06	22.08	21.56	21.15(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-160	-30	-8	3.93	54%	-0.05	-38.9	2.13%	0	-1.3	43	0

11	Jun_6_2011	21.4	22.53	21.98	22.33	22.38	22.17	21.3(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-60	-18	-4	4.68	54%	0.05	-32	2.15%	0	-1.3	36	0
12	Jun_3_2011	21.39	22.67	22.09	22.48	22.52	22.6	22.46(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	30	12	4	5.24	59%	0.05	-29.5	2.05%	0	-0.2	38	0
13	Jun_2_2011	21.38	22.72	22.08	22.28	22.35	22.59	22.86(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	80	21	-30	3.32	59%	0.05	-37.7	2.04%	0	0.1	37	0
14	Jun_1_2011	21.37	22.73	21.95	21.99	22.04	22.44	22.52(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	130	20	-76	4.4	59%	-0.05	-50.2	2.03%	0	-0.2	40	0
15	May_31_2011	21.38	22.76	21.9	21.8	21.83	22.11	22.5(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	90	24	-113	3.21	59%	-0.05	-60.1	2.07%	0	-0.3	36	0

16	May_27_2011	21.39	22.85	21.95	21.59	21.61	21.65	22.05(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-38	20	-1	-150	5.17	59%	-0.05	-61.9	2.07%	0	-0.7	34	0
17	May_26_2011	21.4	22.96	22.1	21.66	21.59	21.56	21.47(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-20	-12	-155	3.58	57%	0	-64	2.06%	0	-1.4	30	0
18	May_25_2011	21.4	23.1	22.37	21.85	21.8	21.58	21.41(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-80	-5	-132	3.47	57%	-0.05	-64.2	2.08%	0	-1.6	36	0
19	May_24_2011	21.41	23.24	22.59	21.9	21.92	21.63	21.57(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-90	-15	-128	2.76	60%	0	-65.5	2.08%	0	-1.7	41	0
20	May_23_2011	21.41	23.38	22.86	22	21.98	22.03	21.45(-4.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	10	-19	-109	5.91	60%	0.09	-61.1	2.16%	0	-2.1	39	0

21	May_20_2011	21.39	23.54	23.14	22.35	21.99	22.21	22.4(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	20	-9	-88	1.78	65%	0.05	-49	2.13%	0	-1.4	37	0
22	May_19_2011	21.38	23.68	23.3	22.62	22.26	21.94	22.41(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-150	-18	-78	3.24	65%	0.09	-26.2	2.15%	0	-1.5	37	0
23	May_18_2011	21.36	23.79	23.42	22.99	22.75	21.77	21.65(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-50	-330	-42	-72	3.57	63%	0.05	-3.8	2.13%	0	-2.6	32	0
24	May_17_2011	21.35	23.91	23.59	23.39	23.28	22.57	22.09(-4.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-55	-230	-53	-61	9.71	63%	0.05	22.8	2.12%	0	-2.8	35	0
25	May_16_2011	21.34	23.96	23.73	23.84	23.83	23.74	23.18(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-30	-17	-30	4.01	68%		51.7	2.04%	0	-1.4	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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