Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $20.0700 (2.35%) ($19.5600 - $20.3400) on Thu. Feb. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.18% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $20.0700(2.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(44%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(39%)    XLY(33%)    QQQ(32%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.59% (StdDev 3.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.62(-27.15%)
Resistance Level   $20.83
5 Day Moving Average   $20.3(-1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.5(-2.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.83(-3.65%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $11.903b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 3.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.61%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.21%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.79%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.84%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2011	22.5	20.83	20.5	20.3	20	19.86	20.07(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-90	-9	-23	6.49	43%	-0.18	-44	3.18%	0	-1.2	50	NAN
2	Feb_16_2011	22.54	20.9	20.58	20.43	20.31	19.97	19.61(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-130	-11	-24	7.87	43%	-0.22	-42.5	3.17%	0	-2	36	NAN
3	Feb_15_2011	22.59	21	20.69	20.65	20.5	20.15	20.04(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-140	-12	-27	8.09	41%	-0.18	-49.4	3.17%	0	-1.7	34	NAN
4	Feb_14_2011	22.63	21.07	20.8	20.75	20.65	20.64	20.32(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-20	-9	-27	30.22	41%	-0.13	-58.7	3.19%	0	-1.4	41	NAN
5	Feb_11_2011	22.66	21.07	20.83	20.89	20.76	20.85	21.48(3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	10	8	-20	9.61	47%	-0.04	-66.8	3.13%	0	0.7	50	NAN

6	Feb_10_2011	22.67	21.12	20.72	20.74	20.72	20.65	20.68(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-30	-2	-42	5.44	44%	-0.09	-83.1	3.13%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
7	Feb_9_2011	22.69	21.17	20.8	20.77	20.77	20.67	20.75(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-30	-1	-40	3.69	44%	-0.04	-85.9	3.13%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
8	Feb_8_2011	22.7	21.28	20.94	20.74	20.76	20.79	20.5(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	10	-6	-37	6.99	44%	-0.09	-64.8	3.13%	0	-1.2	42	NAN
9	Feb_7_2011	22.72	21.39	21.06	20.86	20.82	20.87	21.05(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	10	5	-26	1.59	44%	0	-43.3	3.11%	0	-0.5	46	NAN
10	Feb_4_2011	22.72	21.45	21.09	20.77	20.8	20.74	20.73(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-20	3	-29	2.1	44%	-0.04	-34.7	3.11%	0	-1	49	NAN

11	Feb_3_2011	22.73	21.54	21.17	20.68	20.73	20.76	20.8(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	20	-8	-39	3.09	40%	-0.04	-25.1	3.11%	0	-1	44	NAN
12	Feb_2_2011	22.74	21.62	21.24	20.84	20.84	20.87	20.61(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	10	-10	-34	2.61	40%	0	-10.8	3.23%	0	-1.4	41	NAN
13	Feb_1_2011	22.74	21.7	21.33	21.18	21.12	20.69	21.11(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-150	-8	-30	3.74	40%	-0.04	10.4	3.22%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
14	Jan_31_2011	22.75	21.7	21.37	21.3	21.41	20.81	20.58(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-180	-19	-39	3.67	40%	0	14.9	3.2%	0	-1.6	32	NAN
15	Jan_28_2011	22.75	21.69	21.43	21.46	21.65	21.56	20.32(-5.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-0	-14	-39	6.6	42%	0	16.4	3.21%	0	-1.9	37	NAN

16	Jan_27_2011	22.75	21.72	21.57	21.71	21.7	22	21.6(-3.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	100	7	-28	5.66	45%	0.09	24.5	3.13%	0	-0.2	41	NAN
17	Jan_26_2011	22.73	21.69	21.58	21.67	21.58	21.73	22.29(2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	40	11	-33	3.61	45%	0.09	25.6	3.12%	0	0.8	49	NAN
18	Jan_25_2011	22.71	21.63	21.64	21.51	21.58	21.41	21.73(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-20	1	-40	3.7	45%	-0.04	24.9	3.1%	0	0.1	45	NAN
19	Jan_24_2011	22.72	21.59	21.73	21.47	21.42	21.42	21.38(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10	2	-26	5.59	45%	0	25.1	3.11%	0	-0.3	58	NAN
20	Jan_21_2011	22.72	21.57	21.82	21.4	21.4	21.44	21.54(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	10	0	-15	4.08	45%	0	25.3	3.11%	0	-0	64	NAN

21	Jan_20_2011	22.72	21.55	21.92	21.41	21.36	21.42	21.4(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	10	-2	-1	3.65	45%	0.04	26.5	3.12%	0	-0.2	58	NAN
22	Jan_19_2011	22.71	21.51	22.02	21.48	21.43	21.36	21.5(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-5	-30	-10	11	4.52	44%	0.04	36.4	3.13%	0	-0	56	NAN
23	Jan_18_2011	22.7	21.45	22.09	21.79	21.65	21.29	21.52(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-140	-15	34	6.65	44%	0.13	34	3.15%	0	0.1	56	NAN
24	Jan_14_2011	22.67	21.41	22.04	22.05	22.08	21.5	21.05(-2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-180	-18	47	7.17	46%	0.04	30.3	3.15%	0	-0.4	54	NAN
25	Jan_13_2011	22.66	21.38	21.99	22.29	22.37	22	21.57(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-110	-18	56	7.87	47%		28.1	3.14%	0	0.2	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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