Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 22, 2010

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $21.1100 (3.08%) ($20.4300 - $21.2200) on Wed. Dec. 22, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.05% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $21.1100(3.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(43%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    QQQ(32%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.525% (StdDev 3.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $10.27(-51.35%)
Resistance Level   $21.7
5 Day Moving Average   $20.54(2.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.96(0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.7(-2.72%)
To recent high   -19.1%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $12.52b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 5.53% (three month std-dev: 3.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.75%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.7%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2010	22.46	21.7	20.96	20.54	20.51	20.63	21.11(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	40	7	-75	4.67	50%	0.04	-57.1	3.05%	0	-0.5	47	0
2	Dec_21_2010	22.45	21.8	21.03	20.49	20.41	20.63	20.48(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	-20	8	-75	3.38	48%	0.04	-55.7	3.03%	0	-1.1	48	0
3	Dec_20_2010	22.44	21.96	21.28	20.25	20.43	20.38	20.16(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	10	-16	-87	5.19	48%	0	-60	3.02%	0	-1.5	44	0
4	Dec_17_2010	22.44	22.13	21.48	20.68	20.55	20.44	20.54(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-60	-19	-77	11.18	48%	0	-53.4	3.02%	0	-1.3	39	0
5	Dec_16_2010	22.44	22.28	21.65	21.08	21.1	20.47	20.39(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-210	-19	-69	5.99	48%	0.04	-50.3	3.02%	0	-1.6	37	0

6	Dec_15_2010	22.43	22.41	21.82	21.44	21.58	20.65	20.86(7.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-280	-29	-72	17.07	48%	0.04	-47.5	3.01%	0	-1.4	37	0
7	Dec_14_2010	22.42	22.51	21.89	21.66	21.99	21.72	19.32(-13.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-53	-40	-42	-86	23.5	42%	0	-48.8	2.84%	0	-3.1	33	0
8	Dec_13_2010	22.42	22.72	22.18	22.42	22.41	22.51	22.27(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	30	5	-53	3.69	54%	0.09	-45.4	2.31%	0	-0.6	42	0
9	Dec_10_2010	22.4	22.8	22.26	22.4	22.46	22.27	22.57(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-50	4	-60	3.3	54%	0.13	-43.7	2.35%	0	-0.3	42	0
10	Dec_9_2010	22.37	22.88	22.34	22.31	22.37	22.3	22.2(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10	-5	-67	2.91	54%	0.13	-41.7	2.36%	0	-0.9	43	0

11	Dec_8_2010	22.34	22.94	22.51	22.27	22.31	22.66	21.93(-5.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	120	11	-54	6.78	54%	0.09	-48.5	2.35%	0	-1.3	45	0
12	Dec_7_2010	22.32	23.02	22.63	22.15	22.14	22.44	23.12(4.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	90	23	-55	5.37	59%	0.22	-69.4	2.26%	0	0.1	54	0
13	Dec_6_2010	22.27	23.05	22.66	21.91	21.91	21.96	22.16(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	20	-7	-81	1.47	56%	0.18	-89.6	2.24%	0	-1.1	43	0
14	Dec_3_2010	22.23	23.13	22.81	22.12	21.99	21.84	22.13(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-70	-16	-74	2.65	56%	0.18	-98.2	2.26%	0	-1.3	37	0
15	Dec_2_2010	22.19	23.22	22.93	22.4	22.36	21.86	22(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-160	-27	-72	5.92	59%	0.14	-100.6	2.27%	0	-1.6	35	0

16	Dec_1_2010	22.16	23.33	23.04	22.8	22.8	22.13	21.36(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-41	-210	-36	-55	9.3	57%	0.14	-99	2.3%	0	-2.8	39	0
17	Nov_30_2010	22.13	23.56	23.19	23.17	23.25	22.87	21.89(-5.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-100	-28	-38	5.46	59%	0.18	-74.9	2.29%	0	-2.1	40	0
18	Nov_29_2010	22.09	23.77	23.34	23.49	23.46	23.46	23.2(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-0	-9	-17	3.18	66%	0.23	-59.2	2.17%	0	-0.7	46	0
19	Nov_26_2010	22.04	23.9	23.41	23.59	23.51	23.64	23.54(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	30	6	-3	1.31	66%	0.5	-47.3	2.2%	0	-0.4	48	0
20	Nov_24_2010	21.93	23.99	23.47	23.54	23.53	23.46	24.02(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-20	12	1	2.98	58%	0.37	-47.3	2.18%	0	0	51	0

21	Nov_23_2010	21.85	24.04	23.4	23.33	23.41	23.38	23.2(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	0	-1	-26	2.59	56%	0.05	-49.9	2.29%	0	-0.8	40	0
22	Nov_22_2010	21.84	24.16	23.43	23.23	23.37	23.6	23.5(-0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	90	8	-54	2.84	56%	0.23	-46.6	2.3%	0	-0.6	29	0
23	Nov_19_2010	21.79	24.28	23.43	23.16	23.21	23.44	23.69(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	80	5	-82	2.11	56%	0.23	-46	2.32%	0	-0.5	30	0
24	Nov_18_2010	21.74	24.37	23.45	23.21	23.18	23.15	23.3(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10	-6	-106	3.11	56%	0.18	-42.5	2.31%	0	-0.9	26	0
25	Nov_17_2010	21.7	24.48	23.5	23.41	23.33	22.98	22.95(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-120	-10	-113	3.43	56%		-34.2	2.3%	0	-1.4	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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