Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $24.2900 (3.54%) ($23.2800 - $24.6200) on Mon. Sep. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.36% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $24.2900(3.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(43%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    QQQ(32%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.68% (StdDev 3.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.87(6.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.26(9.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.52(12.87%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   48%
Market Cap   $14.406b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 4.83% (three month std-dev: 3.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.47%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.6%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.71%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.15%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.36%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.92%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2010	20.01	21.52	22.26	22.87	22.8	23.5	24.29(3.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	50	210	30	110	6.04	50%	0.4	74.3	3.36%	0	2.7	87	0
2	Sep_24_2010	19.93	21.33	21.96	22.4	22.31	22.6	23.46(4.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	80	20	88	4.34	47%	0.35	75.8	3.34%	0	2.6	72	0
3	Sep_23_2010	19.86	21.15	21.67	22.03	22	22.1	22.42(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	30	7	61	3.66	42%	0.25	69	3.31%	0	1.8	59	0
4	Sep_22_2010	19.81	21	21.45	21.84	21.9	22.02	22.19(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	50	7	50	2.46	42%	0.2	52.9	3.31%	0	1.6	66	0
5	Sep_21_2010	19.77	20.86	21.26	21.71	21.74	21.9	22(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	60	8	45	2.74	49%	0.15	37.9	3.34%	0	1.5	68	0

6	Sep_20_2010	19.74	20.78	21.11	21.55	21.58	21.78	21.92(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	70	7	35	2.05	49%	0.2	37.1	3.47%	0	1.6	60	0
7	Sep_17_2010	19.7	20.72	21.02	21.45	21.47	21.58	21.61(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	40	10	35	2.69	49%	0.15	43.3	3.47%	0	1.3	59	0
8	Sep_16_2010	19.67	20.67	21	21.25	21.33	21.38	21.48(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	30	10	39	1.21	49%	0.1	40.3	3.47%	0	1.3	65	0
9	Sep_15_2010	19.65	20.62	20.91	20.99	21.07	21.35	21.52(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	100	10	36	2.13	55%	0.15	36.4	3.48%	0	1.5	68	0
10	Sep_14_2010	19.62	20.57	20.78	20.74	20.84	21.27	21.23(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	160	13	33	1.82	57%	0.1	27.9	3.6%	0	1.2	68	0

11	Sep_13_2010	19.6	20.52	20.73	20.6	20.58	20.78	21.41(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	13	70	8	26	3.12	57%	0.1	12.5	3.63%	0	1.6	56	0
12	Sep_10_2010	19.58	20.44	20.64	20.54	20.46	20.4	20.59(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-30	-7	16	1.31	55%	0.05	-0.8	3.6%	0	0.3	47	0
13	Sep_9_2010	19.57	20.42	20.58	20.72	20.71	20.38	20.21(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-110	-6	20	2.77	55%	0.15	0.8	3.61%	0	-0.4	48	0
14	Sep_8_2010	19.54	20.4	20.52	20.81	20.86	20.52	20.27(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-110	-8	15	2.86	55%	0.05	-3.5	3.61%	0	-0.2	48	0
15	Sep_7_2010	19.53	20.42	20.52	20.8	20.93	21.04	20.5(-3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	60	-3	7	3.23	55%	0.1	3.1	3.6%	0	0.2	49	0

16	Sep_3_2010	19.51	20.42	20.44	20.85	20.85	21.2	21.14(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	120	10	17	2.51	52%	0.05	13.7	3.61%	0	1.2	58	0
17	Sep_2_2010	19.5	20.45	20.42	20.75	20.67	20.81	21.5(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	40	14	23	5.96	55%	0.1	18.3	3.62%	0	1.8	62	0
18	Sep_1_2010	19.48	20.41	20.31	20.44	20.53	20.51	20.63(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	10	8	10	4.02	52%	0.1	14.2	3.64%	0	0.4	56	0
19	Aug_31_2010	19.46	20.42	20.3	20.2	20.32	20.53	20.25(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	90	7	4	5.13	52%	0.05	12.3	3.66%	0	-0.3	56	0
20	Aug_30_2010	19.45	20.4	20.34	20.01	20.04	20.55	20.73(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	6	180	9	-3	2.65	52%	0.05	2.2	3.67%	0	0.6	51	0

21	Aug_27_2010	19.44	20.37	20.28	19.97	19.76	20.11	20.66(3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	0	90	5	-14	4.62	57%	0.05	1.9	3.69%	0	0.5	44	0
22	Aug_26_2010	19.43	20.37	20.21	20.05	19.84	19.52	19.93(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-140	-4	-23	5.95	57%	0.05	5.1	3.8%	0	-0.7	38	0
23	Aug_25_2010	19.42	20.34	20.23	20.18	20.08	19.42	19.45(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-240	-19	-30	4.41	57%	-0.05	10.9	3.79%	0	-1.5	36	0
24	Aug_24_2010	19.43	20.35	20.28	20.41	20.42	20.17	19.27(-6.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-20	-80	-17	-27	5.74	57%	-0.05	27.6	3.79%	0	-1.9	36	0
25	Aug_23_2010	19.44	20.39	20.42	20.68	20.72	20.75	20.54(-2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	2	20	3	-2	3.13	61%		48.2	3.72%	0	0.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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