Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $21.0000 (0.72%) ($20.8600 - $21.5200) on Thu. Aug. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.42% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $21.0000(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(43%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    XLY(33%)    QQQ(32%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -2.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.21% (StdDev 4.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.37(3.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.13(4.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.42(8.14%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   28%
Market Cap   $12.454b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 4.94% (three month std-dev: 4.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.88%(75%) Average negative next day return: -5.47%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.59%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -8.46%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 7.22%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.98%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2010	19.3	19.42	20.13	20.37	20.38	20.76	21(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	130	15	53	5.88	58%	0.16	69.4	4.42%	0	1.6	75	0
2	Aug_4_2010	19.27	19.25	19.99	20.11	20.08	20.11	20.85(5.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	10	8	49	6.52	58%	0.1	56	4.44%	0	1.6	72	0
3	Aug_3_2010	19.25	19.07	19.81	19.86	19.9	20.01	19.74(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	40	-0	42	4.07	56%	0.05	38.1	4.39%	0	0.6	65	0
4	Aug_2_2010	19.24	18.92	19.78	19.87	19.86	20.04	20.13(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	60	4	52	3.49	56%	0.05	16.6	4.38%	0	1.1	71	0
5	Jul_30_2010	19.23	18.85	19.64	19.83	19.81	19.78	20.13(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	0	56	2.66	55%	0.05	3	4.42%	0	1.3	75	0

6	Jul_29_2010	19.22	18.78	19.45	19.85	19.85	19.68	19.7(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-60	-3	56	2.68	55%	0	-9.7	4.43%	0	0.9	63	0
7	Jul_28_2010	19.22	18.73	19.33	19.86	19.92	19.84	19.6(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-20	1	65	2.75	55%	0	-26.6	4.43%	0	0.9	68	0
8	Jul_27_2010	19.22	18.68	19.22	19.74	19.87	20.02	19.77(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	70	3	72	4.34	53%	0	-46.4	4.43%	0	1.2	72	0
9	Jul_26_2010	19.22	18.74	19.08	19.68	19.67	20	19.93(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	120	11	88	3.86	53%	0.05	-48.1	4.46%	0	1.1	77	0
10	Jul_23_2010	19.21	18.82	18.86	19.4	19.42	19.73	20.25(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	110	16	71	3.68	53%	0.05	-44.1	4.47%	0	1.1	56	0

11	Jul_22_2010	19.2	18.87	18.66	19	19.05	19.35	19.73(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	120	11	51	3.92	55%	0.1	-47.4	4.46%	0	0.6	55	0
12	Jul_21_2010	19.18	18.98	18.45	18.74	18.76	19.1	19.01(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	130	8	31	2.31	54%	0	-44.4	4.49%	0	0	52	0
13	Jul_20_2010	19.18	19.12	18.27	18.63	18.52	18.76	19.46(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	70	10	17	4.25	54%	0	-40.7	4.49%	0	0.2	54	0
14	Jul_19_2010	19.18	19.27	17.97	18.41	18.37	18.42	18.57(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	10	6	-26	3.66	50%	-0.05	-33.2	4.45%	0	-0.4	36	0
15	Jul_16_2010	19.19	19.4	18	18.24	18.29	18.28	18.24(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	0	-1	-55	2.59	50%	0	-30.4	4.49%	0	-0.6	32	0

16	Jul_15_2010	19.19	19.55	18.04	18.26	18.21	18.33	18.41(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	40	5	-70	2.98	50%	0	-24.2	4.5%	0	-0.6	34	0
17	Jul_14_2010	19.19	19.71	18.07	18.1	18.16	18.3	18.47(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	60	10	-96	2.8	50%	0.05	-18.7	4.51%	0	-0.6	32	0
18	Jul_13_2010	19.18	19.85	18.09	17.85	17.94	18.1	18.37(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	80	13	-124	4.99	50%	0	-15.7	4.51%	0	-0.8	34	0
19	Jul_12_2010	19.18	19.93	18.36	17.46	17.57	18.02	17.7(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	200	-4	-153	5.57	50%	0.05	-18.2	4.49%	0	-1.2	27	0
20	Jul_9_2010	19.17	20.01	18.76	17.73	17.52	17.78	18.36(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	70	4	-138	5.33	49%	0	-14.1	4.47%	0	-0.9	40	0

21	Jul_8_2010	19.17	20.04	19.08	17.81	17.75	17.12	17.62(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-260	-10	-140	9.31	49%	0	-14.9	4.45%	0	-1.3	36	0
22	Jul_7_2010	19.17	20.09	19.54	18.05	18.05	17.26	17.2(4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-310	-24	-134	15.58	49%	0	-16	4.44%	0	-1.6	32	0
23	Jul_6_2010	19.17	20.16	20.04	18.37	18.65	18.37	16.41(-13.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-60	-31	-123	43.31	47%	-0.05	-13.9	4.4%	0	-2.1	30	0
24	Jul_2_2010	19.18	20.16	20.71	19.36	19	18.83	19.04(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-120	-21	-74	2.28	53%	0.1	-2.8	4.02%	0	-0.8	51	0
25	Jul_1_2010	19.16	20.28	20.95	19.96	19.68	18.92	18.8(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-310	-23	-39	6.13	54%		3.1	4.04%	0	-0.9	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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