Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TCOM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: TCOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2006 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Trip.com Group Limited)
TCOM latest price $22.9000 (7.66%) ($22.1800 - $23.5000) on Mon. Jun. 21, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.77% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $22.9000(7.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCOM advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCOM advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(43%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    XLY(33%)    QQQ(32%)
Factors Impacting TCOM price   TCOM will decline at least -1.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.885% (StdDev 3.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.66(5.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.28(12.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.7(16.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   39.1%
Market Cap   $13.581b

Trip.com Group Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. TCOM price fluctuates within 6.75% (three month std-dev: 3.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 4.43%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.38%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -5.23%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.68%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.3%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2010	18.75	19.7	20.28	21.66	21.73	21.98	22.9(7.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	90	28	131	10.75	60%	0.37	64.9	3.77%	0	2.4	71	NAN
2	Jun_18_2010	18.68	19.46	19.79	21.02	21.18	21.42	21.27(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	100	16	89	3.96	57%	0.27	57.3	3.67%	0	1.6	59	NAN
3	Jun_17_2010	18.63	19.27	19.52	20.55	20.71	21.48	21.3(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	280	28	60	4.8	57%	0.27	34.4	3.67%	0	1.8	54	NAN
4	Jun_16_2010	18.58	19.14	19.3	20.01	19.96	20.93	21.61(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	330	39	44	6.29	57%	0.32	18.6	3.68%	0	2.4	65	NAN
5	Jun_15_2010	18.52	19	19.1	19.32	19.24	19.94	21.2(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	31	240	35	20	9.81	57%	0.27	2.9	3.68%	0	2.6	64	NAN

6	Jun_14_2010	18.47	18.87	18.86	18.72	18.71	18.99	19.7(3.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	11	100	19	-14	5.15	54%	0.22	-18.6	3.57%	0	1.2	57	NAN
7	Jun_11_2010	18.43	18.83	18.84	18.4	18.41	18.53	18.95(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	50	4	-25	4.81	53%	0.11	-15.9	3.54%	0	0.2	56	NAN
8	Jun_10_2010	18.41	18.89	18.96	18.33	18.36	18.44	18.59(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	40	-4	-10	8.15	53%	0.05	3.7	3.53%	0	-0.4	60	NAN
9	Jun_9_2010	18.4	18.96	18.98	18.49	18.49	18.3	18.14(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-70	-13	-8	9.65	53%	0	23.2	3.51%	0	-1.1	47	NAN
10	Jun_8_2010	18.4	18.97	19.03	18.85	18.81	18.28	18.2(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-200	-14	7	3.97	53%	0	37.7	3.52%	0	-1	47	NAN

11	Jun_7_2010	18.4	19	19.1	19.02	19.13	18.69	18.11(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-12	-140	-20	11	2.54	53%	0	45.6	3.53%	0	-1.2	47	NAN
12	Jun_4_2010	18.4	18.93	19.14	19.34	19.34	19.33	18.62(-3.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-0	-14	24	3.28	54%	0	38.3	3.53%	0	-0.3	49	NAN
13	Jun_3_2010	18.4	18.86	19.05	19.66	19.54	19.57	19.39(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10	7	27	6.14	54%	0.11	36.6	3.51%	0	0.5	45	NAN
14	Jun_2_2010	18.38	18.78	19.01	19.52	19.56	19.34	19.95(4.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-70	7	12	2.65	53%	0.11	26.8	3.53%	0	1.2	49	NAN
15	Jun_1_2010	18.36	18.7	18.9	19.25	19.39	19.51	19.02(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	70	1	2	3.42	51%	0.05	17.3	3.5%	0	0.3	56	NAN

16	May_28_2010	18.35	18.67	18.89	19.19	19.08	19.77	19.7(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	240	18	9	2.84	51%	0.05	10.4	3.48%	0	1.1	58	NAN
17	May_27_2010	18.34	18.59	18.81	18.92	18.76	19.28	20.25(8.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	170	34	22	4.49	51%	0.11	-2.4	3.49%	0	1.8	70	NAN
18	May_26_2010	18.32	18.51	18.78	18.36	18.27	18.39	18.7(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	30	2	9	2.79	49%	-0.05	-22.2	3.36%	0	0.2	62	NAN
19	May_25_2010	18.33	18.52	18.9	18.42	18.04	18.24	18.57(-0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	20	-3	30	4.88	49%	0.05	-15.5	3.4%	0	0.1	56	NAN
20	May_24_2010	18.32	18.53	18.88	18.5	18.23	18.15	18.74(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-70	2	37	3.04	49%	0	-10.9	3.4%	0	0.2	54	NAN

21	May_21_2010	18.32	18.57	18.87	18.55	18.38	17.84	18.32(4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-230	-14	35	5.21	49%	0.05	-3.9	3.34%	0	-0.3	51	NAN
22	May_20_2010	18.31	18.62	18.71	18.68	18.65	18.32	17.48(-8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-17	-130	-30	21	6.92	46%	-0.05	-1.2	3.32%	0	-1.3	49	NAN
23	May_19_2010	18.32	18.7	18.7	19.25	19.02	18.92	19(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-70	-11	48	3.67	50%	0.05	12	3.18%	0	0.3	52	NAN
24	May_18_2010	18.31	18.65	18.58	19.45	19.36	18.99	18.98(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-150	2	55	3.31	50%	0	9.9	3.19%	0	0.4	51	NAN
25	May_17_2010	18.31	18.63	18.5	19.3	19.47	19.11	18.96(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-100	-6	39	5.76	50%		1.3	3.2%	0	0.4	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.