Trading Signals: TCEHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: TCEHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 13, 2011 - Mon. Jul. 12, 2021)

(Tencent Holdings Limited)
TCEHY latest price $28.8700 (-0.07%) ($28.5600 - $28.9300) on Thu. Mar. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $28.8700(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCEHY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCEHY advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCEHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(60%)    KWEB(58%)    FXI(53%)    EEM(43%)    VWO(43%)
Factors Impacting TCEHY price   TCEHY will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    SHY(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    TIP(-9%)    BND(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.44(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.71(4.19%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   24.9%
Market Cap   $273.546b

Tencent Holdings Ltd. is an investment company, which engages in the provision of value-added services and online advertising services. It operates through the following segments: Value-Added Services, Online Advertising, and Others. The Value-added Services segment involves online and mobile games, community value-added services, and applications across various Internet and mobile platforms. The Online Advertising segment represents display based and performance based advertisements. The Other segment consists of trademark licensing, software development services, software sales, and other services. The company was founded by Yi Dan Chen, Hua Teng Ma, Chen Ye Xu, Li Qing Zeng, and Zhi Dong Zhang in 1998 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

$. TCEHY price fluctuates within 3.21% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2017	25.83	27.71	28.44	29			28.87(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10000	4	185	0.95	79%	0.12	50.8	1.2%	0	1.3	73	0
2	Mar_22_2017	25.8	27.64	28.25	28.93			28.89(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	57	-10000	12	192	1.6	75%	0.12	55.5	1.2%	0	1.5	75	0
3	Mar_21_2017	25.77	27.56	28.08	28.72			29.12(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	-10000	18	178	1.72	75%	0.08	59.9	1.23%	0	2	70	0
4	Mar_20_2017	25.75	27.46	27.89	28.4			29.56(3.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	57	-10000	21	166	1.32	78%	0.12	59.4	1.2%	0	2.9	77	0
5	Mar_17_2017	25.72	27.34	27.62	28.04			28.57(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	15	136	0.73	76%	0.08	70.7	1.13%	0	2.3	64	0

6	Mar_16_2017	25.7	27.27	27.43	27.8			28.52(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	44	-10000	22	108	1.25	76%	0.04	76.9	1.14%	0	2.7	63	0
7	Mar_15_2017	25.69	27.17	27.22	27.46			27.85(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	8	50	1.79	74%	0.04	75.7	1.13%	0	1.8	52	0
8	Mar_14_2017	25.68	27.09	27.13	27.33			27.51(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	3	25	0.85	69%	-0.04	63.6	1.13%	0	1.1	49	0
9	Mar_13_2017	25.69	27.04	27.03	27.29			27.74(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	10	9	0.88	71%	0	54.1	1.15%	0	1.8	53	0
10	Mar_10_2017	25.69	26.96	26.96	27.14			27.38(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	8	-12	0.56	64%	0	40.5	1.2%	0	1.1	50	0

11	Mar_9_2017	25.69	26.92	26.92	27.01			26.83(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-4	-10000	4	-29	1.18	62%	0	30.2	1.19%	0	-0.2	44	0
12	Mar_8_2017	25.69	26.9	26.99	26.94			27.2(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	3	-25	0.86	65%	-0.04	19.9	1.17%	0	0.7	58	0
13	Mar_7_2017	25.7	26.85	26.99	26.89			27.28(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	9	-8	0.84	65%	0.04	17.5	1.18%	0	1	65	0
14	Mar_6_2017	25.69	26.82	27.01	26.74			26.99(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3	-10000	-1	-10	0.54	65%	0	14	1.18%	0	0.4	61	0
15	Mar_3_2017	25.69	26.82	27.04	26.76			26.76(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-4	8	0.61	65%	0	18.5	1.19%	0	-0.1	60	0

16	Mar_2_2017	25.69	26.8	27.09	26.83			26.47(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-13	25	0.75	61%	-0.04	24.8	1.19%	0	-0.8	52	0
17	Mar_1_2017	25.7	26.81	27.13	27.04			26.93(1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-7	57	0.73	65%	-0.04	46.4	1.19%	0	0.3	62	0
18	Feb_28_2017	25.71	26.78	27.07	27.15			26.56(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	10	-10000	-10	69	0.73	63%	-0.04	56.5	1.17%	0	-0.5	57	0
19	Feb_27_2017	25.72	26.76	27.06	27.31			27.08(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-3	87	0.27	67%	-0.04	71.4	1.14%	0	0.7	58	0
20	Feb_24_2017	25.73	26.73	26.99	27.36			27.11(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	22	-10000	-1	91	0.5	67%	-0.04	83.9	1.14%	0	0.8	60	0

21	Feb_23_2017	25.74	26.69	26.93	27.38			27.5(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	10	97	0.92	67%	0	97.6	1.14%	0	1.8	66	0
22	Feb_22_2017	25.74	26.62	26.81	27.23			27.48(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	16	75	1.24	67%	-0.04	96.8	1.16%	0	2	63	0
23	Feb_21_2017	25.75	26.54	26.69	26.98			27.37(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	13	51	0.76	67%	-0.12	87.4	1.16%	0	2.1	70	0
24	Feb_17_2017	25.78	26.45	26.61	26.77			27.33(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	14	38	0.33	67%	0	65.1	1.16%	0	2	70	0
25	Feb_16_2017	25.78	26.35	26.53	26.56			27.23(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	12	-10000	10	19	0.61	67%		52.2	1.16%	0	2.1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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