Trading Signals: TCEHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: TCEHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 13, 2011 - Mon. Jul. 12, 2021)

(Tencent Holdings Limited)
TCEHY latest price $23.0900 (1.76%) ($22.7900 - $23.1500) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $23.0900(1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCEHY advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCEHY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCEHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(62%)    KWEB(59%)    FXI(55%)    EEM(46%)    VWO(45%)
Factors Impacting TCEHY price   TCEHY will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    IPO(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.35(3.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.15(4.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.17(4.15%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $218.78b

Tencent Holdings Ltd. is an investment company, which engages in the provision of value-added services and online advertising services. It operates through the following segments: Value-Added Services, Online Advertising, and Others. The Value-added Services segment involves online and mobile games, community value-added services, and applications across various Internet and mobile platforms. The Online Advertising segment represents display based and performance based advertisements. The Other segment consists of trademark licensing, software development services, software sales, and other services. The company was founded by Yi Dan Chen, Hua Teng Ma, Chen Ye Xu, Li Qing Zeng, and Zhi Dong Zhang in 1998 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

$. TCEHY price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2016	20.22	22.17	22.15	22.35			23.09(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	8	-10000	12	-4	1.14	67%	0.25	89.9	1.59%	0	2	61	0
2	Jun_22_2016	20.17	22.08	22.08	22.13			22.69(2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	6	-18	0.69	66%	0.2	88.7	1.58%	0	1.4	59	0
3	Jun_21_2016	20.13	21.99	22.07	22.02			22.22(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	9	-17	1.16	64%	0.2	77.6	1.56%	0	0.5	55	0
4	Jun_20_2016	20.09	21.92	22.12	21.87			22.02(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	4	-26	0.92	64%	0.15	57.7	1.56%	0	0.2	47	0
5	Jun_17_2016	20.06	21.84	22.17	21.8			21.74(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-7	-29	1.03	67%	0.15	52.6	1.56%	0	-0.2	48	0

6	Jun_16_2016	20.03	21.77	22.17	21.92			21.98(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-6	-3	0.52	67%	0.2	51.4	1.62%	0	0.3	62	0
7	Jun_15_2016	19.99	21.69	22.21	22.03			22.13(2.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-6	18	1.16	67%	0.2	53	1.62%	0	0.5	62	0
8	Jun_14_2016	19.95	21.62	22.19	22.14			21.5(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-15	40	0.68	67%	0.15	59.8	1.59%	0	-0.1	60	0
9	Jun_13_2016	19.92	21.58	22.28	22.4			21.65(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	17	-10000	-10	96	0.96	67%	0.2	73	1.61%	0	0.1	67	0
10	Jun_10_2016	19.88	21.5	22.32	22.58			22.34(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	-10000	3	147	0.93	74%	0.25	72.6	1.6%	0	0.9	77	0

11	Jun_9_2016	19.83	21.38	22.21	22.52			22.54(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	-10000	7	166	0.4	74%	0.3	70	1.6%	0	1.2	83	0
12	Jun_8_2016	19.77	21.25	22.09	22.4			22.66(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	-10000	8	176	0.21	74%	0.25	70.1	1.59%	0	1.4	79	0
13	Jun_7_2016	19.72	21.12	21.92	22.25			22.8(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	-10000	6	167	0.43	74%	0.15	70.2	1.6%	0	1.8	70	0
14	Jun_6_2016	19.69	20.97	21.7	22.15			22.54(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	-10000	6	157	1.17	74%	0.25	68.5	1.62%	0	1.7	69	0
15	Jun_3_2016	19.64	20.83	21.48	22.04			22.08(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	50	-10000	11	165	1.21	73%	0.26	68.2	1.6%	0	1.5	74	0

16	Jun_2_2016	19.59	20.71	21.28	21.85			21.92(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10000	8	152	0.57	73%	0.26	57.4	1.6%	0	1.5	73	0
17	Jun_1_2016	19.54	20.59	21.12	21.72			21.9(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	11	147	1.4	75%	0.21	49.4	1.6%	0	1.6	68	0
18	May_31_2016	19.5	20.48	21	21.53			22.3(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	-10000	21	146	1.65	76%	0.31	39.1	1.61%	0	2.4	72	0
19	May_27_2016	19.44	20.37	20.82	21.17			22(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	-10000	18	124	0.93	78%	0.26	31.8	1.64%	0	2.7	73	0
20	May_26_2016	19.39	20.27	20.6	20.86			21.13(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	14	95	1.43	76%	0.1	16.5	1.58%	0	1.8	66	0

21	May_25_2016	19.37	20.24	20.47	20.63			21.25(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	12	75	0.88	76%	0.1	2.2	1.59%	0	2.2	70	0
22	May_24_2016	19.35	20.2	20.35	20.43			20.98(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	3	61	0.55	76%	0.1	-15.9	1.58%	0	1.9	68	0
23	May_23_2016	19.33	20.2	20.26	20.39			20.5(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-3	64	0.31	70%	0.05	-27.7	1.56%	0	0.8	61	0
24	May_20_2016	19.32	20.18	20.18	20.43			20.42(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	7	61	0.59	71%	0.05	-35.9	1.6%	0	0.6	50	0
25	May_19_2016	19.31	20.19	20.13	20.31			20(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	12	-10000	3	40	0.77	70%		-46.2	1.59%	0	-0.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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