Trading Signals: TCEHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: TCEHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 13, 2011 - Mon. Jul. 12, 2021)

(Tencent Holdings Limited)
TCEHY latest price $20.0800 (-0.2%) ($19.9600 - $20.1600) on Wed. May. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $20.0800(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCEHY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCEHY declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCEHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(62%)    KWEB(59%)    FXI(55%)    EEM(46%)    VWO(46%)
Factors Impacting TCEHY price   TCEHY will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    IPO(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.3(-28.78%)
Resistance Level   $20.46
5 Day Moving Average   $19.89(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.99(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.46(-1.86%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $190.26b

Tencent Holdings Ltd. is an investment company, which engages in the provision of value-added services and online advertising services. It operates through the following segments: Value-Added Services, Online Advertising, and Others. The Value-added Services segment involves online and mobile games, community value-added services, and applications across various Internet and mobile platforms. The Online Advertising segment represents display based and performance based advertisements. The Other segment consists of trademark licensing, software development services, software sales, and other services. The company was founded by Yi Dan Chen, Hua Teng Ma, Chen Ye Xu, Li Qing Zeng, and Zhi Dong Zhang in 1998 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

$. TCEHY price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2016	19.27	20.46	19.99	19.89			20.08(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	7	-74	0.35	74%	0.05	-37.9	1.5%	0	-0.6	36	0
2	May_10_2016	19.26	20.53	20.04	19.79			20.12(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	5	-94	0.44	74%	0	-38.4	1.52%	0	-0.7	33	0
3	May_9_2016	19.26	20.56	20.1	19.71			19.75(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-36	-10000	-8	-120	0.51	68%	0.05	-37.3	1.51%	0	-1.4	22	0
4	May_6_2016	19.25	20.6	20.17	19.83			19.87(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0.15	64%	0	-33.1	1.55%	0	-1.3	22	0
5	May_5_2016	19.25	20.64	20.26	19.92			19.61(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-13	-124	0.37	64%	0	-30.5	1.56%	0	-1.9	26	0

6	May_4_2016	19.25	20.7	20.38	20.12			19.59(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-38	-10000	-13	-114	0.53	64%	0	-22	1.56%	0	-2.3	24	0
7	May_3_2016	19.25	20.76	20.54	20.32			19.74(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-10000	-13	-99	0.56	64%	0.05	-8.8	1.56%	0	-2.3	25	0
8	May_2_2016	19.24	20.78	20.7	20.53			20.36(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-1	-68	0.43	66%	0.1	-2.1	1.51%	0	-1.1	46	0
9	Apr_29_2016	19.22	20.79	20.81	20.55			20.3(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-6	-51	0.37	68%	0.05	-1.6	1.52%	0	-1.3	50	0
10	Apr_28_2016	19.21	20.81	20.91	20.65			20.6(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-2	-28	0.25	68%	0.05	9.3	1.54%	0	-0.6	54	0

11	Apr_27_2016	19.2	20.81	20.98	20.69			20.61(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-6	-15	0.24	63%	0.1	11.5	1.55%	0	-0.5	52	0
12	Apr_26_2016	19.18	20.8	21.05	20.79			20.77(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10000	-7	6	0.37	63%	0.05	16.9	1.59%	0	-0.1	53	0
13	Apr_25_2016	19.17	20.79	21.06	20.91			20.47(-1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-12	29	0.52	63%	0.05	27.7	1.59%	0	-0.8	61	0
14	Apr_22_2016	19.16	20.8	21.08	21.12			20.82(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-4	56	0.18	69%	0.05	44.1	1.57%	0	0.1	56	0
15	Apr_21_2016	19.15	20.77	21.05	21.19			20.8(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-6	60	0.29	69%	0.1	47.7	1.66%	0	0.1	55	0

16	Apr_20_2016	19.13	20.76	21.04	21.29			21.08(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-3	76	0.92	65%	0.05	64.5	1.65%	0	0.8	60	0
17	Apr_19_2016	19.12	20.73	21.01	21.35			21.39(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	7	89	0.32	68%	0.05	83.9	1.69%	0	1.7	65	0
18	Apr_18_2016	19.11	20.68	20.87	21.23			21.52(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	11	70	0.48	68%	0.1	91.1	1.73%	0	2.3	64	0
19	Apr_15_2016	19.09	20.63	20.76	21.03			21.17(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	7	49	0.22	64%	0.1	105.8	1.74%	0	1.7	60	0
20	Apr_14_2016	19.07	20.58	20.7	20.9			21.3(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	8	42	0.37	66%	0.05	128.1	1.78%	0	2.4	67	0

21	Apr_13_2016	19.06	20.5	20.61	20.76			21.37(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	13	-10000	8	28	0.59	62%	0.05	122.4	1.79%	0	2.7	62	0
22	Apr_12_2016	19.05	20.4	20.51	20.62			20.77(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	9	15	0.42	61%	0.05	119.1	1.81%	0	1.1	53	0
23	Apr_11_2016	19.04	20.35	20.48	20.62			20.52(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	0	-0	0.31	59%	0	108.5	1.8%	0	0.5	54	0
24	Apr_8_2016	19.04	20.29	20.49	20.62			20.52(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	0	-0	0.35	59%	0.05	94.2	1.81%	0	0.5	50	0
25	Apr_7_2016	19.03	20.21	20.46	20.46			20.62(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	2	0	0.45	55%		71.2	1.81%	0	0.8	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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