Trading Signals: TCEHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: TCEHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 13, 2011 - Mon. Jul. 12, 2021)

(Tencent Holdings Limited)
TCEHY latest price $15.0500 (3.65%) ($14.8200 - $15.1100) on Fri. Dec. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $15.0500(3.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TCEHY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TCEHY declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TCEHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(60%)    EEM(51%)    VWO(51%)    QQQ(41%)    EWY(39%)
Factors Impacting TCEHY price   TCEHY will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-16%)    BND(-11%)    TIP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $5(-66.78%)
Resistance Level   $15.09
5 Day Moving Average   $14.3(5.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.49(3.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.09(-0.27%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $142.6b

Tencent Holdings Ltd. is an investment company, which engages in the provision of value-added services and online advertising services. It operates through the following segments: Value-Added Services, Online Advertising, and Others. The Value-added Services segment involves online and mobile games, community value-added services, and applications across various Internet and mobile platforms. The Online Advertising segment represents display based and performance based advertisements. The Other segment consists of trademark licensing, software development services, software sales, and other services. The company was founded by Yi Dan Chen, Hua Teng Ma, Chen Ye Xu, Li Qing Zeng, and Zhi Dong Zhang in 1998 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

$. TCEHY price fluctuates within 4.97% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2014	15.76	15.09	14.49	14.3			15.05(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-19	-10000	9	-103	0.39	50%	-0.06	-70	1.98%	0	-0.1	43	0
2	Dec_18_2014	15.77	15.14	14.51	14.17			14.52(4.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-35	-10000	-1	-136	0.66	47%	-0.13	-74.8	1.93%	0	-0.8	28	0
3	Dec_17_2014	15.79	15.21	14.58	14.19			13.89(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-50	-10000	-11	-165	0.39	43%	-0.19	-75.8	1.84%	0	-1.7	13	0
4	Dec_16_2014	15.82	15.34	14.72	14.34			13.89(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-52	-10000	-14	-165	1.47	43%	-0.19	-75.7	1.84%	0	-1.9	18	0
5	Dec_15_2014	15.85	15.48	14.89	14.53			14.13(-2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-49	-10000	-13	-157	0.27	43%	-0.13	-70.1	1.83%	0	-1.9	19	0

6	Dec_12_2014	15.87	15.64	15.02	14.71			14.44(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-50	-10000	-14	-158	0.72	45%	-0.06	-53.7	1.81%	0	-1.6	19	0
7	Dec_11_2014	15.88	15.75	15.17	14.9			14.62(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-42	-10000	-9	-139	0.27	45%	-0.13	-45.7	1.81%	0	-1.6	27	0
8	Dec_10_2014	15.9	15.83	15.33	15.02			14.62(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-10	-122	0.34	43%	-0.06	-43.9	1.81%	0	-1.8	31	0
9	Dec_9_2014	15.91	15.93	15.48	15.16			14.82(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-11	-112	0.35	43%	-0.06	-37.3	1.81%	0	-1.8	29	0
10	Dec_8_2014	15.92	16	15.62	15.31			15.05(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-5	-104	0.31	41%	-0.06	-31.4	1.81%	0	-1.7	27	0

11	Dec_5_2014	15.93	16.04	15.75	15.38			15.41(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-8	-116	0.26	43%	0	-32.7	1.82%	0	-1.2	24	0
12	Dec_4_2014	15.93	16.08	15.82	15.49			15.22(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-15	-117	0.32	43%	-0.06	-26.2	1.82%	0	-1.8	35	0
13	Dec_3_2014	15.94	16.13	15.9	15.7			15.31(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-10000	-10	-97	0.23	45%	-0.06	-12.8	1.82%	0	-1.9	43	0
14	Dec_2_2014	15.95	16.16	16	15.85			15.57(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-8	-84	0.34	45%	0	-2	1.83%	0	-1.4	42	0
15	Dec_1_2014	15.95	16.18	16.11	15.97			15.38(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-26	-10000	-13	-66	0.25	45%	0	13.7	1.82%	0	-2.1	44	0

16	Nov_28_2014	15.95	16.18	16.3	16.16			15.99(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-2	-14	0.16	48%	0	39.4	1.76%	0	-0.6	54	0
17	Nov_26_2014	15.95	16.21	16.37	16.19			16.25(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	4	3	0.28	48%	0.06	44.3	1.75%	0	0.1	54	0
18	Nov_25_2014	15.94	16.18	16.36	16.13			16.06(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.3	48%	0	45.1	1.74%	0	-0.3	52	0
19	Nov_24_2014	15.94	16.17	16.4	16.17			16.15(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-10000	-9	11	0.34	48%	0	49.2	1.74%	0	-0	56	0
20	Nov_21_2014	15.94	16.12	16.41	16.29			16.35(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-13	30	0.37	47%	0	58.2	1.74%	0	0.5	58	0

21	Nov_20_2014	15.94	16.08	16.37	16.48			16.13(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-7	52	0.33	48%	0	77.4	1.74%	0	0.1	52	0
22	Nov_19_2014	15.94	16.05	16.36	16.58			15.98(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	16	-10000	-2	71	0.29	48%	0.06	88.5	1.75%	0	-0.1	54	0
23	Nov_18_2014	15.93	16.01	16.37	16.61			16.26(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-10000	-3	84	0.83	48%	0.06	89.3	1.73%	0	0.5	59	0
24	Nov_17_2014	15.92	15.96	16.34	16.65			16.72(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	7	101	0.37	50%	0.06	88.6	1.7%	0	1.3	65	0
25	Nov_14_2014	15.91	15.86	16.25	16.55			17.32(4.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	45	-10000	22	112	1.02	50%		81.6	1.65%	0	2.4	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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