Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 9, 2021

Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury)
TBT latest price $20.6300 (-2.6%) ($20.6000 - $20.8500) on Tue. Mar. 9, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $20.6300(-2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TBT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TBT advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    XLE(16%)    XOP(15%)    OIH(14%)    USO(14%)
Factors Impacting TBT price   TBT will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-99%)    VCIT(-81%)    TIP(-69%)    BND(-57%)    LQD(-51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV -1.5 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.86(-1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.59(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.89(3.72%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   26.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TBT price fluctuates within 4.73% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(49%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(51%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 3.14%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -2.61%(41%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 4.38%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.27%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2021	17.48	19.89	20.59	20.86		20.87	20.63(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-0	1	111	5.34	65%	0.29	73.4	1.66%	-1.5	0.8	67	1.2
2	Mar_8_2021	17.43	19.78	20.54	20.78	20.88	21	21.18(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	50	18	129	6.94	69%	0.35	72.9	1.61%	1	1.4	68	0.4
3	Mar_5_2021	17.37	19.64	20.43	20.59	20.7	20.89	20.86(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	80	22	135	7.47	66%	0.29	74.6	1.63%	0.6	1.3	71	0.6
4	Mar_4_2021	17.32	19.51	20.31	20.34	20.54	20.77	20.95(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	110	10	131	8.37	69%	0.29	71.9	1.64%	1.4	1.5	74	-0.4
5	Mar_3_2021	17.27	19.36	20.14	20.36	20.36	20.52	20.68(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	60	8	153	5.96	66%	0.29	79.6	1.67%	1	1.4	75	0.3

6	Mar_2_2021	17.22	19.22	19.98	20.3	20.44	20.32	20.23(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	44	-20	4	162	4.23	66%	0.23	81	1.67%	-0.5	1.1	69	1
7	Mar_1_2021	17.18	19.09	19.89	20.27	20.51	20.2	20.23(3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	-70	-8	175	4.97	68%	0.23	80.3	1.68%	-0.5	1.2	69	1
8	Feb_26_2021	17.14	18.96	19.75	20.23	20.46	20.57	19.63(-6.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	40	70	-7	182	11.43	63%	0.23	79.4	1.67%	-1.9	0.7	63	0.5
9	Feb_25_2021	17.1	18.85	19.63	20.25	20.41	20.81	21.02(3.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	97	160	48	245	18.6	73%	0.23	75.5	1.43%	1.7	2.2	83	0.2
10	Feb_24_2021	17.06	18.65	19.34	19.89	20.06	20.36	20.37(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	81	130	39	208	6.1	72%	0.29	69.6	1.38%	0.9	1.9	81	1.4

11	Feb_23_2021	17.01	18.49	19.13	19.62	19.73	20.02	20.12(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	120	27	184	4.67	72%	0.24	63.9	1.39%	1.3	1.9	82	1.3
12	Feb_22_2021	16.97	18.35	18.95	19.46	19.47	19.76	20.03(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	110	34	186	6.23	72%	0.24	61	1.4%	1.8	2.1	83	1.1
13	Feb_19_2021	16.93	18.22	18.78	19.2	19.3	19.45	19.7(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	71	70	36	176	4.65	68%	0.24	57.7	1.41%	1.5	2.1	81	1.5
14	Feb_18_2021	16.89	18.12	18.63	18.92	19.06	19.17	19.21(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	60	24	158	5.13	66%	0.24	56	1.39%	0.5	1.7	80	1.3
15	Feb_17_2021	16.85	18.03	18.52	18.69	18.79	19.16	19.05(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	150	23	150	3.94	66%	0.24	47.2	1.4%	0.5	1.8	81	1.4

16	Feb_16_2021	16.81	17.95	18.39	18.55	18.57	18.95	19.29(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	67	150	39	151	4.26	66%	0.3	40.9	1.4%	1.4	2.5	83	1.2
17	Feb_12_2021	16.76	17.87	18.21	18.36	18.31	18.43	18.74(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	45	40	15	133	2.32	58%	0.24	37.4	1.34%	1.7	2	80	1.5
18	Feb_11_2021	16.72	17.82	18.1	18.31	18.24	18.18	18.29(1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-30	-1	116	1.83	55%	0.18	40.6	1.39%	1.3	1.2	61	1.3
19	Feb_10_2021	16.69	17.77	18.01	18.31	18.28	18.2	18.1(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-30	-4	108	1.81	55%	0.12	42.1	1.38%	-1.4	0.9	56	1
20	Feb_9_2021	16.67	17.76	17.93	18.3	18.3	18.31	18.32(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	0	8	108	1.88	60%	0.18	59.1	1.38%	0.3	1.5	65	1.1

21	Feb_8_2021	16.64	17.74	17.82	18.19	18.24	18.37	18.36(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	60	17	88	3.94	60%	0.18	72.6	1.47%	0.6	1.8	65	1.1
22	Feb_5_2021	16.61	17.7	17.71	18.03	18.11	18.29	18.5(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	80	23	61	4.21	62%	0.18	85.6	1.49%	2.1	2.5	64	1.1
23	Feb_4_2021	16.58	17.66	17.62	17.85	17.91	18.12	18.21(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	90	23	36	2.53	55%	0.12	108.2	1.48%	1.1	2.1	56	1.1
24	Feb_3_2021	16.56	17.62	17.57	17.68	17.77	17.92	18.12(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	22	70	23	20	3.38	55%	0.18	119.8	1.58%	1.6	2.2	62	0.7
25	Feb_2_2021	16.53	17.55	17.5	17.5	17.61	17.71	17.77(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	60	13	-14	1.41	53%		81.2	1.56%	1	0.8	46	-0.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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