Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TBT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury)
TBT latest price $43.9300 (0.55%) ($43.2100 - $44.4000) on Wed. Dec. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $43.9300(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TBT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TBT declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(33%)    XOP(28%)    XLE(27%)    IVE(26%)    OIH(26%)
Factors Impacting TBT price   TBT will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-98%)    TIP(-68%)    VCIT(-64%)    BND(-63%)    LQD(-51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $40.26(-8.35%)
Resistance Level   $43.98
5 Day Moving Average   $43.3(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.67(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.98(-0.11%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TBT price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2015	44.3	43.98	43.67	43.3			43.93(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	2	-23	2.98	46%	-0.07	-76.1	1.61%	0	-0.1	47	0
2	Dec_15_2015	44.33	44.06	43.58	43.24			43.69(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	1	-39	1.57	50%	-0.05	-78.2	1.62%	0	-0.4	44	0
3	Dec_14_2015	44.35	44.15	43.52	43.21			43.19(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-2	-53	1.89	50%	-0.07	-78.7	1.68%	0	-1	42	0
4	Dec_11_2015	44.38	44.26	43.62	43.29			42.16(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-10000	-13	-61	2.39	47%	-0.09	-79.2	1.65%	0	-2.2	33	0
5	Dec_10_2015	44.42	44.47	43.86	43.75			43.53(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-10	-43	0.56	51%	-0.09	-64.6	1.61%	0	-1.1	42	0

6	Dec_9_2015	44.46	44.61	43.95	44.1			43.64(0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-4	-10000	4	-28	1.37	51%	-0.09	-41.3	1.62%	0	-1	38	0
7	Dec_8_2015	44.5	44.74	44.05	43.96			43.53(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	-10000	3	-41	1.67	54%	-0.13	-36.7	1.62%	0	-1.2	36	0
8	Dec_7_2015	44.56	44.89	44.17	43.86			43.6(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-3	-55	2.05	54%	-0.09	-26.9	1.66%	0	-1.3	35	0
9	Dec_4_2015	44.6	45.02	44.3	43.98			44.44(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-0	-54	1.73	57%	-0.11	-13.1	1.66%	0	-0.6	40	0
10	Dec_3_2015	44.65	45.04	44.32	43.99			45.27(5.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-13	-10000	4	-63	3.21	60%	-0.09	-10.5	1.66%	0	0.2	41	0

11	Dec_2_2015	44.69	45.01	44.3	43.83			42.94(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-31	-10000	-10	-94	1.05	53%	-0.18	-6.8	1.51%	0	-2.1	8	0
12	Dec_1_2015	44.77	45.11	44.56	44.18			43.06(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-28	-10000	-9	-84	2.41	53%	-0.18	13.8	1.53%	0	-2.3	12	0
13	Nov_30_2015	44.85	45.17	44.83	44.5			44.18(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-22	-10000	-4	-76	1.08	57%	-0.13	33.7	1.5%	0	-1.3	14	0
14	Nov_27_2015	44.91	45.15	44.97	44.64			44.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-74	0.24	57%	-0.16	39.2	1.5%	0	-0.8	29	0
15	Nov_25_2015	44.98	45.14	45.12	44.69			44.48(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-5	-61	0.72	65%	-0.09	42.8	1.57%	0	-0.7	50	0

16	Nov_24_2015	45.02	45.08	45.32	44.85			44.68(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-5	-39	0.76	65%	-0.09	42.6	1.62%	0	-0.4	55	0
17	Nov_23_2015	45.06	44.98	45.49	45.02			44.67(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-5	-20	1.61	65%	0	39.3	1.62%	0	-0.3	54	0
18	Nov_20_2015	45.06	44.9	45.68	45.21			44.91(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-4	9	0.69	62%	-0.13	42	1.62%	0	0	63	0
19	Nov_19_2015	45.12	44.83	45.8	45.34			44.71(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-7	32	1.36	62%	-0.15	43.8	1.64%	0	-0.1	65	0
20	Nov_18_2015	45.19	44.73	45.83	45.62			45.28(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-7	50	0.95	62%	-0.09	47.6	1.65%	0	0.4	62	0

21	Nov_17_2015	45.23	44.61	45.78	45.87			45.51(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-4	76	1.75	62%	-0.09	54.2	1.66%	0	0.6	73	0
22	Nov_16_2015	45.27	44.52	45.71	46.04			45.64(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-5	102	0.93	62%	-0.13	59.2	1.66%	0	0.8	75	0
23	Nov_13_2015	45.33	44.39	45.55	46.22			45.55(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	29	-10000	-3	123	1.38	62%	-0.13	62.3	1.66%	0	0.8	72	0
24	Nov_12_2015	45.39	44.25	45.37	46.33			46.12(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-10000	7	139	1.47	62%	-0.09	61.1	1.65%	0	1.3	71	0
25	Nov_11_2015	45.43	44.08	45.18	46.06			46.52(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	10	143	0.72	58%		52.7	1.65%	0	1.8	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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