Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: TBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury)
TBT latest price $50.6600 (1.04%) ($50.3000 - $51.1700) on Fri. Dec. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $50.6600(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TBT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(34%)    XLE(28%)    XOP(28%)    IVE(27%)    OIH(26%)
Factors Impacting TBT price   TBT will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-98%)    TIP(-70%)    BND(-65%)    LQD(-53%)    BNDX(-49%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.69(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.82(-0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TBT price fluctuates within 0% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2014	51.78		50.82	50.69			50.66(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	7	3	3.48	36%	-0.14	0	1.02%	0	45.6	38	0
2	Dec_4_2014	51.85		50.99	50.52			50.14(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-4	-2	1.55	31%	-0.19	0	1%	0	45.2	31	0
3	Dec_3_2014	51.95		51.27	50.52			50.96(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	0	0	1.64	36%	-0.12	0	0.98%	0	48.1	33	0
4	Dec_2_2014	52.01		51.41	50.61			51.33(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-4	-10000	-4	-2	2.35	36%	-0.08	0	1%	0	48.4	36	0
5	Dec_1_2014	52.05		51.53	50.7			50.36(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-14	-6	2.16	23%	-0.25	0	0.85%	0	46.6	25	0

6	Nov_28_2014	52.18		51.75	51			49.8(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-23	-10000	-27	-11	1.21	13%	-0.34	0	0.77%	0	48.8	50	0
7	Nov_26_2014	52.36		52.07	51.54			50.62(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-25	-10	2.14	16%	-0.27	0	0.73%	0	62.5	50	0
8	Nov_25_2014	52.5		52.34	52.01			50.93(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-13	-10000	-15	-6	1.87	16%	-0.28	0	0.76%	0	77.2	50	0
9	Nov_24_2014	52.65		52.56	52.31			51.79(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-10	-4	1.99	21%	-0.15	0	0.67%	0	107.9	50	0
10	Nov_21_2014	52.73		52.71	52.48			51.84(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.89	21%	-0.19	0	0.71%	0	126.4	50	0

11	Nov_20_2014	52.83		52.71	52.6			52.52(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-5	-2	1.94	28%	-0.08	0	0.65%	0	175.1	50	0
12	Nov_19_2014	52.87		52.71	52.69			52.99(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-3	-10000	-3	-1	1.86	35%	0.04	0	0.63%	0	176.6	50	0
13	Nov_18_2014	52.85		52.71	52.73			52.4(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-12	-5	1.08	0%	-0.15	0	0.43%	0	163.8	50	0
14	Nov_17_2014	52.93		52.71	52.87			52.64(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-9	-4	1.47	0%	-0.09	0	0.46%	0	188	50	0
15	Nov_14_2014	52.98		52.71	52.98			52.47(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.9	1000	-10000	1176	470	1.46	0%	-0.24	0	0.42%	0	194.3	50	0

16	Nov_13_2014	53.11		52.71	42.49			52.96(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	104.7	2015	-10000	2371	948	1.97	0%	-0.09	0	0.28%	0	529.6	50	0
17	Nov_12_2014	53.16		52.71	31.9			53.2(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	355	3545	-10000	4171	1668	2.02	0%	0.02	0	0.24%	0	886.7	50	0
18	Nov_11_2014	53.15		52.71	21.26			53.08(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	530.3	0	-10000	0	0	0.9	0%	-0.11	0	0%	0	884.7	50	0
19	Nov_10_2014	53.21		52.71	10.64			53.21(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	1.86	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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