Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 10, 2010 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited)
TAK latest price $23.2600 (0.43%) ($23.2000 - $23.2700) on Tue. Jun. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $23.2600(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TAK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TAK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TAK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWJ(49%)    VT(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLV(38%)    EWG(37%)
Factors Impacting TAK price   TAK will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(1%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.22(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.14(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.86(1.75%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $72.715b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. It operates through the following segments: Prescription Drug, Consumer Healthcare, and Other. The Prescription Drugs segment includes the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the manufacture and sale of OTC drugs and quasi-drugs. The Other segment includes manufacture and sale of reagents, clinical diagnostics, and chemical products. The company was founded by Takeda Chobei on June 12, 1781 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

$. TAK price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2014	23	22.86	23.14	23.22			23.26(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	5	66	0.01	37%	0	71.1	1%	0	1.2	75	0
2	Jun_16_2014	23	22.81	23.09	23.16			23.16(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	2	63	0.05	37%	0	60.8	1%	0	1	73	0
3	Jun_13_2014	23	22.77	23.06	23.14			23.27(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	3	65	0.02	37%	0	60.8	1.01%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Jun_12_2014	23	22.72	23	23.11			23.25(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	-10000	3	70	0.02	37%	0	60.4	1.01%	0	1.5	82	0
5	Jun_11_2014	23	22.66	22.94	23.08			23.15(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	3	80	0.02	37%	0	55.2	1.01%	0	1.4	83	0

6	Jun_10_2014	23	22.62	22.89	23.04			22.98(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	3	88	0.04	37%	0	52.1	1%	0	1.1	82	0
7	Jun_9_2014	23	22.59	22.85	23			23.04(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	3	94	0.02	37%	0	48.6	1.01%	0	1.4	81	0
8	Jun_6_2014	23	22.55	22.82	22.96			23.14(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	8	101	0.03	37%	0	41.6	1.01%	0	1.9	78	0
9	Jun_5_2014	23	22.51	22.74	22.87			23.1(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	28	-10000	7	89	0.03	37%	0	32.3	1.01%	0	2.1	77	0
10	Jun_4_2014	23	22.47	22.64	22.79			22.95(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	6	80	0.03	37%	-0.04	29.9	1%	0	2	78	0

11	Jun_3_2014	23.01	22.45	22.56	22.72			22.79(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	4	65	0.01	34%	0	34.7	1.01%	0	1.5	64	0
12	Jun_2_2014	23.01	22.44	22.5	22.68			22.83(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	3	53	0.02	34%	0	43.6	1.04%	0	1.9	61	0
13	May_30_2014	23.01	22.44	22.45	22.65			22.66(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	6	51	0.01	34%	0	55.3	1.04%	0	1.3	64	0
14	May_29_2014	23.01	22.42	22.41	22.58			22.7(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	8	43	0.01	34%	0	65.9	1.05%	0	1.5	60	0
15	May_28_2014	23.01	22.4	22.36	22.48			22.61(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	12	-10000	8	22	0.02	34%	-0.04	60	1.06%	0	1.2	55	0

16	May_27_2014	23.02	22.37	22.33	22.38			22.61(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	7	3	0.02	34%	0	47.5	1.07%	0	1.3	48	0
17	May_23_2014	23.02	22.34	22.3	22.3			22.65(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	1	-10000	6	-14	0.02	34%	0	32.9	1.05%	0	1.6	49	0
18	May_22_2014	23.02	22.32	22.3	22.23			22.34(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	1	-34	0.03	29%	-0.04	17	1.05%	0	0.1	40	0
19	May_21_2014	23.03	22.32	22.26	22.23			22.17(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	0	-43	0.03	29%	-0.04	9.6	1.05%	0	-0.6	31	0
20	May_20_2014	23.04	22.32	22.28	22.22			22.13(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-3	-45	0.03	29%	-0.04	18.1	1.05%	0	-0.8	45	0

21	May_19_2014	23.05	22.29	22.33	22.26			22.19(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-4	-28	0.05	29%	0	24.2	1.05%	0	-0.5	55	0
22	May_16_2014	23.05	22.29	22.37	22.31			22.3(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-0	-10000	2	-7	0.07	33%	-0.13	34.3	1.05%	0	0.1	60	0
23	May_15_2014	23.08	22.28	22.39	22.29			22.3(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-10000	-1	2	0.03	33%	0	40.4	1.06%	0	0.1	58	0
24	May_14_2014	23.08	22.27	22.43	22.3			22.16(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-4	21	0.3	33%	-0.09	39.4	1.07%	0	-0.5	63	0
25	May_13_2014	23.1	22.25	22.45	22.35			22.35(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-10000	-4	34	0.01	33%		30.8	1.06%	0	0.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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