Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 10, 2010 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited)
TAK latest price $22.2300 (0.63%) ($22.0700 - $22.2500) on Wed. Mar. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $22.2300(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TAK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TAK declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TAK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWJ(48%)    SPY(37%)    IWM(35%)    EEM(34%)    EWG(34%)
Factors Impacting TAK price   TAK will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(1%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $22.35
5 Day Moving Average   $22.17(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.17(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.35(-0.54%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $69.495b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. It operates through the following segments: Prescription Drug, Consumer Healthcare, and Other. The Prescription Drugs segment includes the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the manufacture and sale of OTC drugs and quasi-drugs. The Other segment includes manufacture and sale of reagents, clinical diagnostics, and chemical products. The company was founded by Takeda Chobei on June 12, 1781 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

$. TAK price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2012	21.45		22.17	22.17			22.23(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	3	-51	0.02	62%	0	16.8	1.09%	0	-0.4	45	0
2	Mar_20_2012	21.45		22.2	22.13			22.09(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	10	-53	0.01	62%	0	22.4	1.09%	0	-0.9	43	0
3	Mar_19_2012	21.45	22.35	22.27	22.01			22.27(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-21	-10000	-3	-73	0.02	62%	-0.05	17.2	1.09%	0	-0.3	42	0
4	Mar_16_2012	21.46	22.33	22.31	22.04			22.1(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-6	-69	0.04	62%	-0.05	23.8	1.09%	0	-0.7	44	0
5	Mar_15_2012	21.47	22.32	22.34	22.11			22.16(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-7	-54	0.03	62%	-0.05	32.2	1.1%	0	-0.5	51	0

6	Mar_14_2012	21.48	22.3	22.38	22.19			22.03(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-9	-43	0.02	62%	-0.05	39.5	1.11%	0	-0.8	45	0
7	Mar_13_2012	21.49	22.28	22.44	22.3			21.5(-4.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-22	-10000	-21	-26	0.1	60%	-0.09	40.6	1.07%	0	-2	42	0
8	Mar_12_2012	21.51	22.29	22.57	22.56			22.4(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	38	0.06	72%	-0.05	62.4	0.94%	0	0.3	62	0
9	Mar_9_2012	21.52	22.25	22.58	22.56			22.48(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	0	64	0.01	72%	-0.05	58.2	0.94%	0	0.6	65	0
10	Mar_8_2012	21.53	22.21	22.58	22.56			22.53(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	0	77	0.01	72%	-0.05	51.5	0.94%	0	0.7	68	0

11	Mar_7_2012	21.54	22.17	22.55	22.61			22.58(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	1	96	0.02	74%	-0.05	52.5	0.94%	0	0.9	67	0
12	Mar_6_2012	21.55	22.13	22.51	22.6			22.81(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	2	115	0.03	78%	-0.05	53.8	0.94%	0	1.5	78	0
13	Mar_5_2012	21.56	22.06	22.43	22.58			22.63(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	3	124	0.03	80%	0	53.7	0.94%	0	1.4	73	0
14	Mar_2_2012	21.56	22.02	22.35	22.55			22.48(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	6	130	0.03	80%	-0.05	56.6	0.97%	0	1.2	72	0
15	Mar_1_2012	21.57	21.98	22.28	22.49			22.55(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	2	128	0.02	69%	-0.05	61.3	0.97%	0	1.5	72	0

16	Feb_29_2012	21.58	21.94	22.21	22.47			22.52(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	6	119	0.03	73%	-0.05	65.1	1.1%	0	1.6	68	0
17	Feb_28_2012	21.59	21.89	22.11	22.4			22.7(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-10000	12	107	0.01	73%	-0.09	72.3	1.1%	0	2.4	67	0
18	Feb_27_2012	21.61	21.84	22	22.25			22.5(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	10	89	0.03	73%	-0.05	79.7	1.1%	0	2.3	69	0
19	Feb_24_2012	21.62	21.79	21.9	22.13			22.19(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	7	64	0.02	68%	-0.05	92.7	1.11%	0	1.7	58	0
20	Feb_23_2012	21.63	21.75	21.83	22.04			22.45(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	20	-10000	10	48	0.02	71%	-0.05	91.8	1.1%	0	2.9	61	0

21	Feb_22_2012	21.64	21.7	21.75	21.92			22.17(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	12	33	0.02	65%	-0.09	104.5	1.1%	0	2.5	62	0
22	Feb_21_2012	21.66	21.65	21.71	21.78			21.95(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	6	15	0.03	65%	-0.18	106	1.12%	0	1.7	57	0
23	Feb_17_2012	21.7	21.61	21.66	21.71			21.87(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	6	1	0.01	65%	-0.09	83.3	1.12%	0	1.2	54	0
24	Feb_16_2012	21.72	21.57	21.65	21.64			21.77(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	4	-6	0.02	62%	-0.09	67.2	1.13%	0	0.8	54	0
25	Feb_15_2012	21.74	21.54	21.66	21.59			21.83(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	2	-3	0.02	62%		55.2	1.15%	0	1.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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