Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 10, 2010 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited)
TAK latest price $21.1100 (0.72%) ($20.8100 - $21.1900) on Fri. Jan. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $21.1100(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TAK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TAK declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TAK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWJ(48%)    SPY(37%)    IWM(35%)    EEM(34%)    EWG(34%)
Factors Impacting TAK price   TAK will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(1%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $21.36
5 Day Moving Average   $20.94(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.2(-0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.36(-1.17%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $65.994b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. It operates through the following segments: Prescription Drug, Consumer Healthcare, and Other. The Prescription Drugs segment includes the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the manufacture and sale of OTC drugs and quasi-drugs. The Other segment includes manufacture and sale of reagents, clinical diagnostics, and chemical products. The company was founded by Takeda Chobei on June 12, 1781 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

$. TAK price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2012	22.15	21.36	21.2	20.94			21.11(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	1	-107	0.05	48%	-0.14	10.2	1.35%	0	-0.5	44	0
2	Jan_19_2012	22.18	21.34	21.27	20.93			20.96(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-6	-100	0.02	48%	-0.14	7.4	1.35%	0	-0.8	50	0
3	Jan_18_2012	22.21	21.33	21.39	21.01			21.15(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-7	-73	0.03	48%	-0.13	11.4	1.35%	0	-0.4	52	0
4	Jan_17_2012	22.24	21.33	21.49	21.11			20.62(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-16	-47	0.07	44%	-0.18	16.6	1.32%	0	-1.4	45	0
5	Jan_13_2012	22.28	21.33	21.64	21.33			20.85(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-11	-2	0.04	44%	-0.13	26.6	1.31%	0	-0.9	50	0

6	Jan_12_2012	22.31	21.33	21.72	21.49			21.06(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-11	32	0.05	44%	-0.09	36.4	1.31%	0	-0.5	59	0
7	Jan_11_2012	22.33	21.31	21.74	21.65			21.39(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-11	64	0.09	46%	-0.13	50	1.29%	0	0.1	68	0
8	Jan_10_2012	22.36	21.27	21.73	21.81			21.65(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-9	99	0.03	48%	-0.09	61.6	1.29%	0	0.7	76	0
9	Jan_9_2012	22.38	21.23	21.68	21.93			21.68(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-10000	-5	125	0.08	48%	-0.09	75	1.31%	0	0.8	69	0
10	Jan_6_2012	22.4	21.18	21.63	22.01			21.65(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	38	-10000	1	149	0.05	49%	-0.09	87.7	1.32%	0	0.8	72	0

11	Jan_5_2012	22.42	21.12	21.55	21.99			21.87(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	-10000	10	154	0.03	49%	-0.04	88.5	1.33%	0	1.3	70	0
12	Jan_4_2012	22.43	21.04	21.43	21.84			22.2(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	15	138	0.02	50%	-0.09	87.7	1.32%	0	2.1	72	0
13	Jan_3_2012	22.45	20.93	21.26	21.63			22.26(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	40	-10000	16	113	0.12	50%	-0.13	88.1	1.32%	0	2.6	76	0
14	Dec_30_2011	22.48	20.81	21.1	21.41			22.05(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	14	88	0.06	50%	-0.04	81	1.32%	0	2.6	72	0
15	Dec_29_2011	22.49	20.69	20.94	21.21			21.56(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	12	63	0.02	47%	-0.04	71.4	1.29%	0	1.9	68	0

16	Dec_28_2011	22.5	20.63	20.86	21.05			21.14(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	8	49	0.03	45%	-0.13	72.2	1.27%	0	1.3	65	0
17	Dec_27_2011	22.53	20.57	20.83	20.95			21.16(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	10	51	0.06	45%	-0.09	59.3	1.28%	0	1.5	71	0
18	Dec_23_2011	22.55	20.49	20.77	20.82			21.12(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	5	43	0.03	45%	-0.09	35.3	1.27%	0	1.4	71	0
19	Dec_22_2011	22.57	20.43	20.73	20.75			21.05(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	20	-10000	8	55	0.06	48%	-0.09	20.4	1.27%	0	1.5	76	0
20	Dec_21_2011	22.59	20.37	20.68	20.75			20.78(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	0	58	0.1	44%	-0.13	3.1	1.3%	0	1	75	0

21	Dec_20_2011	22.62	20.34	20.66	20.64			20.65(0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-4	60	0.04	44%	-0.18	-10.9	1.3%	0	0.8	54	0
22	Dec_19_2011	22.66	20.33	20.62	20.69			20.51(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-2	75	0.14	44%	-0.13	-18.2	1.31%	0	0.5	60	0
23	Dec_16_2011	22.69	20.33	20.59	20.71			20.74(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	1	92	0.1	44%	-0.13	-24.5	1.3%	0	1	66	0
24	Dec_15_2011	22.72	20.34	20.5	20.7			20.53(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-2	92	0.06	44%	-0.13	-32.5	1.3%	0	0.5	63	0
25	Dec_14_2011	22.75	20.36	20.43	20.73			20.75(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	4	93	0.05	44%		-36.4	1.29%	0	0.9	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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