Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 3, 2011

Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 10, 2010 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited)
TAK latest price $23.6100 (0.13%) ($23.3300 - $23.6400) on Fri. Jun. 3, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $23.6100(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TAK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TAK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TAK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWJ(48%)    SPY(38%)    IWM(35%)    EEM(34%)    EWG(34%)
Factors Impacting TAK price   TAK will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(1%)    SHY(1%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.59(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.42(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.49(0.51%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $73.81b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. It operates through the following segments: Prescription Drug, Consumer Healthcare, and Other. The Prescription Drugs segment includes the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the manufacture and sale of OTC drugs and quasi-drugs. The Other segment includes manufacture and sale of reagents, clinical diagnostics, and chemical products. The company was founded by Takeda Chobei on June 12, 1781 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

$. TAK price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2011	23.9	23.49	23.42	23.59			23.61(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	3	44	0.03	45%	-0.04	-32.8	1.6%	0	0.3	55	0
2	Jun_2_2011	23.91	23.52	23.33	23.53			23.58(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	3	21	0.02	45%	0	-33.7	1.6%	0	0.1	42	0
3	Jun_1_2011	23.91	23.54	23.28	23.47			23.7(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	5	7	0.02	44%	0	-32.4	1.6%	0	0.3	46	0
4	May_31_2011	23.91	23.56	23.23	23.38			23.67(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.02	45%	-0.04	-32.5	1.63%	0	0.2	39	0
5	May_27_2011	23.92	23.59	23.23	23.28			23.38(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	3	-45	0.01	46%	0	-32	1.6%	0	-0.4	31	0

6	May_26_2011	23.92	23.63	23.16	23.22			23.32(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	7	-61	0.01	46%	-0.04	-33.6	1.61%	0	-0.6	35	0
7	May_25_2011	23.93	23.68	23.21	23.09			23.29(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	2	-80	0.02	46%	-0.04	-40.2	1.63%	0	-0.7	33	0
8	May_24_2011	23.94	23.7	23.25	23.09			23.24(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-10000	0	-91	0.36	46%	-0.08	-41.6	1.63%	0	-0.9	35	0
9	May_23_2011	23.96	23.73	23.34	23.05			23.15(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	0	-92	0.31	46%	-0.04	-42.8	1.63%	0	-1.1	35	0
10	May_20_2011	23.97	23.76	23.46	23.04			23.12(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-3	-95	0.8	46%	-0.04	-43.7	1.61%	0	-1.3	32	0

11	May_19_2011	23.98	23.81	23.56	23.09			22.65(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-34	-10000	-13	-98	0.15	43%	-0.08	-37.4	1.6%	0	-2.4	22	0
12	May_18_2011	24	23.89	23.73	23.34			23.1(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-8	-76	0.01	47%	-0.04	-24.4	1.6%	0	-1.9	28	0
13	May_17_2011	24.01	23.92	23.84	23.48			23.23(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-10	-60	0.06	47%	-0.04	-11.3	1.61%	0	-1.8	43	0
14	May_16_2011	24.02	23.95	23.93	23.67			23.1(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-14	-39	0.02	48%	-0.04	11	1.61%	0	-2.4	44	0
15	May_13_2011	24.03	23.98	24.06	23.93			23.35(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-9	-10000	-9	-7	0.22	47%	0	52.1	1.6%	0	-2.2	46	0

16	May_12_2011	24.03	24	24.16	24.1			23.9(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-10000	-4	11	1.45	50%	0	82.1	1.58%	0	-0.4	45	0
17	May_11_2011	24.03	23.99	24.19	24.18			23.8(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	2	-10000	-4	20	0.05	50%	0	106	1.59%	0	-0.7	46	0
18	May_10_2011	24.03	23.96	24.2	24.25			24.21(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	1	32	0.01	50%	0.04	96.5	1.58%	0	0.7	64	0
19	May_9_2011	24.02	23.91	24.15	24.24			24.4(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	2	32	0.02	50%	0	85.5	1.58%	0	1.3	65	0
20	May_6_2011	24.02	23.83	24.15	24.21			24.2(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-1	30	0.01	50%	0.04	74.4	1.55%	0	0.9	61	0

21	May_5_2011	24.01	23.77	24.08	24.23			24.28(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	42	0.02	50%	0.04	64.9	1.57%	0	1.1	66	0
22	May_4_2011	24	23.7	24.06	24.22			24.17(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	4	49	0.02	50%	0.04	52.7	1.58%	0	1	59	0
23	May_3_2011	23.99	23.64	24	24.14			24.13(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	5	49	0.01	50%	0	42.9	1.58%	0	1	68	0
24	May_2_2011	23.99	23.59	23.95	24.04			24.27(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	6	51	0.02	50%	0.04	33.7	1.58%	0	1.4	71	0
25	Apr_29_2011	23.98	23.53	23.9	23.93			24.29(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	1	53	0.03	52%		17	1.57%	0	1.6	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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