Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 10, 2010 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited)
TAK latest price $23.4500 (0.04%) ($23.3200 - $23.6400) on Thu. Sep. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $23.4500(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TAK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TAK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TAK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWJ(49%)    SPY(38%)    EWG(35%)    IWM(35%)    XLY(35%)
Factors Impacting TAK price   TAK will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(0%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.4(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.52(-0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.36(0.39%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $73.309b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. It operates through the following segments: Prescription Drug, Consumer Healthcare, and Other. The Prescription Drugs segment includes the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the manufacture and sale of OTC drugs and quasi-drugs. The Other segment includes manufacture and sale of reagents, clinical diagnostics, and chemical products. The company was founded by Takeda Chobei on June 12, 1781 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

$. TAK price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2010	22.18	23.36	23.52	23.4			23.45(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	2	-9	0.04	58%	0.05	42.7	1.06%	0	0.3	59	0
2	Sep_22_2010	22.17	23.32	23.55	23.38			23.44(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	4	0.02	54%	0.05	32.3	1.06%	0	0.3	62	0
3	Sep_21_2010	22.16	23.3	23.57	23.37			23.36(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-10000	-10	13	0.02	54%	0.09	29.9	1.1%	0	0.2	61	0
4	Sep_20_2010	22.14	23.27	23.58	23.5			23.51(1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	-6	44	0.02	54%	0.05	33.5	1.09%	0	0.6	65	0
5	Sep_17_2010	22.13	23.23	23.57	23.58			23.26(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-6	71	0.03	54%	0.05	36.5	1.09%	0	0.1	67	0

6	Sep_16_2010	22.12	23.21	23.56	23.66			23.32(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-6	88	0.03	54%	0.09	40.5	1.09%	0	0.3	61	0
7	Sep_15_2010	22.1	23.19	23.54	23.74			23.41(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	25	-10000	-4	112	0.02	57%	0.05	43.8	1.08%	0	0.5	68	0
8	Sep_14_2010	22.09	23.18	23.5	23.79			24(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	9	128	0.02	61%	0.09	44.1	1.06%	0	1.9	67	0
9	Sep_13_2010	22.07	23.13	23.39	23.68			23.93(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	-10000	10	121	0.01	61%	0.14	37.2	1.06%	0	2.1	70	0
10	Sep_10_2010	22.04	23.07	23.26	23.56			23.63(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	8	106	0.01	61%	0.05	24.5	1.06%	0	1.6	68	0

11	Sep_9_2010	22.03	23.04	23.18	23.46			23.74(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	13	93	0.02	61%	0.09	14.1	1.07%	0	2.3	62	0
12	Sep_8_2010	22.01	23.01	23.06	23.3			23.65(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	-10000	11	64	0.01	63%	0.09	0.9	1.08%	0	2.4	62	0
13	Sep_7_2010	21.99	23.01	22.99	23.16			23.45(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	9	40	0.02	63%	0.09	-11.9	1.08%	0	1.8	52	0
14	Sep_3_2010	21.97	23.01	22.92	23.05			23.34(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	11	19	0.02	60%	0.09	-14.5	1.1%	0	1.3	52	0
15	Sep_2_2010	21.95	22.99	22.84	22.91			23.1(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	3	-6	0.03	60%	0.05	-23.9	1.1%	0	0.4	55	0

16	Sep_1_2010	21.94	22.99	22.83	22.87			22.95(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	6	-13	0.05	62%	0.05	-23.9	1.1%	0	-0.2	48	0
17	Aug_31_2010	21.93	23	22.82	22.79			22.94(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-1	-31	0.03	62%	0.09	-27.9	1.11%	0	-0.2	46	0
18	Aug_30_2010	21.91	23.02	22.84	22.8			22.92(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	3	-36	0.06	62%	0.05	-11.5	1.12%	0	-0.4	40	0
19	Aug_27_2010	21.9	23.03	22.86	22.8			22.65(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	0	-51	0.02	59%	0.05	-9	1.14%	0	-1.4	35	0
20	Aug_26_2010	21.89	23.03	22.88	22.76			22.89(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-2	-64	0.02	59%	0.05	1.8	1.13%	0	-0.7	42	0

21	Aug_25_2010	21.88	23.06	22.89	22.78			22.54(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-6	-72	0.02	57%	0.05	7.7	1.11%	0	-1.9	38	0
22	Aug_24_2010	21.87	23.08	22.95	22.85			22.99(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-62	0.03	56%	0.09	23.1	1.08%	0	-0.3	50	0
23	Aug_23_2010	21.85	23.08	23	22.89			22.74(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-6	-54	0.03	55%	0.05	26.2	1.12%	0	-1.1	39	0
24	Aug_20_2010	21.84	23.06	23.08	22.97			22.66(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0.01	55%	0.05	38.8	1.12%	0	-1.3	45	0
25	Aug_19_2010	21.83	23.05	23.15	23			22.95(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.02	57%		47	1.12%	0	-0.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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