Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 10, 2010 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited)
TAK latest price $22.6000 (0.53%) ($22.5000 - $22.6500) on Fri. Jul. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $22.6000(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TAK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TAK advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TAK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWJ(49%)    SPY(38%)    EWG(35%)    IWM(35%)    EEM(34%)
Factors Impacting TAK price   TAK will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(1%)    SHY(1%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.38(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.96(2.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.55(4.87%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $70.652b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. It operates through the following segments: Prescription Drug, Consumer Healthcare, and Other. The Prescription Drugs segment includes the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the manufacture and sale of OTC drugs and quasi-drugs. The Other segment includes manufacture and sale of reagents, clinical diagnostics, and chemical products. The company was founded by Takeda Chobei on June 12, 1781 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

$. TAK price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2010	21.13	21.55	21.96	22.38			22.6(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	13	145	0.04	57%	0.14	87.7	1.23%	0	1.9	70	0
2	Jul_8_2010	21.1	21.46	21.82	22.21			22.48(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	18	128	0.03	57%	0.14	84.6	1.24%	0	1.9	69	0
3	Jul_7_2010	21.07	21.36	21.68	21.97			22.7(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	-10000	19	97	0.02	57%	0.24	73.2	1.25%	0	2.6	74	0
4	Jul_6_2010	21.02	21.25	21.5	21.71			22.13(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	11	59	0.03	51%	0.1	69.8	1.2%	0	2	67	0
5	Jul_2_2010	21	21.15	21.42	21.57			21.98(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	7	51	0.05	51%	0.14	59.6	1.21%	0	1.9	72	0

6	Jul_1_2010	20.97	21.07	21.35	21.48			21.77(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	8	55	0.06	51%	0.1	57.4	1.22%	0	1.8	73	0
7	Jun_30_2010	20.95	21.02	21.29	21.37			21.28(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	2	53	0.03	46%	0.05	55.2	1.18%	0	0.7	62	0
8	Jun_29_2010	20.94	20.99	21.28	21.34			21.4(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	7	67	0.04	46%	0.05	54.7	1.19%	0	1.1	70	0
9	Jun_28_2010	20.93	20.95	21.27	21.25			21.43(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	1	68	0.02	46%	0.1	51.4	1.21%	0	1.3	67	0
10	Jun_25_2010	20.91	20.89	21.21	21.24			21.51(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	3	81	0.04	46%	0.1	42.3	1.23%	0	1.6	73	0

11	Jun_24_2010	20.89	20.85	21.12	21.24			21.25(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	0	80	0.06	46%	0.05	40.5	1.23%	0	1.1	65	0
12	Jun_23_2010	20.88	20.81	21.08	21.2			21.1(0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-1	82	0.03	46%	0.05	36.8	1.24%	0	0.9	56	0
13	Jun_22_2010	20.87	20.78	21.02	21.22			20.95(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-10000	-4	80	0.02	46%	0	31.7	1.25%	0	0.5	56	0
14	Jun_21_2010	20.87	20.76	20.98	21.28			21.4(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	9	96	0.1	51%	0.1	31.7	1.21%	0	1.9	64	0
15	Jun_18_2010	20.85	20.73	20.87	21.17			21.31(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	11	82	0.03	51%	0.05	26	1.23%	0	1.9	69	0

16	Jun_17_2010	20.84	20.7	20.78	21.03			21.25(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	8	60	0.02	51%	0.1	11.9	1.25%	0	2	60	0
17	Jun_16_2010	20.82	20.69	20.73	20.93			21.2(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	11	51	0.03	51%	0.05	-9.5	1.28%	0	2	59	0
18	Jun_15_2010	20.81	20.68	20.67	20.78			21.25(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	16	-10000	10	35	0.04	51%	0.1	-38.8	1.3%	0	2.3	62	0
19	Jun_14_2010	20.79	20.68	20.6	20.64			20.85(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	9	21	0.03	45%	0	-69.2	1.27%	0	0.9	56	0
20	Jun_11_2010	20.79	20.65	20.6	20.52			20.6(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-11	0.03	45%	-0.05	0	1.27%	0	-0.2	42	0

21	Jun_10_2010	20.8	20.67	20.54	20.52			20.77(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-5	-10000	0	-20	0.03	45%	0	0	1.29%	0	0.4	48	0
22	Jun_9_2010	20.8	20.71	20.52	20.49			20.44(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-32	0.02	39%	-0.05	0	1.26%	0	-0.8	38	0
23	Jun_8_2010	20.81	20.77	20.53	20.53			20.55(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-2	-37	0.03	39%	-0.1	0	1.29%	0	-0.6	40	0
24	Jun_7_2010	20.83	20.81	20.52	20.55			20.26(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-1	-43	0.02	32%	-0.14	0	1.27%	0	-1.4	37	0
25	Jun_4_2010	20.86	20.81	20.59	20.56			20.45(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.04	32%		0	1.29%	0	53.8	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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