Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $120.4900 (4.8%) ($118.1700 - $121.1000) on Fri. Jul. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $120.4900(4.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(74%)    SDY(74%)    IVE(73%)    IWM(71%)    IWN(71%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    GDXJ(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.27(2.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.14(2.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.84(5.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $18.496b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 3.79% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2016	110	113.84	117.14	117.27			120.49(4.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	27	-10000	8	83	2.23	56%	0.21	22.7	1.4%	0	1.5	76	0
2	Jul_21_2016	109.77	113.52	116.57	116.64			114.97(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-7	87	1.74	55%	0.17	23.4	1.27%	0	0.4	70	0
3	Jul_20_2016	109.58	113.44	116.42	117.14			116.99(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-10000	-1	117	0.69	58%	0.18	29.5	1.33%	0	0.9	87	0
4	Jul_19_2016	109.38	113.27	115.97	117.19			116.59(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	35	-10000	-1	142	0.76	58%	0.21	34.1	1.34%	0	0.8	89	0
5	Jul_18_2016	109.15	113.13	115.48	117.24			117.33(-0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	48	-10000	4	178	0.48	58%	0.21	37.9	1.33%	0	1.1	93	0

6	Jul_15_2016	108.92	112.87	114.99	116.95			117.34(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	-10000	6	196	0.67	58%	0.2	37	1.33%	0	1.2	76	0
7	Jul_14_2016	108.7	112.58	114.38	116.47			117.46(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	-10000	11	176	0.59	58%	0.23	32.2	1.34%	0	1.4	52	0
8	Jul_13_2016	108.45	112.28	113.47	115.58			117.24(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	13	140	0.48	60%	0.22	23.5	1.34%	0	1.5	55	0
9	Jul_12_2016	108.21	111.95	112.39	114.55			116.84(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	14	90	0.71	60%	0.21	11.9	1.35%	0	1.5	53	0
10	Jul_11_2016	107.98	111.69	111.15	113.46			115.86(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	9	28	0.61	60%	0.22	0.4	1.35%	0	1.4	51	0

11	Jul_8_2016	107.74	111.52	110.26	112.75			114.97(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	10	-7	1.05	60%	0.21	-7	1.35%	0	1.2	53	0
12	Jul_7_2016	107.51	111.45	110.26	112			112.97(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	-10000	13	-12	0.79	58%	0.19	-13.9	1.34%	0	0.5	52	0
13	Jul_6_2016	107.31	111.48	110.16	111.02			112.1(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	-10000	16	-27	0.89	58%	0.19	-22.7	1.34%	0	0.2	51	0
14	Jul_5_2016	107.11	111.57	110.3	109.85			111.4(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	-10000	20	-41	0.83	58%	0.19	-32.2	1.35%	0	-0.1	51	0
15	Jul_1_2016	106.91	111.68	110.54	108.42			112.32(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	14	-69	1.18	58%	0.22	-45.2	1.35%	0	0.2	50	0

16	Jun_30_2016	106.68	111.72	110.52	107.4			111.22(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-34	-10000	-10	-104	1.52	58%	0.19	-55.6	1.34%	0	-0.2	46	0
17	Jun_29_2016	106.48	111.85	110.58	108.16			108.08(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-16	-103	1.33	56%	0.17	-48.7	1.3%	0	-1.3	37	0
18	Jun_28_2016	106.3	112.14	110.98	109.28			106.22(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-10000	-22	-90	1.48	53%	0.15	-42.2	1.3%	0	-2.1	33	0
19	Jun_27_2016	106.14	112.51	111.53	110.85			104.24(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-39	-10000	-28	-70	1.65	50%	0.1	-29.9	1.28%	0	-3.3	26	0
20	Jun_24_2016	106.03	113.01	112.42	112.87			107.23(-6.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.4	-18	-10000	-15	-25	2.28	56%	0.1	-11.7	1.24%	0	-3.5	33	0

21	Jun_23_2016	105.92	113.36	113.05	113.94			115.05(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	12	12	0.4	78%	0.19	16.7	0.89%	0	1.8	57	0
22	Jun_22_2016	105.72	113.3	112.94	113.33			113.65(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	7	-9	0.67	77%	0.2	3.8	0.88%	0	0.4	47	0
23	Jun_21_2016	105.51	113.33	112.96	112.97			114.07(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	12	-17	0.95	79%	0.2	-2.4	0.88%	0	0.8	52	0
24	Jun_20_2016	105.3	113.27	112.95	112.38			114.34(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-2	-10000	8	-32	1.16	79%	0.19	-25.9	0.9%	0	1.2	55	0
25	Jun_17_2016	105.1	113.2	112.87	111.98			112.59(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-13	-10000	-1	-48	1.33	79%		-40.5	0.88%	0	-0.7	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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