Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $76.0000 (0.49%) ($75.5900 - $76.3600) on Tue. Apr. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $76.0000(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    PEJ(66%)    EWG(62%)    XLY(62%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(0%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.89(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.42(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.78(0.29%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $11.666b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 1.07% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2011	70.97	75.78	75.42	75.89			76(0.49%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	5	-10000	7	-2	1.61	50%	0.23	48.6	1.56%	0	0.3	44	0
2	Apr_18_2011	70.81	75.78	75.36	75.48			75.63(-1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	3	-21	2.03	50%	0.23	38.3	1.61%	0	-0.1	42	0
3	Apr_15_2011	70.65	75.72	75.35	75.32			77.04(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	-0	-10000	8	-25	2.12	53%	0.08	34.8	1.59%	0	1.6	56	0
4	Apr_14_2011	70.59	75.59	75.28	74.86			75.88(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	1	-42	1.41	53%	0.23	12.3	1.6%	0	0.3	42	0
5	Apr_13_2011	70.43	75.48	75.33	74.8			74.89(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-2	-43	2.18	53%	0.23	1.4	1.59%	0	-0.5	44	0

6	Apr_12_2011	70.27	75.39	75.52	74.91			73.96(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-5	-35	1.62	53%	0.21	-12.2	1.58%	0	-1.3	43	0
7	Apr_11_2011	70.12	75.42	75.81	75.2			74.84(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-3	-18	1.07	57%	0.23	-17.6	1.58%	0	-0.5	53	0
8	Apr_8_2011	69.96	75.43	75.92	75.36			74.71(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-7	-14	1.46	57%	0.21	-13.5	1.6%	0	-0.7	46	0
9	Apr_7_2011	69.81	75.47	76.14	75.76			75.59(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10000	-3	8	0.97	55%	0.24	-5	1.61%	0	0.1	59	0
10	Apr_6_2011	69.64	75.46	76.18	75.96			75.46(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-4	25	0.89	55%	0.23	-0.7	1.62%	0	0	65	0

11	Apr_5_2011	69.48	75.52	76.19	76.23			75.41(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-4	44	1.28	55%	0.22	14.9	1.63%	0	-0.1	68	0
12	Apr_4_2011	69.33	75.61	76.19	76.5			75.65(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-1	57	1.38	55%	0.22	32.7	1.64%	0	0	58	0
13	Apr_1_2011	69.18	75.57	76.15	76.54			76.68(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	-0	63	1.21	57%	0.23	30.3	1.62%	0	0.9	57	0
14	Mar_31_2011	69.02	75.53	75.94	76.57			76.6(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	2	60	1.17	57%	0.22	35.1	1.64%	0	0.9	54	0
15	Mar_30_2011	68.87	75.47	75.64	76.43			76.8(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	51	1.36	57%	0.22	38	1.64%	0	1.2	56	0

16	Mar_29_2011	68.72	75.36	75.25	76.15			76.77(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	6	26	0.93	57%	0.22	40.1	1.64%	0	1.3	47	0
17	Mar_28_2011	68.57	75.23	74.98	75.75			75.86(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	1	0	0.99	57%	0.19	32.4	1.63%	0	0.6	42	0
18	Mar_25_2011	68.44	75.22	74.88	75.69			76.83(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	8	1	1.5	57%	0.2	30.5	1.61%	0	1.5	57	0
19	Mar_24_2011	68.3	75.13	74.73	75.22			75.9(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	8	-13	1.11	57%	0.22	19.4	1.62%	0	0.8	49	0
20	Mar_23_2011	68.15	75.05	74.65	74.73			75.37(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	9	-28	0.91	57%	0.21	6.6	1.63%	0	0.3	48	0

21	Mar_22_2011	68.01	74.92	74.77	74.2			74.81(-0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	2	-36	0.96	57%	0.21	-8.6	1.63%	0	-0.1	52	0
22	Mar_21_2011	67.87	74.89	74.99	74.08			75.55(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-5	-10000	2	-27	1.08	57%	0.21	-9	1.63%	0	0.6	55	0
23	Mar_18_2011	67.73	74.9	74.92	73.97			74.47(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	-4	-36	1.92	61%	0.21	-3.8	1.66%	0	-0.4	45	0
24	Mar_17_2011	67.59	74.93	75.06	74.19			73.46(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-6	-28	1.23	61%	0.21	7.5	1.67%	0	-1.2	45	0
25	Mar_16_2011	67.45	74.97	75.3	74.57			72.71(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-14	-10000	-13	-15	1.65	61%		21.3	1.67%	0	-1.9	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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