Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $66.4000 (1.22%) ($65.5700 - $66.6300) on Tue. Dec. 21, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $66.4000(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(71%)    IWM(70%)    PEJ(66%)    EWG(62%)    XLY(62%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-0%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.45(3.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.18(3.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.71(5.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $10.193b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 3.11% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2010	60.12	62.71	64.18	64.45			66.4(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	28	-10000	10	82	1.6	74%	0.13	63	1.4%	0	1.9	82	0
2	Dec_20_2010	60.04	62.36	63.84	64			65.6(3.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	29	-10000	9	89	2.71	74%	0.13	57.6	1.39%	0	1.8	83	0
3	Dec_17_2010	59.96	62.06	63.49	63.61			63.37(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-4	86	2.06	70%	0.1	51.2	1.34%	0	0.7	70	0
4	Dec_16_2010	59.9	61.89	63.41	63.79			63.22(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-3	109	1.81	70%	0.12	49.1	1.34%	0	0.7	68	0
5	Dec_15_2010	59.83	61.71	63.34	63.9			63.66(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	1	126	3.35	70%	0.12	44.4	1.36%	0	1.1	67	0

6	Dec_14_2010	59.76	61.5	63.04	63.84			64.17(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	5	140	1.6	70%	0.1	38.4	1.36%	0	1.5	78	0
7	Dec_13_2010	59.7	61.32	62.59	63.64			63.62(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	-10000	7	136	1.77	73%	0.1	32.1	1.36%	0	1.4	69	0
8	Dec_10_2010	59.64	61.17	62.27	63.35			64.28(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	-10000	9	131	2.62	73%	0.13	23.2	1.39%	0	1.9	73	0
9	Dec_9_2010	59.56	61.02	61.88	62.97			63.77(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	6	121	1.7	73%	0.17	15.5	1.39%	0	1.9	69	0
10	Dec_8_2010	59.46	60.91	61.58	62.7			63.36(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	14	125	1.67	73%	0.19	12	1.39%	0	1.9	69	0

11	Dec_7_2010	59.35	60.82	61.12	62.11			63.15(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	17	99	2.3	73%	0.2	0.5	1.4%	0	1.9	69	0
12	Dec_6_2010	59.23	60.78	60.76	61.39			62.2(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	9	62	1.17	71%	0.19	-10.3	1.4%	0	1.2	56	0
13	Dec_3_2010	59.12	60.78	60.49	61.02			62.37(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	9	40	1.54	71%	0.17	-14.7	1.41%	0	1.3	56	0
14	Dec_2_2010	59.02	60.8	60.23	60.63			62.41(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	7	12	4.7	71%	0.14	-16.3	1.42%	0	1.3	50	0
15	Dec_1_2010	58.94	60.76	59.92	60.33			60.44(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	8	-15	2.9	74%	0.12	-17.2	1.37%	0	-0.3	40	0

16	Nov_30_2010	58.87	60.81	59.83	59.99			59.53(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-0	-43	2.22	72%	0.12	-19.4	1.52%	0	-1	34	0
17	Nov_29_2010	58.8	60.9	59.94	60			60.34(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.93	72%	0.14	-18.6	1.54%	0	-0.5	33	0
18	Nov_26_2010	58.72	60.98	59.98	59.86			60.45(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	2	-71	0.37	75%	0.27	-18.5	1.57%	0	-0.4	32	0
19	Nov_24_2010	58.56	61.01	60.1	59.75			60.91(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-16	-10000	6	-81	1.92	75%	0.21	-18.7	1.56%	0	-0.1	36	0
20	Nov_23_2010	58.44	60.97	60.18	59.49			58.71(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-3	-97	1.73	71%	0	-29.5	1.52%	0	-1.9	28	0

21	Nov_22_2010	58.44	61.05	60.49	59.64			59.59(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	-5	-93	1.24	71%	0.17	-37.9	1.51%	0	-1.3	35	0
22	Nov_19_2010	58.34	61.13	60.8	59.87			59.63(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-6	-77	1.33	64%	0.17	-45.7	1.51%	0	-1.4	40	0
23	Nov_18_2010	58.24	61.21	61.14	60.12			59.91(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-8	-62	1.46	64%	0.15	-45.2	1.57%	0	-1.3	36	0
24	Nov_17_2010	58.15	61.23	61.42	60.51			59.59(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-10	-40	1.3	67%	0.16	-49.1	1.57%	0	-1.6	45	0
25	Nov_16_2010	58.06	61.33	61.67	60.98			59.5(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-11	-10000	-10	-14	2.09	67%		-49.7	1.63%	0	-1.9	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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