Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $55.2400 (-1.74%) ($54.8500 - $56.2700) on Tue. Feb. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $55.2400(-1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    PEJ(66%)    XLY(63%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.92(-1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.13(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.31(1.71%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $8.48b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2010	50.88	54.31	55.13	55.92			55.24(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	2	48	1.14	57%	0.26	25.9	1.64%	0	0.6	56	0
2	Feb_22_2010	50.75	54.23	54.97	55.84			56.22(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	8	57	1.58	60%	0.32	19.1	1.63%	0	1.3	68	0
3	Feb_19_2010	50.59	54.08	54.78	55.46			55.92(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	63	1.13	60%	0.3	2.7	1.63%	0	1.3	71	0
4	Feb_18_2010	50.44	53.98	54.64	55.09			56.36(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	11	71	2.86	60%	0.28	-13.1	1.64%	0	1.8	72	0
5	Feb_17_2010	50.3	53.98	54.6	54.58			55.84(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	7	76	1.31	60%	0.28	-27	1.64%	0	1.5	63	0

6	Feb_16_2010	50.16	53.92	54.43	54.25			54.87(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	6	70	1.5	58%	0.46	-35.7	1.64%	0	0.7	56	0
7	Feb_12_2010	49.93	53.94	54.18	53.98			54.29(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-1	49	2.18	58%	0.24	-45.7	1.64%	0	0.3	52	0
8	Feb_11_2010	49.81	54.04	53.91	54.01			54.11(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-2	38	1.46	58%	0.24	-42.8	1.65%	0	0	53	0
9	Feb_10_2010	49.69	54.16	53.66	54.12			53.77(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10000	-11	22	1.07	58%	0.24	-33.6	1.65%	0	-0.2	48	0
10	Feb_9_2010	49.57	54.27	53.54	54.63			54.22(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	-0	28	1.59	60%	0.24	-17.1	1.64%	0	-0	44	0

11	Feb_8_2010	49.45	54.4	53.44	54.64			53.53(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	6	13	1.68	60%	0.22	-5.2	1.65%	0	-0.5	39	0
12	Feb_5_2010	49.34	54.58	53.46	54.38			54.43(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	10	-10000	15	-6	2.44	65%	0.26	5.3	1.64%	0	-0.1	44	0
13	Feb_4_2010	49.21	54.69	53.34	53.74			54.64(-3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	15	-49	2.34	61%	0.24	6.9	1.66%	0	-0	42	0
14	Feb_3_2010	49.09	54.7	53.27	53.09			56.34(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-9	-10000	18	-88	5.72	72%	0.33	4	1.65%	0	0.9	46	0
15	Feb_2_2010	48.93	54.55	53.13	52.32			54.25(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-23	-10000	4	-105	2.98	70%	0.27	-5.8	2.01%	0	-0.2	40	0

16	Feb_1_2010	48.8	54.49	53.29	52.13			52.23(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-6	-123	1.36	67%	0.25	-9.3	1.96%	0	-1.2	25	0
17	Jan_29_2010	48.68	54.48	53.63	52.45			51.25(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-10000	-8	-124	2.66	67%	0.23	-8	1.96%	0	-1.7	17	0
18	Jan_28_2010	48.57	54.56	54.16	52.86			51.39(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-37	-10000	-11	-115	1.95	65%	0.21	-2.9	1.96%	0	-1.7	24	0
19	Jan_27_2010	48.47	54.63	54.71	53.42			52.47(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-12	-92	3.56	68%	0.25	8.1	1.95%	0	-1.2	42	0
20	Jan_26_2010	48.35	54.66	55.09	54.04			53.31(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-11	-61	1.61	68%	0.12	22.5	1.95%	0	-0.7	53	0

21	Jan_25_2010	48.29	54.67	55.47	54.63			53.82(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-7	-21	1.52	68%	0.29	36.9	1.95%	0	-0.5	59	0
22	Jan_22_2010	48.15	54.64	55.83	55.02			53.33(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10000	-12	18	1.36	68%	0.29	44.4	1.96%	0	-0.7	62	0
23	Jan_21_2010	48.01	54.61	56.2	55.66			54.18(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-9	63	1.97	69%	0.31	59.8	1.95%	0	-0.2	62	0
24	Jan_20_2010	47.86	54.48	56.3	56.17			55.54(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-2	99	1.4	73%	0.34	70.6	1.93%	0	0.5	69	0
25	Jan_19_2010	47.7	54.25	56.13	56.3			56.3(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-10000	-3	110	1.35	73%		74.2	1.92%	0	1	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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