Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $52.9500 (1.05%) ($52.2900 - $53.3400) on Wed. Dec. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $52.9500(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    PEJ(66%)    XLY(63%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.62(2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.97(3.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.09(5.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.2%
Market Cap   $8.128b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2009	45.38	50.09	50.97	51.62			52.95(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	3	82	3.18	63%	0.27	46	1.95%	0	2.3	74	0
2	Dec_22_2009	45.26	49.91	50.6	51.45			52.4(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	9	78	2.5	63%	0.24	47.7	1.95%	0	2.3	63	0
3	Dec_21_2009	45.15	49.76	50.26	51			51.14(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	6	64	2.31	61%	0.24	35.4	1.93%	0	1.5	62	0
4	Dec_18_2009	45.04	49.65	50.02	50.71			50.73(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	5	55	1.37	61%	0.24	21.1	1.93%	0	1.3	63	0
5	Dec_17_2009	44.93	49.57	49.89	50.45			50.86(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	5	52	2.45	61%	0.27	10.4	1.93%	0	1.6	62	0

6	Dec_16_2009	44.81	49.51	49.67	50.2			52.14(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	19	-10000	12	39	4.62	67%	0.29	-0.6	1.9%	0	3.5	59	0
7	Dec_15_2009	44.68	49.41	49.4	49.64			50.15(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	5	17	1.41	64%	0.22	-29.1	1.87%	0	1.5	52	0
8	Dec_14_2009	44.58	49.44	49.29	49.41			49.67(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	4	5	0.91	64%	0.25	-27.2	1.87%	0	0.4	49	0
9	Dec_11_2009	44.47	49.47	49.18	49.23			49.43(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	-10000	-0	-5	1.6	64%	0.23	-26.7	1.87%	0	-0.1	54	0
10	Dec_10_2009	44.37	49.49	49.11	49.24			49.61(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	4	-6	1.27	64%	0.27	-25.2	1.87%	0	0.2	52	0

11	Dec_9_2009	44.25	49.52	49.13	49.05			49.32(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-2	-15	1.45	64%	0.27	-20.7	1.87%	0	-0.3	46	0
12	Dec_8_2009	44.13	49.56	49.16	49.13			49.02(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-0	-16	2.12	64%	0.23	-13.9	1.88%	0	-0.8	41	0
13	Dec_7_2009	44.03	49.61	49.23	49.14			48.79(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	-10000	1	-24	1.46	64%	0.3	19.7	1.88%	0	-1.2	35	0
14	Dec_4_2009	43.9	49.64	49.26	49.1			49.47(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	3	-33	0.99	64%	0.3	45.9	1.88%	0	-0.3	45	0
15	Dec_3_2009	43.77	49.64	49.23	48.95			48.64(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-6	-45	0.81	64%	0.3	66.9	1.88%	0	-1.5	44	0

16	Dec_2_2009	43.64	49.64	49.36	48.95			49.75(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-9	-10000	0	-37	1.24	67%	0.34	98.5	1.85%	0	0.1	46	0
17	Dec_1_2009	43.49	49.65	49.41	49.22			49.07(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-38	1.31	63%	0.35	124.1	1.85%	0	-0.9	43	0
18	Nov_30_2009	43.34	49.48	49.61	49.35			48.57(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-2	-27	1.17	59%	0.35	69.3	1.91%	0	-0.8	39	0
19	Nov_27_2009	43.19	49.34	49.79	49.43			48.73(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-2	-18	0.64	59%	0.65	50.7	1.91%	0	-0.4	49	0
20	Nov_25_2009	42.91	49.21	49.91	49.53			50(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	1	-13	0.81	63%	0.42	38	1.86%	0	0.4	53	0

21	Nov_24_2009	42.73	48.99	49.93	49.5			49.72(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-5	0.73	63%	0.42	31.6	1.86%	0	0.4	60	0
22	Nov_23_2009	42.55	48.82	49.98	49.65			49.73(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-10000	-6	1	1.03	63%	0.16	32.9	1.87%	0	0.5	51	0
23	Nov_20_2009	42.48	48.67	50.02	49.94			48.95(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-6	42	1.35	65%	0.4	37.8	1.87%	0	0.1	69	0
24	Nov_19_2009	42.31	48.59	50.07	50.2			49.27(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-2	78	1.95	65%	0.36	45.7	1.87%	0	0.3	70	0
25	Nov_18_2009	42.16	48.52	50.12	50.31			49.84(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-2	108	1.08	66%		52.5	1.86%	0	0.7	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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