Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $42.5500 (0.64%) ($42.4100 - $42.9800) on Tue. Sep. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $42.5500(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    PEJ(66%)    XLY(63%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(2%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.42(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.78(1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.39(2.8%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36%
Market Cap   $6.532b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2009	37.84	41.39	41.78	42.42			42.55(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	6	104	0.52	59%	0.05	31.9	1.72%	0	1.2	83	0
2	Sep_21_2009	37.82	41.34	41.59	42.19			42.28(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	7	91	0.61	59%	0.11	36	1.76%	0	1	61	0
3	Sep_18_2009	37.78	41.32	41.41	41.93			42.43(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	9	69	0.54	59%	0.11	34.1	1.77%	0	1.2	51	0
4	Sep_17_2009	37.74	41.25	41.15	41.6			42.41(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	8	36	0.5	59%	0.11	20.2	1.79%	0	1.3	48	0
5	Sep_16_2009	37.7	41.17	40.88	41.31			42.43(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5	-10000	6	3	0.52	59%	0.16	7.4	1.79%	0	1.5	49	0

6	Sep_15_2009	37.64	41.08	40.6	41.07			41.4(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	5	-26	0.39	52%	0.11	-3.6	1.8%	0	0.4	40	0
7	Sep_14_2009	37.6	41.08	40.54	40.9			41(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	3	-40	0.27	52%	0.08	-20.8	1.86%	0	-0	42	0
8	Sep_11_2009	37.57	41.01	40.62	40.79			40.76(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	-10000	5	-46	0.36	52%	0.21	-31.7	1.86%	0	-0.3	38	0
9	Sep_10_2009	37.49	41.07	40.75	40.62			40.95(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	7	-45	0.43	52%	0.21	-31.6	1.86%	0	-0.1	49	0
10	Sep_9_2009	37.41	41.07	40.86	40.36			41.25(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	8	-48	0.39	52%	0.24	-36.3	1.85%	0	0.2	53	0

11	Sep_8_2009	37.32	41.11	40.94	40.06			40.55(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	-10000	-2	-56	0.34	52%	0.38	-46.7	1.85%	0	-0.6	50	0
12	Sep_4_2009	37.18	41.18	41.07	40.14			40.45(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-8	-42	0.4	52%	0.24	-39.8	1.85%	0	-0.8	58	0
13	Sep_3_2009	37.09	41.28	41.23	40.44			39.88(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-13	-25	0.55	52%	0.22	-20.2	1.85%	0	-1.6	44	0
14	Sep_2_2009	37.01	41.35	41.37	40.92			39.67(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-13	-10	0.96	52%	0.24	2	1.86%	0	-2	36	0
15	Sep_1_2009	36.92	41.43	41.52	41.43			39.76(-2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-8	-10000	-13	6	1.01	52%	0.22	35.2	1.87%	0	-2.3	39	0

16	Aug_31_2009	36.84	41.52	41.65	41.93			40.93(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	3	-10000	-5	28	0.54	56%	0.11	77	1.85%	0	-0.9	49	0
17	Aug_28_2009	36.8	41.54	41.57	42.11			41.96(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	-0	23	0.8	60%	0.3	89	1.86%	0	0.6	49	0
18	Aug_27_2009	36.69	41.46	41.48	42.12			42.3(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	6	17	0.39	60%	0.33	85.6	1.87%	0	1.1	48	0
19	Aug_26_2009	36.57	41.33	41.44	41.89			42.22(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	6	14	0.51	64%	0.36	69.8	1.91%	0	1	57	0
20	Aug_25_2009	36.44	41.18	41.38	41.64			42.24(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	8	8	0.54	64%	0.3	66.4	1.97%	0	1.2	56	0

21	Aug_24_2009	36.33	41.04	41.27	41.33			41.83(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	9	-5	0.73	64%	0.25	65.2	1.98%	0	0.9	53	0
22	Aug_21_2009	36.24	40.94	41.28	40.95			42.02(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	5	-17	0.54	64%	0.3	58.2	1.98%	0	1.1	55	0
23	Aug_20_2009	36.13	40.8	41.28	40.75			41.14(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.34	62%	0.31	65	2.02%	0	0.3	58	0
24	Aug_19_2009	36.02	40.72	41.29	40.93			40.96(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10000	-4	2	0.28	62%	0.33	72	2.03%	0	0.2	60	0
25	Aug_18_2009	35.9	40.58	41.31	41.09			40.72(2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-3	23	0.32	66%		77.7	2.03%	0	0.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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