Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $34.5400 (1.47%) ($33.4700 - $35.0300) on Fri. May. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $34.5400(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    PEJ(66%)    XLY(64%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(3%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $36.48
5 Day Moving Average   $35.01(-1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.89(-1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.48(-5.32%)
To recent high   -13.7%
To recent low   51.8%
Market Cap   $5.302b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 5.04% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2009	31.89	36.48	34.89	35.01			34.54(1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	2	-68	0.66	63%	0.09	13.1	3.97%	0	-1.1	25	0
2	May_21_2009	31.86	36.64	35.21	34.89			34.04(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	0	-75	1.39	63%	0	21.6	4%	0	-1.4	30	0
3	May_20_2009	31.86	36.65	35.55	34.87			35.19(-1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	3	-77	1.34	63%	0.06	25.4	4%	0	-0.7	39	0
4	May_19_2009	31.84	36.57	35.86	34.67			35.63(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	0	-82	0.92	63%	0.13	24.6	4.03%	0	-0.4	39	0
5	May_18_2009	31.8	36.42	36.15	34.64			35.64(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-2	-78	1.18	63%	0.09	24.6	4.04%	0	-0.3	47	0

6	May_15_2009	31.77	36.24	36.56	34.8			33.94(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-12	-72	0.78	62%	0.09	25.2	3.98%	0	-0.9	38	0
7	May_14_2009	31.74	36.23	37.07	35.63			33.95(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-9	-49	0.62	62%	0.03	35.7	4.01%	0	-0.9	37	0
8	May_13_2009	31.73	36.15	37.51	36.32			34.2(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-12	-20	0.62	62%	0.09	43.9	4.05%	0	-0.7	57	0
9	May_12_2009	31.7	36.04	37.96	37.2			35.48(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-9	20	0.77	62%	0.13	52.9	4.05%	0	-0.2	64	0
10	May_11_2009	31.66	35.84	38.14	37.86			36.42(-4.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-9	53	0.56	62%	0.13	57.5	4.04%	0	0.2	69	0

11	May_8_2009	31.62	35.62	38.26	38.58			38.08(1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	98	0.65	61%	0.16	63.2	3.99%	0	0.8	78	0
12	May_7_2009	31.57	35.32	38.22	38.75			37.43(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-10000	-2	123	0.83	61%	0.16	65.1	4.01%	0	0.7	66	0
13	May_6_2009	31.52	34.97	37.89	38.87			38.61(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	0	139	0.74	61%	0.22	64.7	4.02%	0	1.1	74	0
14	May_5_2009	31.45	34.53	37.36	38.83			38.76(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10000	5	152	0.96	61%	0.29	65.5	4.05%	0	1.3	75	0
15	May_4_2009	31.36	34.15	36.74	38.45			40.01(2.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	-10000	7	155	1.38	61%	0.29	68.2	4.04%	0	1.8	81	0

16	May_1_2009	31.27	33.74	35.89	37.91			38.95(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	4	145	1.41	63%	0.22	72.4	4.02%	0	1.8	73	0
17	Apr_30_2009	31.2	33.36	35.3	37.64			38.03(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	12	152	1.38	61%	0.13	77	4.04%	0	1.7	72	0
18	Apr_29_2009	31.16	32.95	34.66	36.75			38.38(4.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	15	139	1.05	58%	0.19	70.8	4.1%	0	2.1	77	0
19	Apr_28_2009	31.1	32.47	33.93	35.66			36.86(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	13	119	1.07	61%	0.1	63.1	4.14%	0	1.9	76	0
20	Apr_27_2009	31.07	32.07	33.32	34.73			37.32(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-10000	16	91	1.83	61%	0.19	53.2	4.42%	0	2.4	69	0

21	Apr_24_2009	31.01	31.73	32.73	33.55			37.59(11.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	24	-10000	12	61	3.16	61%	0.23	54.8	4.38%	0	3.2	64	0
22	Apr_23_2009	30.94	31.41	32.11	32.67			33.62(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	6	40	2.03	57%	0.1	73.5	4.17%	0	1.8	57	0
23	Apr_22_2009	30.91	31.23	31.76	32.26			32.92(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	5	31	1.34	54%	0.1	72.9	4.17%	0	1.5	62	0
24	Apr_21_2009	30.88	31.06	31.46	31.93			32.21(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	4	26	0.73	54%	0.1	70.6	4.22%	0	1	64	0
25	Apr_20_2009	30.85	30.94	31.36	31.66			31.42(-5.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	27	1.27	52%		76	4.22%	0	0.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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