Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SWK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 1, 2008

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $42.4900 (1.8%) ($40.8100 - $42.6400) on Wed. Oct. 1, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $42.4900(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(74%)    SPY(73%)    PEJ(68%)    XLY(68%)    EWG(65%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.94(-17.77%)
Resistance Level   $45.58
5 Day Moving Average   $43.11(-1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.42(-4.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.58(-6.78%)
To recent high   -14.1%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $6.522b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 4.78% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2008	46.36	45.58	44.42	43.11			42.49(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-11	-81	0.78	53%	-0.15	-57.3	2.77%	0	-1.4	40	0
2	Sep_30_2008	46.43	45.93	44.56	43.75			41.74(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-13	-81	1.13	53%	-0.17	-46.6	2.76%	0	-2	38	0
3	Sep_29_2008	46.51	46.26	45.01	44.54			40.55(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-30	-10000	-17	-69	1.74	52%	-0.17	-39.1	2.74%	0	-3	33	0
4	Sep_26_2008	46.59	46.66	45.65	45.63			44.7(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-9	-49	0.79	56%	-0.09	-33	2.48%	0	-1.4	38	0
5	Sep_25_2008	46.63	46.82	45.98	46.14			46.07(0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	4	-28	0.63	58%	-0.06	-22.5	2.48%	0	-0.6	45	0

6	Sep_24_2008	46.66	46.87	46.05	45.94			45.67(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	8	-35	0.52	58%	-0.09	-25.3	2.48%	0	-0.9	44	0
7	Sep_23_2008	46.7	46.93	46.17	45.51			45.7(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-64	0.7	58%	-0.09	-35.1	2.48%	0	-1	38	0
8	Sep_22_2008	46.74	47.01	46.32	45.57			46(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-2	-67	0.72	58%	-0.09	-35.1	2.48%	0	-0.8	44	0
9	Sep_19_2008	46.78	47.01	46.53	45.69			47.27(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-18	-10000	-3	-64	1.12	59%	-0.06	-32	2.47%	0	0.1	48	0
10	Sep_18_2008	46.81	47.11	46.55	45.86			45.04(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-6	-64	1.78	55%	-0.06	-30.9	2.41%	0	-1.7	41	0

11	Sep_17_2008	46.84	47.2	46.8	46.22			43.55(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-23	-10000	-12	-56	1.07	52%	-0.13	-26.9	2.39%	0	-3.2	39	0
12	Sep_16_2008	46.9	47.37	47.4	46.88			45.98(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-5	-22	1.09	55%	-0.06	-21.6	2.31%	0	-1.8	49	0
13	Sep_15_2008	46.93	47.45	47.62	47.14			46.6(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-6	-11	0.82	55%	-0.06	-23.7	2.31%	0	-1.2	48	0
14	Sep_12_2008	46.96	47.51	47.77	47.47			48.12(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2	-10000	2	2	0.71	59%	0	-10.3	2.3%	0	0.9	51	0
15	Sep_11_2008	46.96	47.49	47.73	47.37			46.87(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-0	1.17	56%	-0.06	0.7	2.28%	0	-0.9	49	0

16	Sep_10_2008	46.99	47.51	47.76	47.49			46.85(-0.91%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-6	-10000	-9	4	0.84	56%	-0.06	9.1	2.31%	0	-1	55	0
17	Sep_9_2008	47.02	47.54	47.77	48.01			47.28(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-3	23	0.92	56%	-0.06	39.7	2.31%	0	-0.4	56	0
18	Sep_8_2008	47.05	47.62	47.78	48.16			48.25(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	1	30	1.19	56%	-0.04	73.2	2.29%	0	0.9	55	0
19	Sep_5_2008	47.07	47.58	47.74	48.1			47.6(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-1	29	0.46	55%	-0.06	90.1	2.3%	0	0	50	0
20	Sep_4_2008	47.1	47.49	47.72	48.14			47.45(-4.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	9	-10000	2	29	0.74	55%	-0.04	85.3	2.32%	0	-0	47	0

21	Sep_3_2008	47.12	47.44	47.63	48.05			49.46(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	10	27	1.03	58%	0.02	85.8	2.26%	0	2.3	64	0
22	Sep_2_2008	47.11	47.28	47.32	47.5			48.05(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	3	3	0.71	55%	0	82.8	2.24%	0	1	53	0
23	Aug_29_2008	47.11	47.1	47.25	47.5			47.95(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	0	-11	0.41	55%	-0.02	53.4	2.24%	0	0.8	43	0
24	Aug_28_2008	47.12	46.94	47.25	47.35			47.8(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-10	0.59	55%	-0.04	48	2.24%	0	0.7	51	0
25	Aug_27_2008	47.14	46.78	47.21	47.25			47(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	2	-1	0.46	55%		43.2	2.24%	0	0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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