Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $59.3700 (0.9%) ($58.6600 - $59.4200) on Thu. May. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $59.3700(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(74%)    SPY(73%)    PEJ(68%)    XLY(68%)    EWG(65%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.03(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.24(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.95(2.45%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $9.114b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2007	55.2	57.95	59.24	59.03			59.37(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-3	63	0.48	37%	0.16	48.1	1.36%	0	0.9	72	0
2	May_2_2007	55.11	57.81	59.11	59.13			58.84(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-11	83	0.54	40%	0.15	54.6	1.36%	0	0.6	72	0
3	May_1_2007	55.03	57.7	59.02	59.56			58.56(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	28	-10000	-4	125	0.51	42%	0.15	66.2	1.37%	0	0.5	72	0
4	Apr_30_2007	54.95	57.56	58.92	59.74			58.28(-3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	35	-10000	-1	144	1.08	45%	0.13	70	1.4%	0	0.4	64	0
5	Apr_27_2007	54.88	57.42	58.82	59.79			60.08(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	8	168	0.85	49%	0.16	68.2	1.33%	0	1.6	74	0

6	Apr_26_2007	54.79	57.18	58.4	59.47			59.87(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	10	151	1.15	55%	0.16	65.3	1.35%	0	1.7	70	0
7	Apr_25_2007	54.7	56.94	57.96	59.08			61.01(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	42	-10000	15	121	1.2	55%	0.18	60.7	1.46%	0	2.6	78	0
8	Apr_24_2007	54.6	56.64	57.36	58.42			59.45(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	10	87	1.27	52%	0.17	64	1.45%	0	2.2	73	0
9	Apr_23_2007	54.51	56.43	57	58.01			58.54(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	7	71	0.85	50%	0.15	69.4	1.45%	0	1.9	74	0
10	Apr_20_2007	54.43	56.29	56.75	57.71			58.47(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	27	-10000	13	69	1.1	50%	0.15	80.2	1.44%	0	2.2	76	0

11	Apr_19_2007	54.35	56.14	56.53	57.16			57.91(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	13	55	0.73	48%	0.15	81.3	1.44%	0	2.1	74	0
12	Apr_18_2007	54.27	56.01	56.38	56.64			57.74(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	12	43	0.9	48%	0.15	82.3	1.46%	0	2.4	74	0
13	Apr_17_2007	54.19	55.85	56.24	56.13			57.4(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	12	-10000	7	27	1.3	48%	0.15	60.7	1.47%	0	2.3	69	0
14	Apr_16_2007	54.11	55.69	56.07	55.85			57.02(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	8	-10000	4	18	1.15	48%	0.11	33.6	1.47%	0	2	66	0
15	Apr_13_2007	54.05	55.53	55.9	55.67			55.71(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-4	4	0.59	44%	0.04	8.5	1.44%	0	0.3	47	0

16	Apr_12_2007	54.03	55.46	55.9	55.83			55.33(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-6	8	0.48	44%	0.07	0	1.45%	0	-0.2	48	0
17	Apr_11_2007	53.99	55.42	55.87	56.07			55.18(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-7	15	0.61	46%	0.09	0	1.45%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	Apr_10_2007	53.94	55.44	55.9	56.34			56(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	1	36	0.48	48%	0.09	9.9	1.44%	0	0.7	69	0
19	Apr_9_2007	53.89	55.46	55.84	56.3			56.12(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	4	45	0.46	51%	0.15	27.3	1.45%	0	0.8	75	0
20	Apr_5_2007	53.81	55.47	55.82	56.15			56.5(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	6	55	0.35	51%	0.09	32.7	1.45%	0	1.2	82	0

21	Apr_4_2007	53.76	55.46	55.73	55.91			56.55(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	7	56	0.55	51%	0.13	31.3	1.45%	0	1.3	73	0
22	Apr_3_2007	53.69	55.42	55.62	55.64			56.53(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	6	53	1.24	51%	0.13	25.7	1.45%	0	1.4	70	0
23	Apr_2_2007	53.62	55.36	55.42	55.41			55.81(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	2	36	0.54	51%	0.13	16.6	1.45%	0	0.5	51	0
24	Mar_30_2007	53.55	55.24	55.26	55.33			55.36(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10000	-3	14	0.62	51%	0.13	-9.1	1.46%	0	0.1	38	0
25	Mar_29_2007	53.48	55.19	55.12	55.45			55.32(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-1	3	0.51	51%		-21	1.47%	0	0.1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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