Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SWK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $51.0700 (1.49%) ($50.0300 - $51.2900) on Thu. Mar. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $51.0700(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(73%)    SPY(73%)    PEJ(68%)    XLY(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.37(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.01(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.54(3.09%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $7.84b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2006	48.46	49.54	50.01	50.37			51.07(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	18	-10000	8	49	0.62	61%	0.14	58.4	1.37%	0	2.3	78	0
2	Mar_1_2006	48.39	49.44	49.89	50.08			50.32(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	15	-10000	5	46	0.78	62%	0.12	34.2	1.36%	0	1.5	76	0
3	Feb_28_2006	48.33	49.37	49.82	49.91			50.14(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	5	49	0.53	62%	0.1	0	1.37%	0	1.4	78	0
4	Feb_27_2006	48.28	49.32	49.72	49.75			50.33(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	4	44	0.55	62%	0.1	-30.5	1.37%	0	1.9	66	0
5	Feb_24_2006	48.23	49.24	49.6	49.61			50(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	1	38	0.49	62%	0.1	-51.6	1.37%	0	1.7	64	0

6	Feb_23_2006	48.18	49.15	49.49	49.59			49.6(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-2	38	0.64	62%	0.08	-70	1.38%	0	0.9	63	0
7	Feb_22_2006	48.14	49.25	49.4	49.67			49.49(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	39	0.68	62%	0.08	-32.1	1.38%	0	0.3	52	0
8	Feb_21_2006	48.1	49.37	49.29	49.7			49.35(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	1	36	0.99	62%	0.08	-15.8	1.38%	0	-0	54	0
9	Feb_17_2006	48.06	49.47	49.25	49.68			49.59(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	3	36	0.75	62%	0.06	-9.8	1.37%	0	0.1	57	0
10	Feb_16_2006	48.03	49.48	49.18	49.58			49.94(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	7	32	0.62	62%	0.08	-12.8	1.36%	0	0.4	62	0

11	Feb_15_2006	47.99	49.5	49.05	49.36			49.99(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	8	27	1.06	62%	0.13	-18	1.37%	0	0.4	72	0
12	Feb_14_2006	47.93	49.49	48.96	49.08			49.64(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	8	-7	0.91	62%	0.1	-22.8	1.37%	0	0.1	34	0
13	Feb_13_2006	47.88	49.54	48.89	48.82			49.22(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	2	-50	0.62	62%	0.1	-23.9	1.36%	0	-0.3	29	0
14	Feb_10_2006	47.83	49.58	48.86	48.76			49.1(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	1	-74	0.58	62%	0.08	-20.2	1.37%	0	-0.4	35	0
15	Feb_9_2006	47.79	49.63	48.85	48.72			48.85(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	1	-85	0.72	62%	0.08	-13.1	1.37%	0	-0.7	47	0

16	Feb_8_2006	47.75	49.7	48.78	48.69			48.61(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-4	-108	0.48	56%	0.06	-6	1.37%	0	-0.9	43	0
17	Feb_7_2006	47.72	49.76	49.07	48.81			48.3(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-4	-88	0.59	56%	0.06	3.1	1.4%	0	-1.3	43	0
18	Feb_6_2006	47.69	49.76	49.46	48.96			48.93(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-10000	-1	-68	0.44	56%	0.06	12.3	1.4%	0	-0.8	43	0
19	Feb_3_2006	47.66	49.82	49.71	48.98			48.9(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-57	0.88	56%	0.06	13.1	1.4%	0	-0.8	46	0
20	Feb_2_2006	47.63	49.78	49.81	49			48.69(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	-10000	4	-56	0.97	56%	0.06	9.4	1.4%	0	-0.9	46	0

21	Feb_1_2006	47.6	49.77	49.99	48.87			49.24(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-15	-70	0.72	56%	0.04	5.3	1.39%	0	-0.4	47	0
22	Jan_31_2006	47.58	49.72	50.08	49.39			49.04(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-20	-46	1.01	59%	0.06	15.1	1.39%	0	-0.5	49	0
23	Jan_30_2006	47.55	49.69	50.25	50.07			49.02(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-14	-2	1.28	59%	0.06	27.3	1.4%	0	-0.5	51	0
24	Jan_27_2006	47.52	49.68	50.38	50.58			48.99(1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-4	36	1.2	59%	0.06	38	1.46%	0	-0.5	54	0
25	Jan_26_2006	47.49	49.67	50.5	50.74			48.07(-7.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2	6	-10000	-12	58	4.58	56%		43.3	1.47%	0	-1.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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