Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 16, 2005

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $47.3600 (0.94%) ($46.8200 - $47.3600) on Wed. Nov. 16, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $47.3600(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(73%)    SPY(73%)    PEJ(68%)    XLY(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.13(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.2(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.21(0.32%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $7.27b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2005	46.64	47.21	47.2	47.13			47.36(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	4	-6	0.23	57%	0.04	15.2	1.5%	0	0.3	66	0
2	Nov_15_2005	46.62	47.22	47.23	47			46.92(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.22	57%	0.04	34.2	1.54%	0	-0.6	53	0
3	Nov_14_2005	46.6	47.21	47.33	46.98			47.11(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-5	-3	0.29	57%	0.04	50	1.54%	0	-0.2	51	0
4	Nov_11_2005	46.58	47.23	47.41	47.15			47.28(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-1	7	0.27	57%	0.04	74.1	1.54%	0	0.1	46	0
5	Nov_10_2005	46.56	47.25	47.4	47.18			47(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-3	7	0.36	57%	0.04	61.8	1.53%	0	-0.3	49	0

6	Nov_9_2005	46.54	47.13	47.29	47.28			46.69(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-6	3	0.23	57%	0.02	50	1.53%	0	-0.4	51	0
7	Nov_8_2005	46.53	47.03	47.31	47.49			46.81(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-6	7	0.64	57%	0.02	47.9	1.54%	0	-0.2	47	0
8	Nov_7_2005	46.52	46.94	47.34	47.49			47.95(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	0	23	0.38	61%	0.04	46.6	1.51%	0	0.9	58	0
9	Nov_4_2005	46.5	46.83	47.32	47.71			47.43(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	26	0.24	58%	0.04	42.3	1.52%	0	0.5	50	0
10	Nov_3_2005	46.48	46.73	47.3	47.66			47.5(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	10	25	0.51	58%	0.06	36.4	1.52%	0	0.7	48	0

11	Nov_2_2005	46.45	46.63	47.23	47.3			47.75(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	6	24	0.48	58%	0.06	24.5	1.53%	0	0.9	66	0
12	Nov_1_2005	46.42	46.5	47.2	47.09			47.94(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	5	38	0.59	58%	0.06	17.9	1.53%	0	1.2	67	0
13	Oct_31_2005	46.39	46.41	47.07	46.92			47.93(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	1	45	0.7	58%	0.09	20.6	1.53%	0	1.3	64	0
14	Oct_28_2005	46.35	46.34	47.01	46.9			47.18(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-1	60	0.49	56%	0.09	30.3	1.52%	0	0.8	57	0
15	Oct_27_2005	46.31	46.31	47.06	46.92			45.69(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	16	-10000	-6	80	0.49	51%	0.02	39.3	1.47%	0	-0.6	53	0

16	Oct_26_2005	46.3	46.34	46.97	47.13			46.69(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-5	85	0.56	55%	0.06	52	1.46%	0	0.3	58	0
17	Oct_25_2005	46.27	46.3	46.76	47.3			47.09(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	2	92	0.91	55%	0.06	58.4	1.46%	0	0.7	61	0
18	Oct_24_2005	46.24	46.18	46.54	47.22			47.87(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	2	79	0.52	58%	0.06	52.2	1.45%	0	1.5	58	0
19	Oct_21_2005	46.21	46.02	46.31	47.14			47.28(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-3	65	0.75	58%	0.06	49.8	1.44%	0	1.2	52	0
20	Oct_20_2005	46.18	45.89	46.13	47.24			46.73(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	28	-10000	14	69	0.42	58%	0.02	48.1	1.44%	0	0.8	50	0

21	Oct_19_2005	46.17	45.8	45.99	46.76			47.52(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	19	41	0.56	56%	0.07	29.9	1.43%	0	1.6	57	0
22	Oct_18_2005	46.14	45.66	45.75	46.13			46.71(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	12	1	0.6	66%	0	9.3	1.44%	0	1.1	55	0
23	Oct_17_2005	46.14	45.59	45.68	45.73			47.48(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	6	-10000	9	-5	0.73	69%	0.07	-7.7	1.85%	0	2	66	0
24	Oct_14_2005	46.11	45.48	45.58	45.36			47.76(7.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.8	7	-10000	11	-6	2.05	69%	0.09	-27	1.86%	0	2.7	67	0
25	Oct_13_2005	46.07	45.39	45.44	44.92			44.31(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-6	-22	0.44	60%		-48.4	1.59%	0	-1.5	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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