Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures)
SVXY latest price $135.4600 (2.73%) ($132.0800 - $136.4000) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.97% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $135.4600(2.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SVXY advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SVXY advances 6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(54%)    IVE(52%)    IVW(52%)    IWF(52%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting SVXY price   SVXY will decline at least -2.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.485% (StdDev 4.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $132.18(2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $127.88(5.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.87(11.15%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   61.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SVXY price fluctuates within 6.78% (three month std-dev: 4.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2016	109.36	121.87	127.88	132.18			135.46(2.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	23	-10000	5	75	2.37	44%	0.43	100.6	4.97%	0	1.6	78	0
2	Aug_3_2016	108.89	120.29	126.09	130.5			131.86(2.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	4	70	3.06	43%	0.42	98.2	4.97%	0	1.4	76	0
3	Aug_2_2016	108.43	118.82	124.97	129.08			128.56(-3.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	4	69	4.92	45%	0.39	95.3	5%	0	1.1	74	0
4	Aug_1_2016	108.01	117.4	123.89	127.78			133.58(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	23	-10000	8	69	2.45	45%	0.45	102.5	5.02%	0	1.8	87	0
5	Jul_29_2016	107.53	115.76	122.22	125.24			131.44(3.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	21	-10000	7	62	2.79	45%	0.47	106.4	5.06%	0	1.8	88	0

6	Jul_28_2016	107.03	114.09	120.57	122.98			127.04(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	18	-10000	6	55	2.38	43%	0.45	88.8	5.07%	0	1.5	86	0
7	Jul_27_2016	106.55	112.53	119.33	121.06			124.76(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	15	-10000	2	54	3.29	43%	0.43	73.5	5.13%	0	1.4	89	0
8	Jul_26_2016	106.09	110.87	118.31	120.3			122.06(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	-10000	3	64	3.53	43%	0.38	56.7	5.13%	0	1.2	89	0
9	Jul_25_2016	105.69	109.03	117.41	119.39			120.88(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	2	74	3.98	43%	0.36	35.6	5.14%	0	1.1	90	0
10	Jul_22_2016	105.31	107.33	116.38	118.7			120.14(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-10000	3	82	2.56	43%	0.35	24.5	5.14%	0	1.1	83	0

11	Jul_21_2016	104.94	107.04	115.42	117.77			117.46(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	2	91	3.2	43%	0.35	28.2	5.14%	0	0.9	84	0
12	Jul_20_2016	104.57	106.44	114.12	117.26			120.94(2.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	4	101	2.97	43%	0.39	30.3	5.13%	0	1.3	93	0
13	Jul_19_2016	104.16	105.8	112.26	116.03			117.54(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-10000	3	109	3.83	43%	0.43	33.2	5.12%	0	1.1	93	0
14	Jul_18_2016	103.71	105.37	110.49	115.12			117.44(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	5	125	3.11	46%	0.42	38	5.13%	0	1.2	95	0
15	Jul_15_2016	103.28	104.64	108.87	113.71			115.46(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	3	136	3.3	46%	0.39	30	5.18%	0	1.1	88	0

16	Jul_14_2016	102.88	104	107.15	112.7			114.9(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	8	113	3.47	46%	0.42	16.7	5.18%	0	1.2	50	0
17	Jul_13_2016	102.45	103.27	105.21	110.44			114.82(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	9	89	2.91	48%	0.41	-4.1	5.18%	0	1.3	57	0
18	Jul_12_2016	102.03	102.49	102.83	107.88			112.96(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	10	53	3.86	48%	0.36	-28	5.21%	0	1.2	53	0
19	Jul_11_2016	101.66	101.71	99.97	105.14			110.4(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	7	6	3.82	48%	0.38	-54.7	5.22%	0	1.1	51	0
20	Jul_8_2016	101.28	101.84	97.55	103.3			110.42(6.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	9	-24	4.66	48%	0.4	-64.8	5.22%	0	1	56	0

21	Jul_7_2016	100.88	102.49	97.84	100.84			103.62(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	6	-29	4.91	42%	0.34	-62.5	5.17%	0	0.1	53	0
22	Jul_6_2016	100.54	103.63	97.99	99.19			101.98(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	9	-32	5.7	45%	0.34	-56.5	5.31%	0	-0.1	54	0
23	Jul_5_2016	100.2	104.92	98.66	96.97			99.26(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	12	-34	5.03	43%	0.35	-53.6	5.36%	0	-0.4	53	0
24	Jul_1_2016	99.85	106.39	99.71	93.87			101.22(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	12	-41	4.49	43%	0.4	-52.3	5.37%	0	-0.4	56	0
25	Jun_30_2016	99.45	107.68	99.95	90.85			98.12(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-31	-10000	-15	-80	4.62	43%		-53.7	5.33%	0	-0.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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