Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures)
SVXY latest price $73.1400 (-5.01%) ($72.8000 - $76.5400) on Tue. Feb. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.03% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $73.1400(-5.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SVXY advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SVXY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(53%)    IVW(53%)    IWD(53%)    IWF(53%)
Factors Impacting SVXY price   SVXY will decline at least -2.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.515% (StdDev 5.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.95(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.62(5.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.69(2.02%)
To recent high   -40%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. SVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. SVXY price fluctuates within 6.14% (three month std-dev: 5.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2016	99.61	71.69	69.62	72.95			73.14(-5.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	6	17	3.11	30%	-0.36	4.9	5.03%	0	0.3	48	0
2	Feb_22_2016	99.97	71.64	69.04	71.95			77(5.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	9	-10000	14	-8	4.23	30%	-0.26	-1.1	5.01%	0	1.2	44	0
3	Feb_19_2016	100.23	71.56	68.31	69.58			72.86(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	12	-42	5.29	26%	-0.24	-19.9	4.97%	0	0.3	40	0
4	Feb_18_2016	100.47	71.44	68.3	67.5			70.96(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	5	-67	4.05	31%	-0.25	-39.6	4.97%	0	-0.1	43	0
5	Feb_17_2016	100.72	71.41	68.58	66.61			70.8(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-14	-10000	5	-72	2.53	31%	-0.21	-60.4	5.06%	0	-0.1	48	0

6	Feb_16_2016	100.93	71.48	68.79	65.86			68.14(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	1	-84	3.35	36%	-0.21	-75.1	5.07%	0	-0.8	39	0
7	Feb_12_2016	101.14	71.69	69.8	65.73			65.16(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-7	-77	3.2	32%	-0.36	-85.1	5.23%	0	-1.5	42	0
8	Feb_11_2016	101.51	72.43	71.09	66.89			62.46(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-12	-67	6.57	32%	-0.41	-82.2	5.29%	0	-2.3	32	0
9	Feb_10_2016	101.93	73.2	72.44	69.17			66.5(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-9	-42	3.45	34%	-0.35	-99.2	5.25%	0	-1.8	48	0
10	Feb_9_2016	102.29	74.15	73.14	70.8			67.02(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-7	-25	4.69	34%	-0.42	-88.2	5.27%	0	-1.6	49	0

11	Feb_8_2016	102.72	74.91	74.07	72.14			67.52(-4.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-12	-10	5.76	34%	-0.34	-93.5	5.3%	0	-1.7	47	0
12	Feb_5_2016	103.07	75.54	74.66	74.46			70.94(-3.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	12	4.82	34%	-0.43	-106.8	5.29%	0	-1.1	51	0
13	Feb_4_2016	103.52	76.2	75.23	75.92			73.86(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-1	23	3.65	34%	-0.41	-109.5	5.29%	0	-0.5	43	0
14	Feb_3_2016	103.95	77.17	74.96	76.2			74.68(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	2	17	5.54	34%	-0.33	-89.3	5.3%	0	-0.4	48	0
15	Feb_2_2016	104.29	78.23	74.56	75.82			73.72(-6.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-2	-9	5.72	34%	-0.25	-77.8	5.29%	0	-0.6	39	0

16	Feb_1_2016	104.55	79.21	74.43	76.24			79.12(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	7	-16	3.74	35%	-0.19	-75	5.29%	0	-0	47	0
17	Jan_29_2016	104.75	80.19	73.68	74.9			78.24(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	2	-40	3.78	35%	-0.18	-80	5.28%	0	-0.2	49	0
18	Jan_28_2016	104.94	81.35	73.74	74.53			75.24(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	5	-48	4.55	35%	-0.19	-71.1	5.25%	0	-0.6	42	0
19	Jan_27_2016	105.14	82.83	73.89	73.58			72.76(-4.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-10000	3	-79	6.38	35%	-0.23	-63.3	5.25%	0	-0.9	33	0
20	Jan_26_2016	105.38	84.39	75.11	73.08			75.86(4.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10000	4	-97	4.41	35%	-0.29	-55.9	5.24%	0	-0.7	33	0

21	Jan_25_2016	105.69	85.73	75.66	72.31			72.42(-5.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	0	-120	4.69	35%	-0.16	-54.4	5.2%	0	-1.1	32	0
22	Jan_22_2016	105.86	87.37	76.39	72.24			76.38(8.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-40	-10000	-4	-147	5.1	39%	-0.19	-55.8	5.17%	0	-0.9	31	0
23	Jan_21_2016	106.06	88.71	77.15	72.97			70.5(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-7	-164	6.44	34%	-0.24	-52.6	5.17%	0	-1.4	23	0
24	Jan_20_2016	106.32	90.17	79.49	74.31			70.22(-2.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-54	-10000	-16	-168	9.93	34%	-0.16	-50.4	5.23%	0	-1.6	21	0
25	Jan_19_2016	106.49	91.48	82.18	77.47			72.02(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-10	-152	6.05	37%		-45.6	5.24%	0	-1.6	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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