Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures)
SVXY latest price $130.2800 (0.25%) ($125.2400 - $130.5000) on Wed. Mar. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.28% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $130.2800(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SVXY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SVXY advances 6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(59%)    IVE(57%)    VT(57%)    IWM(55%)    QQQ(55%)
Factors Impacting SVXY price   SVXY will decline at least -2.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-43%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-9%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.14% (StdDev 4.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $129.94(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.97(2.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.92(9.55%)
To recent high   -17.1%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SVXY price fluctuates within 7.93% (three month std-dev: 4.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2015	122.64	118.92	126.97	129.94			130.28(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	26	-10000	3	96	0.65	39%	0.1	70.9	4.28%	0	1.2	87	0
2	Mar_3_2015	122.52	117.83	125.6	129.17			129.96(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	2	103	0.71	39%	0.1	66.5	4.28%	0	1.3	85	0
3	Mar_2_2015	122.4	116.52	124.16	128.66			132.92(3.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-10000	8	118	0.68	42%	0.14	55.7	4.28%	0	1.8	92	0
4	Feb_27_2015	122.23	114.75	122.39	126.53			128.66(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	4	118	0.73	42%	0.09	39.4	4.31%	0	1.5	90	0
5	Feb_26_2015	122.12	113.71	120.93	125.36			127.86(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	7	119	0.82	42%	0.07	32.2	4.35%	0	1.6	75	0

6	Feb_25_2015	122.03	112.6	118.91	123.55			126.44(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	8	112	0.98	42%	0.07	24.5	4.38%	0	1.7	77	0
7	Feb_24_2015	121.95	112	117.08	121.44			127.44(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	9	99	0.69	42%	0.08	23.9	4.42%	0	2.1	71	0
8	Feb_23_2015	121.85	111.6	114.74	118.98			122.24(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	5	83	0.58	42%	0	26	4.42%	0	1.5	73	0
9	Feb_20_2015	121.85	111.26	112.98	117.62			122.84(3.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	27	-10000	7	85	1.07	42%	0.02	30.1	4.46%	0	1.8	78	0
10	Feb_19_2015	121.83	111.02	111.53	115.86			118.78(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	9	75	0.67	42%	-0.05	32.3	4.47%	0	1.2	58	0

11	Feb_18_2015	121.89	110.67	110.18	113.56			115.9(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	6	58	0.51	42%	-0.09	25.1	4.5%	0	0.8	59	0
12	Feb_17_2015	122	110.25	109.41	111.98			115.12(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	9	40	0.49	42%	-0.11	14.1	4.54%	0	0.8	48	0
13	Feb_13_2015	122.13	109.83	108.25	109.78			115.48(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	9	4	1.18	42%	-0.11	-5.1	4.58%	0	0.9	44	0
14	Feb_12_2015	122.26	109.3	106.49	107.61			114.02(6.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	4	-33	0.92	42%	-0.14	-29.1	4.62%	0	0.8	48	0
15	Feb_11_2015	122.43	108.99	105.87	106.66			107.26(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	1	-54	0.95	39%	-0.25	-40.4	4.57%	0	-0.3	41	0

16	Feb_10_2015	122.74	109.14	105.77	106.33			108.02(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-1	-64	0.93	39%	-0.24	-44.3	4.62%	0	-0.2	48	0
17	Feb_9_2015	123.04	109.4	106.49	106.48			104.12(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	0	-55	1.38	39%	-0.32	-45.5	4.62%	0	-0.9	50	0
18	Feb_6_2015	123.44	110.14	108.2	106.4			104.64(-4.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	6	-37	1.46	39%	-0.33	-48.2	4.67%	0	-0.9	51	0
19	Feb_5_2015	123.85	111.06	109.42	105.01			109.24(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	0	-36	0.91	39%	-0.27	-49.3	4.69%	0	-0.3	55	0
20	Feb_4_2015	124.18	111.42	110.43	104.97			105.62(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-25	1.22	39%	-0.34	-59.7	4.71%	0	-0.9	50	0

21	Feb_3_2015	124.6	111.81	111.2	105.15			108.76(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-6	-23	1.43	39%	-0.3	-75.6	4.75%	0	-0.5	51	0
22	Feb_2_2015	124.97	112.17	111.18	106.72			103.74(6.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-14	-23	2.54	36%	-0.4	-82.8	4.73%	0	-1.3	44	0
23	Jan_30_2015	125.47	113.19	111.63	110.46			97.7(-10.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14	-10000	-15	-12	2.7	33%	-0.54	-75.5	4.66%	0	-2.3	35	0
24	Jan_29_2015	126.15	114.47	111.63	114.36			109.04(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-9	-5	2.18	36%	-0.34	-80.7	4.47%	0	-0.9	38	0
25	Jan_28_2015	126.58	115.61	112.59	116.62			106.52(-8.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-3	-10000	-5	3	2.01	36%		-72.9	4.5%	0	-1.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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