Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures)
SVXY latest price $104.1200 (-0.5%) ($101.7800 - $104.6000) on Mon. Feb. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.62% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $104.1200(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SVXY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SVXY declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(59%)    IVE(57%)    VT(57%)    IWM(55%)    QQQ(55%)
Factors Impacting SVXY price   SVXY will decline at least -2.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-43%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.31% (StdDev 4.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $94.89(-8.86%)
Resistance Level   $109.4
5 Day Moving Average   $106.48(-2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.49(-2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.4(-4.83%)
To recent high   -33.7%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SVXY price fluctuates within 5.43% (three month std-dev: 4.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2015	123.04	109.4	106.49	106.48			104.12(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	0	-55	1.38	39%	-0.32	-45.5	4.62%	0	-0.9	50	0
2	Feb_6_2015	123.44	110.14	108.2	106.4			104.64(-4.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	6	-37	1.46	39%	-0.33	-48.2	4.67%	0	-0.9	51	0
3	Feb_5_2015	123.85	111.06	109.42	105.01			109.24(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	0	-36	0.91	39%	-0.27	-49.3	4.69%	0	-0.3	55	0
4	Feb_4_2015	124.18	111.42	110.43	104.97			105.62(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-25	1.22	39%	-0.34	-59.7	4.71%	0	-0.9	50	0
5	Feb_3_2015	124.6	111.81	111.2	105.15			108.76(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-6	-23	1.43	39%	-0.3	-75.6	4.75%	0	-0.5	51	0

6	Feb_2_2015	124.97	112.17	111.18	106.72			103.74(6.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-14	-23	2.54	36%	-0.4	-82.8	4.73%	0	-1.3	44	0
7	Jan_30_2015	125.47	113.19	111.63	110.46			97.7(-10.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14	-10000	-15	-12	2.7	33%	-0.54	-75.5	4.66%	0	-2.3	35	0
8	Jan_29_2015	126.15	114.47	111.63	114.36			109.04(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-9	-5	2.18	36%	-0.34	-80.7	4.47%	0	-0.9	38	0
9	Jan_28_2015	126.58	115.61	112.59	116.62			106.52(-8.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-3	-10000	-5	3	2.01	36%	-0.4	-72.9	4.5%	0	-1.5	44	0
10	Jan_27_2015	127.09	117.06	113.06	117.92			116.6(-4.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	7	14	1.65	40%	-0.22	-55.7	4.37%	0	-0.1	54	0

11	Jan_26_2015	127.37	117.96	112.69	116.16			122.46(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	13	1	0.85	42%	-0.1	-49.5	4.37%	0	0.5	55	0
12	Jan_23_2015	127.5	118.6	112.19	113.04			117.2(-2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	10	-27	0.97	39%	-0.23	-48.2	4.35%	0	-0.2	43	0
13	Jan_22_2015	127.79	119.5	112.68	110.59			120.34(6.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	10	-41	1.22	39%	-0.16	-44.6	4.4%	0	0.1	48	0
14	Jan_21_2015	128	120.24	112.18	108.16			112.98(4.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	2	-79	1.57	33%	-0.34	-40.3	4.29%	0	-0.7	34	0
15	Jan_20_2015	128.44	121.12	112.17	107.62			107.84(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10000	-5	-111	1.88	29%	-0.49	-35.1	4.25%	0	-1.2	27	0

16	Jan_16_2015	129.07	122.25	113	108.75			106.84(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-10	-125	1.79	29%	-0.53	-31	4.31%	0	-1.4	26	0
17	Jan_15_2015	129.76	123.27	114.73	111.25			104.96(-2.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-43	-10000	-15	-125	1.99	29%	-0.61	-29.8	4.35%	0	-1.7	23	0
18	Jan_14_2015	130.56	123.93	116.52	115.03			108.2(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-7	-113	2.39	29%	-0.57	-37.5	4.4%	0	-1.6	26	0
19	Jan_13_2015	131.31	124.67	118.97	116.72			110.24(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-2	-103	1.84	29%	-0.55	-48.9	4.48%	0	-1.6	27	0
20	Jan_12_2015	132.03	125.18	121.55	117.26			113.52(-4.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-2	-94	1.51	29%	-0.5	-69.9	4.54%	0	-1.4	37	0

21	Jan_9_2015	132.7	125.83	123.79	117.74			119.32(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-87	1.34	31%	-0.37	-86	4.55%	0	-0.8	42	0
22	Jan_8_2015	133.19	126.54	125.56	118.79			123.88(6.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	1	-69	1.12	31%	-0.27	-95.4	4.6%	0	-0.3	51	0
23	Jan_7_2015	133.55	127.7	126.77	118.48			116.64(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-12	-60	1.3	24%	-0.5	-97.4	4.48%	0	-1.3	57	0
24	Jan_6_2015	134.22	129.35	128.84	121.8			112.96(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-17	-29	2.81	24%	-0.66	-76.6	4.5%	0	-1.8	48	0
25	Jan_5_2015	135.11	131.51	130.79	126.54			115.92(-6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10000	-14	10	2.08	24%		0	4.58%	0	-1.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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