Trading Signals: STZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: STZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Constellation Brands Inc. Class A)
STZ latest price $168.6000 (1.66%) ($167.8800 - $173.5500) on Wed. Oct. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $168.6000(1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   STZ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   STZ advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support STZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(58%)    IWD(58%)    SDY(58%)    SPLV(56%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting STZ price   STZ will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $166.02(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $165.98(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $165(2.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $32.139b

Constellation Brands, Inc. engages in the production, marketing, and distribution of beer, wine, and spirits. It operates through the following segments: Beer, Wine and Spirits, and Corporate Operations and Other and Canopy. The Beer segment includes imported and craft beer brands. The Wine and Spirits segment sells wine brands across all categories-table wine, sparkling wine and dessert wine-and across all price points. The Corporate Operations and Other segment comprises of costs of executive management, corporate development, corporate finance, human resources, internal audit, investor relations, legal, public relations and information technology. The Canopy segment consists of canopy equity method Investments. The company was founded by Marvin Sands in 1945 and is headquartered in Victor, NY.

$. STZ price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2016	161.9	165	165.98	166.02			168.6(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16	-10000	9	35	4.5	57%	0.07	7.6	0.88%	0	2.1	54	0
2	Oct_4_2016	161.79	164.84	165.67	165.36			165.85(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	-0	29	1.5	53%	0.02	-4.1	0.87%	0	0.6	59	0
3	Oct_3_2016	161.76	164.88	165.39	165.39			165.51(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	-0	36	1.24	53%	0.02	-3	0.88%	0	0.4	62	0
4	Sep_30_2016	161.72	164.93	165.14	165.4			166.49(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	-0	28	1.66	60%	0.03	1	0.89%	0	0.9	53	0
5	Sep_29_2016	161.67	164.84	164.94	165.43			163.67(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-6	32	1	57%	0.01	-4	0.98%	0	-0.7	54	0

6	Sep_28_2016	161.66	164.87	165.22	165.9			165.3(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-1	48	0.98	65%	0.01	-3	0.98%	0	0.3	49	0
7	Sep_27_2016	161.65	164.91	164.97	166			165.96(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	7	41	0.98	65%	0.03	-2	1.04%	0	0.6	49	0
8	Sep_26_2016	161.6	164.93	164.53	165.37			165.58(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	7	11	0.91	65%	0.04	-9.8	1.04%	0	0.4	47	0
9	Sep_23_2016	161.54	164.92	164.44	164.79			166.63(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	4	-7	0.71	62%	0.05	-19.4	1.08%	0	1	48	0
10	Sep_22_2016	161.46	164.91	164.01	164.39			166.02(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-7	-10000	-1	-25	1.06	62%	0.04	-22.3	1.09%	0	0.7	52	0

11	Sep_21_2016	161.39	164.92	163.92	164.48			165.79(1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	7	-16	1.05	62%	0.05	-17.3	1.1%	0	0.5	53	0
12	Sep_20_2016	161.31	164.94	163.9	163.85			162.85(0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.79	59%	0.03	-22.9	1.08%	0	-1.2	44	0
13	Sep_19_2016	161.26	165.1	164.28	163.54			162.68(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-5	-40	1.32	59%	0.04	-26.7	1.08%	0	-1.4	42	0
14	Sep_16_2016	161.19	165.25	164.71	163.98			164.61(-1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	5	-24	1.74	58%	0.06	-21.1	1.09%	0	-0.4	48	0
15	Sep_15_2016	161.1	165.29	164.73	163.52			166.47(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-9	-10000	2	-40	1.36	60%	0.06	-28.4	1.08%	0	0.8	49	0

16	Sep_14_2016	161	165.22	164.47	163.34			162.62(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-8	-58	0.82	61%	0.04	-35.5	1.04%	0	-1.7	40	0
17	Sep_13_2016	160.93	165.33	164.83	164.01			161.31(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-21	-10000	-12	-46	1.55	61%	0.02	-25.6	1.09%	0	-2.8	38	0
18	Sep_12_2016	160.89	165.54	165.4	165.12			164.87(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-5	-21	1.01	66%	0.06	3	1.06%	0	-0.6	48	0
19	Sep_9_2016	160.79	165.58	165.48	165.55			162.35(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-8	-10000	-6	-14	1.28	64%	0.05	24.2	1.04%	0	-3	41	0
20	Sep_8_2016	160.71	165.74	165.94	166.04			165.55(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	-10000	4	4	1.07	72%	0.06	59.2	1.01%	0	-0.2	52	0

21	Sep_7_2016	160.62	165.77	166.05	165.74			165.99(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	0	-10000	-0	1	0.74	65%	0.06	67.3	1.04%	0	0.3	54	0
22	Sep_6_2016	160.53	165.7	166.08	165.77			166.85(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	2	-10000	0	7	0.79	65%	0.08	78.4	1.09%	0	1.4	62	0
23	Sep_2_2016	160.4	165.5	165.97	165.76			167(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5	-10000	3	11	0.55	65%	0.06	54.4	1.09%	0	1.3	59	0
24	Sep_1_2016	160.3	165.31	165.81	165.48			164.8(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-4	3	0.62	63%	0.06	41.2	1.08%	0	-0.5	47	0
25	Aug_31_2016	160.21	165.26	165.88	165.86			164.05(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-2	-10000	-6	9	1.25	56%		46.7	1.08%	0	-1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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