Trading Signals: STZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: STZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Constellation Brands Inc. Class A)
STZ latest price $119.0100 (0.47%) ($118.3300 - $119.4200) on Mon. May. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $119.0100(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   STZ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   STZ advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support STZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(57%)    SPY(55%)    VYM(53%)    XLP(51%)    IWM(50%)
Factors Impacting STZ price   STZ will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.25(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.69(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.59(2.08%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $22.686b

Constellation Brands, Inc. engages in the production, marketing, and distribution of beer, wine, and spirits. It operates through the following segments: Beer, Wine and Spirits, and Corporate Operations and Other and Canopy. The Beer segment includes imported and craft beer brands. The Wine and Spirits segment sells wine brands across all categories-table wine, sparkling wine and dessert wine-and across all price points. The Corporate Operations and Other segment comprises of costs of executive management, corporate development, corporate finance, human resources, internal audit, investor relations, legal, public relations and information technology. The Canopy segment consists of canopy equity method Investments. The company was founded by Marvin Sands in 1945 and is headquartered in Victor, NY.

$. STZ price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2015	113.7	116.59	116.69	117.25			119.01(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	8	-10000	5	16	0.72	57%	0.17	9.4	1.18%	0	2.4	56	0
2	May_15_2015	113.51	116.45	116.48	116.89			118.45(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	8	-10000	6	12	0.8	57%	0.05	-19.7	1.17%	0	2.4	58	0
3	May_14_2015	113.45	116.32	116.32	116.47			117.51(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	-10000	6	7	1.04	57%	0.16	-74.6	1.18%	0	1.6	58	0
4	May_13_2015	113.27	116.3	116.16	116.03			115.61(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	2	-5	0.77	54%	0.15	-107.9	1.17%	0	-0.9	49	0
5	May_12_2015	113.1	116.39	116.23	115.92			115.68(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-1	-8	1.03	54%	0.17	-113.2	1.17%	0	-0.9	49	0

6	May_11_2015	112.91	116.5	116.37	115.99			117.22(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-2	-10000	-0	-7	1.24	57%	0.21	-85.6	1.16%	0	0.7	48	0
7	May_8_2015	112.67	116.61	116.27	116.01			116.32(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-3	-8	0.85	57%	0.2	-58.9	1.16%	0	-0.2	49	0
8	May_7_2015	112.45	116.86	116.21	116.19			115.31(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	-2	-5	1.29	57%	0.2	-40.7	1.16%	0	-0.9	48	0
9	May_6_2015	112.22	117.09	116.29	116.31			115.08(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-4	-8	0.81	57%	0.23	-28.4	1.17%	0	-1.2	40	0
10	May_5_2015	111.96	117.3	116.4	116.55			116.04(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-8	1.31	57%	0.24	-17.8	1.17%	0	-0.8	42	0

11	May_4_2015	111.69	117.41	116.52	116.77			117.32(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	3	-3	0.99	57%	0.24	-10.2	1.16%	0	-0.1	44	0
12	May_1_2015	111.42	117.5	116.43	116.57			117.19(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	5	-22	1.14	57%	0.23	0	1.14%	0	-0.2	35	0
13	Apr_30_2015	111.16	117.53	116.3	116.26			115.94(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-14	-10000	-0	-54	1.31	57%	0.23	2.9	1.15%	0	-1	23	0
14	Apr_29_2015	110.91	117.56	116.44	116.28			116.26(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	-10000	1	-65	0.85	57%	0.21	5	1.16%	0	-0.8	35	0
15	Apr_28_2015	110.68	117.58	116.56	116.22			117.12(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-1	-75	0.81	57%	0.22	0	1.16%	0	-0.3	42	0

16	Apr_27_2015	110.44	117.57	116.62	116.26			116.36(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-0	-76	0.82	57%	0.2	0.7	1.17%	0	-0.7	44	0
17	Apr_24_2015	110.22	117.5	116.95	116.28			115.64(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-1	-76	0.69	57%	0.2	-8.7	1.16%	0	-1.1	37	0
18	Apr_23_2015	110	117.49	117.53	116.34			116(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-4	-61	0.84	57%	0.21	-10.4	1.17%	0	-0.8	46	0
19	Apr_22_2015	109.77	117.48	117.93	116.62			115.99(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.97	57%	0.21	-10.8	1.18%	0	-0.8	52	0
20	Apr_21_2015	109.54	117.58	118.26	116.92			117.29(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-2	-21	1.02	57%	0.21	-0.6	1.17%	0	-0.2	56	0

21	Apr_20_2015	109.31	117.57	118.37	117.07			116.46(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-10	-16	0.54	57%	0.07	0.6	1.17%	0	-0.6	50	0
22	Apr_17_2015	109.23	117.66	118.68	117.76			115.98(-1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-8	-10000	-16	17	0.68	57%	0.06	16.3	1.17%	0	-0.9	58	0
23	Apr_16_2015	109.16	117.66	118.9	118.9			117.36(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-8	61	0.64	64%	0.08	29.4	1.17%	0	-0.2	61	0
24	Apr_15_2015	109.07	117.68	118.83	119.44			117.52(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	15	-10000	-5	76	0.72	64%	0.08	41.8	1.23%	0	-0.1	59	0
25	Apr_14_2015	108.98	117.59	118.74	119.77			118.02(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	20	-10000	-1	81	1.07	66%		48.7	1.23%	0	0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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