Trading Signals: STZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: STZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Constellation Brands Inc. Class A)
STZ latest price $107.6400 (4.45%) ($106.5900 - $109.2400) on Thu. Jan. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $107.6400(4.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   STZ advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   STZ advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support STZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(57%)    SPY(55%)    VYM(53%)    XLP(51%)    IWM(50%)
Factors Impacting STZ price   STZ will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.69(5.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.58(7.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.25(10.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $20.519b

Constellation Brands, Inc. engages in the production, marketing, and distribution of beer, wine, and spirits. It operates through the following segments: Beer, Wine and Spirits, and Corporate Operations and Other and Canopy. The Beer segment includes imported and craft beer brands. The Wine and Spirits segment sells wine brands across all categories-table wine, sparkling wine and dessert wine-and across all price points. The Corporate Operations and Other segment comprises of costs of executive management, corporate development, corporate finance, human resources, internal audit, investor relations, legal, public relations and information technology. The Canopy segment consists of canopy equity method Investments. The company was founded by Marvin Sands in 1945 and is headquartered in Victor, NY.

$. STZ price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2015	96.31	97.25	100.58	101.69			107.64(4.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	47	-10000	23	119	3.62	80%	0.46	45.2	1.63%	0	2.3	84	0
2	Jan_7_2015	95.87	96.5	99.66	99.8			103.05(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	40	-10000	12	122	2.16	76%	0.3	37.6	1.45%	0	1.7	85	0
3	Jan_6_2015	95.58	96.05	99.03	98.96			100.46(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	4	131	3.28	73%	0.21	34.1	1.41%	0	1.2	79	0
4	Jan_5_2015	95.38	95.76	98.49	98.71			99.82(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	-10000	-0	142	2.42	73%	0.2	0	1.43%	0	1.2	77	0
5	Jan_2_2015	95.19	95.46	98.06	98.73			97.5(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	35	-10000	-7	161	1.99	69%	0.12	0	1.39%	0	0.6	66	0

6	Dec_31_2014	95.08	95.27	97.68	99.25			98.17(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-10000	-3	181	1.04	69%	0.15	0	1.41%	0	0.9	68	0
7	Dec_30_2014	94.94	95.07	96.9	99.45			98.84(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	-10000	5	177	0.91	69%	0.21	0	1.43%	0	1.2	65	0
8	Dec_29_2014	94.74	94.84	96.09	99.06			99.22(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	-10000	12	154	0.88	69%	0.24	0	1.46%	0	1.5	61	0
9	Dec_26_2014	94.51	94.84	95.26	98.17			99.94(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	13	5	0.66	69%	0.33	0	1.48%	0	34.9	61	0
10	Dec_24_2014	94.2	94.84	94.48	97.27			100.09(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	19	8	0.75	69%	0.36	0	1.52%	0	38.1	64	0

11	Dec_23_2014	93.86	94.84	93.66	95.88			99.14(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	26	10	1.77	69%	0.35	0	1.56%	0	43.7	63	0
12	Dec_22_2014	93.53	94.84	93.03	93.99			96.9(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	18	7	1.01	64%	0.25	0	1.52%	0	51	55	0
13	Dec_19_2014	93.3	94.84	92.74	92.69			94.8(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	12	5	1.63	58%	0.11	0	1.47%	0	54.5	49	0
14	Dec_18_2014	93.2	94.84	92.72	91.89			95.41(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	8	-10000	9	4	1.22	58%	0.18	0	1.51%	0	54.2	50	0
15	Dec_17_2014	93.03	94.84	92.55	91.3			93.16(3.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	2	-10000	2	1	1.57	48%	0.02	0	1.41%	0	54.5	50	0

16	Dec_16_2014	93.01	94.84	92.59	91.16			89.7(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-22	-9	1.01	16%	-0.33	0	0.76%	0	50.4	50	0
17	Dec_15_2014	93.32	94.84	93.09	91.91			90.38(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-10000	-24	-10	1.13	16%	-0.31	0	0.79%	0	58.7	50	0
18	Dec_12_2014	93.61	94.84	93.54	92.77			90.78(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-10000	-22	-9	0.89	16%	-0.33	0	0.84%	0	70.9	50	0
19	Dec_11_2014	93.92	94.84	93.54	93.63			92.46(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.3	-9	-10000	-10	-4	0.68	22%	-0.2	0	0.73%	0	100.5	50	0
20	Dec_10_2014	94.11	94.84	93.54	93.97			92.46(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-6	-10000	-7	-3	0.97	22%	-0.24	0	0.77%	0	115.6	50	0

21	Dec_9_2014	94.34	94.84	93.54	94.23			93.45(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1	29%	-0.16	0	0.77%	0	173.1	50	0
22	Dec_8_2014	94.49	94.84	93.54	94.44			94.69(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	-0	0	0.73	48%	0.04	0	0.65%	0	220.2	50	0
23	Dec_5_2014	94.45	94.84	93.54	94.45			95.09(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	621	-10000	731	292	0.71	48%	0.17	0	0.69%	0	202.3	50	0
24	Dec_4_2014	94.29	94.84	93.54	75.43			94.18(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	49.3	1047	-10000	1232	493	0.66	0%	-0.04	0	0.54%	0	247.8	50	0
25	Dec_3_2014	94.33	94.84	93.54	56.6			93.73(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	86.3	2717	-10000	3196	1278	0.97	0%		0	0.31%	0	218	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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