Trading Signals: STT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 18, 2003

Trading Signals: STT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(State Street Corporation)
STT latest price $44.5100 (0.54%) ($44.2300 - $44.6900) on Mon. Aug. 18, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $44.5100(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   STT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   STT declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support STT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(47%)    IWM(46%)    EEM(45%)    XLY(45%)    EWG(43%)
Factors Impacting STT price   STT will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-21%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(4%)    XLU(23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $44.62
5 Day Moving Average   $44.24(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.14(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.62(-0.25%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   24.9%
Market Cap   $15.685b

State Street Corp. operates as a financial holding company. It conducts business primarily through State Street Bank. The company operates through following business lines: Investment Servicing and Investment Management. The Investment Servicing business offers custody, product and participant-level accounting, daily pricing and administration, master trust and master custody, record-keeping, cash management, foreign exchange, brokerage and other trading services, securities finance, deposit and short-term investment facilities, loans and lease financing, investment manager and alternative investment manager operations outsourcing, and performance, risk and compliance analytics. The Investment Management business provides services through State Street Global Advisors, which provides a broad array of investment management, investment research and investment advisory services to corporations, public funds and other sophisticated investors. It offers strategies for managing financial assets, including passive and active, such as enhanced indexing, using quantitative and fundamental methods for both the U.S. and global equities and fixed-income securities. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. STT price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2003	39.23	44.62	44.14	44.24			44.51(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	2	-39	0.62	59%	0.13	-16.7	1.48%	0	-0.2	43	0
2	Aug_15_2003	39.18	44.61	44.15	44.24			44.27(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	0	-51	0.49	59%	0.13	-18	1.48%	0	-0.5	39	0
3	Aug_14_2003	39.13	44.63	44.19	44.17			43.97(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-19	-10000	-4	-64	0	59%	0.15	-6	1.48%	0	-1	34	0
4	Aug_13_2003	39.07	44.65	44.36	44.29			43.97(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-12	-10000	1	-51	1.93	59%	0.13	11.5	1.48%	0	-1	44	0
5	Aug_12_2003	39.02	44.71	44.51	44.25			44.5(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	7	-43	0.96	61%	0.15	29.4	1.47%	0	-0.3	51	0

6	Aug_11_2003	38.96	44.71	44.58	44.02			44.16(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.95	61%	0.15	35.8	1.49%	0	-0.9	49	0
7	Aug_8_2003	38.9	44.73	44.71	44.12			44.25(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-38	2.08	60%	0.13	51.2	1.5%	0	-0.6	52	0
8	Aug_7_2003	38.85	44.67	44.88	44.21			44.55(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-8	-26	1.06	60%	0.18	59.7	1.53%	0	-0.1	50	0
9	Aug_6_2003	38.78	44.58	44.93	44.48			43.8(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-10	-8	1.51	59%	0.15	71.9	1.52%	0	-0.8	48	0
10	Aug_5_2003	38.72	44.53	45.01	44.81			43.35(-2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-10000	-11	2	1.75	59%	0.13	87.8	1.53%	0	-1.1	39	0

11	Aug_4_2003	38.67	44.49	45.16	45.2			44.67(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-5	22	1.29	62%	0.18	96.8	1.47%	0	0.1	50	0
12	Aug_1_2003	38.6	44.34	45.13	45.37			44.69(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-8	32	1.12	64%	0.18	106.2	1.51%	0	0.3	57	0
13	Jul_31_2003	38.53	44.14	45.14	45.64			45.9(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	6	69	1.53	68%	0.23	98	1.47%	0	1.1	73	0
14	Jul_30_2003	38.44	43.87	44.98	45.45			45.43(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	6	76	1.3	68%	0.21	91.9	1.47%	0	0.9	73	0
15	Jul_29_2003	38.36	43.59	44.94	45.26			45.31(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	5	90	1.44	68%	0.24	81.5	1.47%	0	0.9	72	0

16	Jul_28_2003	38.27	43.31	44.89	45.1			45.54(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	8	106	1.83	69%	0.24	74.4	1.47%	0	1.1	75	0
17	Jul_25_2003	38.18	43.01	44.73	44.85			46(2.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	-10000	8	119	1.6	69%	0.24	67.3	1.47%	0	1.4	83	0
18	Jul_24_2003	38.09	42.67	44.42	44.58			44.99(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	4	129	1.75	68%	0.24	62.2	1.46%	0	1.1	84	0
19	Jul_23_2003	38	42.38	44.18	44.44			44.45(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-10000	-5	141	1.36	68%	0.21	54.9	1.46%	0	1	83	0
20	Jul_22_2003	37.92	42.13	43.99	44.59			44.52(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	44	-10000	-2	180	2.29	69%	0.24	53.8	1.46%	0	1.1	85	0

21	Jul_21_2003	37.83	41.86	43.78	44.64			44.27(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	54	-10000	1	213	1.74	69%	0.21	51.8	1.49%	0	1.1	85	0
22	Jul_18_2003	37.75	41.65	43.5	44.59			44.66(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	69	-10000	12	239	2.87	69%	0.27	52.3	1.48%	0	1.4	89	0
23	Jul_17_2003	37.65	41.41	43.08	44.21			44.31(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	66	-10000	11	231	2.5	69%	0.24	48.8	1.5%	0	1.4	89	0
24	Jul_16_2003	37.56	41.22	42.69	43.84			45.17(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	-10000	17	238	2.45	69%	0.27	47.9	1.46%	0	2.1	99	0
25	Jul_15_2003	37.46	40.99	42.14	43.31			44.8(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	65	-10000	16	211	3.37	70%		49.9	1.5%	0	2.3	91	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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