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| ^ SPY: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice |
| Fri. Sep. 18, 2020 |
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Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $330.6500 (-1.55%) ($327.9700 - $335.4900) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020. Trend and Trading Plan | Trend Narrative | Downtrend | | Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. | | Daily Trend | SPY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days. | | Weekly Trend | SPY declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks. | | Market Behavior | Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap. | | Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support SPY decline at-1% a week (95% probability)
VT(96%) IVW(95%) VUG(93%) DIA(92%) XLY(92%) | | Factors Impacting SPY price | SPY will advance at least -0% in a week (46% probabilities).
VXX(-60%) VIXM(-57%) UUP(-35%) TLT(-30%) BJK(-28%) | | Trading Plan | Not Available | | | | | Valuation to SPY | 0 | | | | | Relative Volatility | 2 (options are extremely expensive) | | | | | Hourly Trend | -1.01% [$333.69(-4.05), $337.11(-1.49)] | | Last Hour Trend | 0.1% [$330.64, $330.32] |
SPY Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast
| Bullish Probability | 38% | | Bullish Price Move | 1.1% | | Bearish Probability | 63% | | Bearish Price Move | -1.1% | | Recommended Position Size | -23% | | Latest Price | $330.6500 | | Next Day Open Price | $331.31(0.2%) | | 1 - 3 Day Target Price | $328.93(-0.52%) | | 1 - 5 Day Price Range | $327.26 - $332.85 | | Inflection Point | Yes | | Resistance Level | $342.01 | | 5 Day Moving Average | $336.79(-1.82%) | | 10 Day Moving Average | $336.67(-1.79%) | | 20 Day Moving Average | $342.01(-3.32%) | | To recent high | -7.6% | | To recent low | 10.2% | | Market Cap | $N/A | | | | Option Sentiment | | | | | Advance Ratio | 19% | | Stage of the Market | Normal | | | | One Year Target Price | $366.62 (10.88%) | | |
| | | | Short-term volatility trend | Equity Bullish (-1.7) | | Mid-term volatility trend | Equity Bullish (-0.4) | | Risk Appetite | Risk Off (-7) | | CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | -86.6 k (Fri. Aug. 28, 2020) Decrease | | Fed Balance Sheet | 6.99 T (Wed. Aug. 26, 2020) Reduction | | Fed Fund Rate | 1.58% (Wed. Feb. 12, 2020) No Change | | Yield Curve | Improving (3) | | Credit Spread | Worsening (-23) | | |
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$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 1.09% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).
Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | RV | RVT(RV,IV) | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | ActualPriceRange | Trend-Narrative | NextDay
PriceTarget | NextDayPriceRange | RSI |
|---|
| 1 | Sep_18_2020 | -7.6%-10.2% | -0.2%,-0.1(-0) | -2%,-1(0) | -0.2%,-0.1 | -1.5 | 0.1% | -1.6% | -1.6 | 0 | 2(2.05%,NAN%) | 2.1 | 104.13 | 330.65(-1.55%) | 327.97-335.49 | Downtrend | 328.93(-0.52%) | 327.26-332.85 | 35 | | 2 | Sep_17_2020 | -6.1%-11.9% | -0.1%,-0(0) | -2%,-1(-0.1) | 0.1%,0.1 | -0.3 | -0.01% | -1.3% | -1 | 0 | 0.8(1.92%,1%) | 2.1 | 90.99 | 335.84(-0.88%) | 332.99-337.7 | Downtrend | 334.19(-0.49%) | 332.95-337.13 | 40 | | 3 | Sep_16_2020 | -5.3%-12.9% | -0.1%,-0.1(-0) | -1.8%,-1(-0.1) | -0.1%,-0 | 0.9 | -0.05% | -0.7% | -0.6 | 0 | 0.6(1.89%,0.95%) | 1.4 | 82.29 | 338.82(-0.4%) | 338.52-343.06 | Downtrend | 337.02(-0.53%) | 335.93-339.62 | 43 | | 4 | Sep_15_2020 | -4.9%-13.4% | -0%,-0(0) | -1.6%,-0.8(0) | 0.4%,0.2 | 0.9 | -0.18% | -0.4% | -0.4 | 0 | 0.7(1.9%,1.04%) | 0.8 | 54.09 | 340.17(0.51%) | 339.02-342.02 | Downtrend | 338.78(-0.41%) | 337.91-340.82 | 48 | | 5 | Sep_14_2020 | -5.4%-12.8% | -0.1%,-0.1(-0.1) | -1.7%,-0.9(-0.2) | -0.2%,-0.1 | -0.6 | -0.06% | -0.1% | -0.6 | 0 | 0.9(1.91%,1.06%) | 0.8 | 67.43 | 338.46(1.32%) | 336.93-340.38 | Downtrend | 336.9(-0.46%) | 335.87-339.27 | 48 | | | | |
| 6 | Sep_11_2020 | -6.6%-11.3% | -0%,-0(-0.1) | -1.3%,-0.7(-0.3) | -0.7%,-0.3 | -0.3 | 0.18% | 0.3% | -1.3 | 0 | 1.1(1.93%,1.07%) | 0.1 | 84.3 | 334.06(0.05%) | 331-336.97 | Downtrend | 332.96(-0.33%) | 331.8-335.67 | 48 | | 7 | Sep_10_2020 | -6.7%-11.3% | 0.2%,0.1(-0.2) | -0.7%,-0.4(-0.5) | -1.4%,-0.7 | -0 | -0.53% | 0.6% | -1.4 | 0 | 0.9(1.89%,1.42%) | -0.7 | 90.32 | 333.89(-1.74%) | 332.86-342.53 | Correction | 329.12(-1.43%) | 328.22-332.63 | 49 | | 8 | Sep_9_2020 | -5%-13.2% | 0.7%,0.4(-0.1) | 0.3%,0.2(-0.3) | -0.7%,-0.4 | -2.1 | 0% | 1% | -0.5 | 0 | 0.5(1.83%,1.34%) | -0.7 | 92.2 | 339.79(1.97%) | 336.61-342.46 | Uptrend Consolidation | 340.61(0.24%) | 340.72-340.2 | 55 | | 9 | Sep_8_2020 | -6.8%-11.1% | 0.9%,0.5(-0.2) | 0.9%,0.5(-0.4) | -0.9%,-0.5 | -3.3 | -0.38% | 1.2% | -1.4 | 0 | 1.3(1.93%,1.64%) | -1.2 | 115.93 | 333.21(-2.73%) | 332.88-338.06 | Uptrend Consolidation | 335.84(0.79%) | 336.43-334.07 | 48 | | 10 | Sep_4_2020 | -4.2%-14.2% | 1.3%,0.7(-0.1) | 1.6%,0.8(-0.2) | -0.5%,-0.2 | -1.8 | 0.52% | 1.5% | -0.1 | 0 | 1.2(1.91%,1.08%) | -1.1 | 142.28 | 342.57(-0.82%) | 334.87-347.83 | Uptrend Consolidation | 343.05(0.14%) | 342.57-344.53 | 59 | | | | |
| 11 | Sep_3_2020 | -3.4%-15.1% | 1.6%,0.8(-0.1) | 2%,1(-0.1) | -0.2%,-0.1 | 0.6 | -0.14% | 1.6% | 0.4 | 0 | 1.6(1.97%,1.47%) | -2.4 | 150.77 | 345.39(-3.44%) | 342.59-356.38 | Uptrend | 347.88(0.72%) | 344.88-349.14 | 64 | | 12 | Sep_2_2020 | 0%-19.2% | 1.8%,0.9(0) | 2.1%,1(0.1) | 0.6%,0.3 | 0.9 | 0.16% | 1.6% | 2.2 | 0 | 2.1(2.05%,0.88%) | 0.2 | 71.1 | 357.7(1.45%) | 353.43-358.72 | Breakout | 360.35(0.74%) | 354.58-362.83 | 89 | | 13 | Sep_1_2020 | 0%-17.5% | 1.7%,0.9(0) | 1.9%,1(0) | 0.5%,0.3 | 0.3 | 0.07% | 1.4% | 1.9 | 0 | 1.3(1.86%,0.74%) | 0 | 54.9 | 352.6(0.94%) | 349.24-352.7 | Overbought | 348.4(-1.19%) | 342.74-356.87 | 84 | | 14 | Aug_31_2020 | -0.4%-16.4% | 1.7%,1(0) | 1.8%,1(0.1) | 0.4%,0.2 | 0.6 | 0.01% | 1.3% | 1.6 | 0 | 1(1.8%,0.91%) | 0.1 | 68.05 | 349.31(-0.36%) | 349.08-351.28 | Uptrend | 351.37(0.59%) | 347.43-353.07 | 86 | | 15 | Aug_28_2020 | 0%-16.8% | 1.7%,0.9(0) | 1.7%,0.9(0.1) | 0.6%,0.4 | 0.9 | 0.11% | 1.2% | 2 | 0 | 1.2(1.82%,0.82%) | 0.8 | 51.25 | 350.58(0.65%) | 348.15-350.72 | Growing Uptrend | 353.42(0.81%) | 348.19-354.72 | 78 | | | | |
| 16 | Aug_27_2020 | 0%-16.1% | 1.6%,0.9(0.1) | 1.4%,0.8(0.1) | 0.6%,0.3 | 1.2 | 0.15% | 1.2% | 1.8 | 0 | 1.2(1.81%,0.97%) | 0.7 | 57.8 | 348.33(0.22%) | 346.53-349.9 | Growing Uptrend | 350.66(0.67%) | 346.13-351.79 | 78 | | 17 | Aug_26_2020 | 0%-16.2% | 1.5%,0.8(0.1) | 1.2%,0.6(0.1) | 0.6%,0.3 | 1.2 | 0.05% | 1.2% | 1.9 | 0 | 1(1.77%,0.88%) | 1.3 | 50.48 | 347.57(1%) | 344.17-347.86 | Uptrend | 349.03(0.42%) | 345.27-350.64 | 77 | | 18 | Aug_25_2020 | 0%-15.1% | 1.3%,0.7(0.1) | 1%,0.5(0.1) | 0.3%,0.2 | 1.2 | 0.09% | 1.2% | 1.5 | 0 | 1.1(1.79%,0.77%) | 1.6 | 38.18 | 344.12(0.35%) | 342.27-344.21 | Uptrend | 345.29(0.34%) | 342.27-346.59 | 77 | | 19 | Aug_24_2020 | 0%-14.7% | 1.2%,0.7(0.1) | 0.9%,0.5(-0) | 0.3%,0.2 | 0.6 | -0.01% | 1.2% | 1.5 | 0 | 0.9(1.79%,0.72%) | 1.7 | 49.7 | 342.92(1.01%) | 341.06-342.99 | Uptrend | 343.88(0.28%) | 341.08-345.07 | 78 | | 20 | Aug_21_2020 | 0%-15.1% | 1.1%,0.6(0) | 0.9%,0.5(-0.1) | 0.2%,0.1 | -0 | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.1 | 0 | 0.7(1.83%,0.74%) | 1.7 | 56.25 | 339.48(0.35%) | 337.55-339.72 | Uptrend | 340.57(0.32%) | 338.08-341.65 | 77 | | | | |
| 21 | Aug_20_2020 | -0.1%-14.7% | 1.1%,0.6(-0) | 1.1%,0.6(-0.1) | 0.1%,0 | -0 | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1 | 0 | 0.7(1.85%,0.79%) | 1.5 | 41.58 | 338.28(0.31%) | 335.22-338.79 | Uptrend Consolidation | 336.76(-0.45%) | 335.78-339.74 | 79 | | 22 | Aug_19_2020 | -0.4%-15.5% | 1.1%,0.6(-0) | 1.3%,0.7(-0.1) | -0%,-0 | 0.3 | -0.15% | 1.5% | 1 | 0 | 0.6(1.81%,0.87%) | 1.6 | 67.69 | 337.23(-0.42%) | 336.62-339.61 | Uptrend Consolidation | 335.81(-0.42%) | 334.79-338.86 | 81 | | 23 | Aug_18_2020 | 0%-16% | 1.2%,0.6(0) | 1.6%,0.9(-0.1) | 0.4%,0.2 | 0.3 | 0% | 1.6% | 1.3 | 0 | 0.5(1.79%,0.67%) | 1.6 | 38.88 | 338.64(0.22%) | 336.61-339.1 | Uptrend | 340.3(0.49%) | 337.13-341.67 | 80 | | 24 | Aug_17_2020 | 0%-15.7% | 1.2%,0.7(-0.1) | 1.7%,1(-0.1) | 0.1%,0.1 | 0 | -0.03% | 1.5% | 1.4 | 0 | 0.3(1.73%,0.72%) | 1.8 | 36.43 | 337.91(0.32%) | 337.48-338.34 | Uptrend | 339.26(0.4%) | 336.3-340.54 | 83 | | 25 | Aug_14_2020 | -0.2%-18.2% | 1.3%,0.7(-0) | 1.8%,1(-0.1) | 0.1%,0.1 | 0.3 | -0.1% | 1.5% | 1.4 | 0 | 0.2(1.7%,0.63%) | 1.8 | 51.76 | 336.84(0%) | 335.63-337.42 | Uptrend | 338.36(0.45%) | 335.26-339.7 | 75 | | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | RV | RVT | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | 5 Day
Target | Trend
Narrative | 5 Day
Price Change | SRI | RSI |
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