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     Fri. Nov. 27, 2020



Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 27, 2020)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $363.6700 (0.28%) ($362.5800 - $364.1800) on Fri. Nov. 27, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0.5% a week (96% probability)
  VT(98%)    IVW(95%)    DIA(94%)    XLY(93%)    XLK(92%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will advance at least 0.1% in a week (50% probabilities).
  VXX(-66%)    VIXM(-57%)    UUP(-41%)    SHY(-26%)    TLT(-17%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY 0
 
Relative Volatility   0.7 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   1.3
Hourly Trend   0.51% [$363.09(0.95), $361.23(1.78)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.08% [$363.29, $363.58]


SPY Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  1.3%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -1.3%
Recommended Position Size  26%
Latest Price  $363.6700
Next Hour Price  $363.09(-0.16%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $366.03(0.65%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $375.57(3.27%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $361.52 - $367.97
Support Level  $353.21
5 Day Moving Average  $360.47(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average  $359.84(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average  $353.21(2.96%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  12.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
Advance Ratio  51%
Stage of the Market  Normal Strong Uptrend
 
Average Volume  64.57 million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0
One Month Target Price  > $365.12
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $341.2
One Year Target Price   $390.87 (7.48%)
 


  
 
Short-term volatility trend  Equity Bullish (-1.2)
Mid-term volatility trend  Equity Bullish (-0.2)
Risk Appetite  Risk On (1)
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  40.2 k (Fri. Oct. 16, 2020) Decrease
Fed Balance Sheet  7.151 T (Wed. Oct. 14, 2020) Expansion
Fed Fund Rate  1.58% (Wed. Feb. 12, 2020) No Change
Yield Curve  Improving (4)
Credit Spread  Improving (18)
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.4% away from the target price of 365.12.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 1.31%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Nov_27_20200%-12.7% 1.8%,0.6(0.1)0.9%,0.3(0)0.3%,0.10.6-0.08%1.9%11.302.3NAN%1.228.45   363.67(0.28%)362.58-364.18Uptrend 366.03(0.65%)361.52-367.9767
2Nov_25_2020-0.2%-12.4% 1.5%,0.4(0.1)0.8%,0.2(-0)0.4%,0.10.60.01%2.1%0.91.402.60.74%1.446.42   362.66(-0.15%)361.48-363.17Uptrend 365.05(0.66%)360.48-367.0266
3Nov_24_20200%-12.6% 1.2%,0.4(0)1%,0.3(-0.1)0.2%,00.30.01%2.4%1.11.702.60.81%1.561.98   363.22(1.61%)359.29-363.81Uptrend Consolidation 359.73(-0.96%)357.62-366.1273
4Nov_23_2020-1.4%-10.8% 1.1%,0.3(-0)1.4%,0.4(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.1-00.1%2.5%0.8-0.802.60.92%1.366.31   357.46(0.6%)354.87-358.82Uptrend Consolidation 355.1(-0.66%)353.27-360.6576
5Nov_20_2020-2%-10.1% 1.2%,0.4(-0)2.2%,0.7(-0.2)-0.2%,-0-0.3-0.06%2.7%0.7-1.602.60.79%1.472.83   355.33(-0.68%)355.25-357.72Uptrend Consolidation 353.77(-0.44%)351.82-359.6278
 
6Nov_19_2020-1.3%-10.9% 1.2%,0.4(0)3%,0.9(-0.1)0.3%,0.1-0.30.2%2.7%0.9-0.102.50.77%1.759.5   357.78(0.42%)354.15-358.18Uptrend Consolidation 356.17(-0.45%)353.7-363.6183
7Nov_18_2020-1.7%-10.4% 1.1%,0.3(0)3.5%,1.1(-0.2)-0%,-00-0.21%2.7%0.9-0.802.50.93%1.970.24   356.28(-1.2%)356.24-361.5Uptrend Consolidation 354.82(-0.41%)352.31-362.3476
8Nov_17_2020-0.5%-11.8% 1.1%,0.3(0.1)4.1%,1.3(0.1)0.4%,0.10.9-0.04%2.6%1.41.302.40.87%1.866.07   360.62(-0.54%)358.34-361.92Uptrend 367.18(1.82%)357.52-371.3183
9Nov_16_20200%-12.4% 0.9%,0.3(0.1)3.9%,1.3(0.1)0.5%,0.20.60.03%2.2%1.7202.30.85%1.974.88   362.57(1.25%)359.59-362.57Growing Uptrend 369.6(1.94%)359.07-372.2567
10Nov_13_20200%-11% 0.6%,0.2(0)3.5%,1.3(0.3)0.5%,0.200.14%1.6%1.50.902.20.93%1.162.88   358.1(1.38%)354.71-358.9Growing Uptrend 363.79(1.59%)355.16-365.9464
 
11Nov_12_2020-1.3%-9.5% 0.5%,0.2(0)2.8%,1.1(0.2)0.2%,0.1-0.3-0.09%0.9%1.2-0.302.11.23%0.767.47   353.21(-0.97%)351.26-356.42Growing Uptrend 357.55(1.23%)351.15-359.1554
12Nov_11_2020-0.3%-10.5% 0.5%,0.2(0)2.4%,0.9(0.3)0.8%,0.30-0.14%0.4%1.60.9021.02%1.359.17   356.67(0.74%)355.06-357.56Growing Uptrend 360.45(1.06%)353.97-362.0858
13Nov_10_2020-1%-9.7% 0.4%,0.2(0)1.5%,0.6(0.3)1%,0.41.20.01%-0.4%1.50.601.91.18%0.785.81   354.04(-0.15%)350.52-355.18Uptrend 356.02(0.56%)351.69-357.8958
14Nov_9_2020-0.9%-9.9% 0.3%,0.1(0.1)0.8%,0.3(0.4)1.4%,0.61.5-0.33%-0.8%1.6101.91.2%-0.4171.35   354.56(1.26%)354.06-364.38Uptrend 355.59(0.29%)352.02-357.157
15Nov_6_2020-2.1%-8.5% 0.1%,0(0.1)-0%,-0(0.4)1.4%,0.62.1-0.05%-1.2%1.11.101.81.14%1.973.95   350.16(-0.02%)347.65-351.51N/A 348.65(-0.43%)345.38-351.3556
 
16Nov_5_2020-2.1%-8.6% -0.2%,-0.1(0.1)-0.9%,-0.4(0.3)1.2%,0.52.70%-1.3%1.21.501.81.46%0.981   350.24(1.95%)348.86-352.19Downtrend Consolidation 348.98(-0.36%)346.75-349.7250
17Nov_4_2020-4%-6.5% -0.4%,-0.2(0.1)-1.6%,-0.8(0.3)1%,0.52.1-0.26%-1.5%0.41.701.71.44%0.5128.62   343.54(2.23%)339.59-347.94Downtrend Consolidation 342.23(-0.38%)342.8-342.0644
18Nov_3_2020-6.1%-4.2% -0.6%,-0.3(-0)-2.3%,-1.1(0.1)-0.1%,-0.10.90.06%-1.5%-0.60.901.81.85%-1.692.38   336.03(1.77%)333.17-338.25Downtrend 333.48(-0.76%)332.01-336.9436
19Nov_2_2020-7.7%-2.3% -0.5%,-0.2(-0.1)-2.5%,-1.2(0)-0.6%,-0.3-0.30.18%-1.3%-1.4-0.301.82.02%-2.586.1   330.2(1.12%)327.24-332.36Downtrend 327.56(-0.8%)325.58-332.1626
20Oct_30_2020-8.7%-1.2% -0.3%,-0.1(-0.2)-2.5%,-1.2(-0.3)-1.2%,-0.6-1.2-0.11%-1.1%-2.1-1.101.82.04%-2.2120.78   326.54(-1.04%)322.6-329.69Growing Downtrend 324.42(-0.65%)322.11-329.2719
 
21Oct_29_2020-7.7%-2.3% 0.1%,0(-0.2)-1.9%,-1(-0.3)-0.9%,-0.5-2.40.27%-0.6%-1.8-1.201.62.1%-2.490.28   329.98(1.02%)325.09-333.4Correction 322.49(-2.27%)321.3-327.1932
22Oct_28_2020-8.7%-1.7% 0.5%,0.3(-0.2)-1.4%,-0.8(-0.4)-0.9%,-0.5-2.10.02%-0.2%-2.6-2.301.52.33%-2.4126.69   326.66(-3.42%)326.13-332.84Correction 321.2(-1.67%)320.29-324.9233
23Oct_27_2020-5.4%-5.3% 0.9%,0.6(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.5(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.2-1.2-0.09%0.3%-0.8-1.601.41.72%-0.665.33   338.22(-0.34%)337.99-340.12Correction 335.58(-0.78%)334.98-337.9549
24Oct_26_2020-5.1%-5.7% 1.1%,0.6(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.1-0.30.17%0.7%-0.6-1.801.51.77%-0.291.4   339.39(-1.85%)335.62-342.98Correction 338.17(-0.36%)337.7-339.9559
25Oct_23_2020-3.3%-7.8% 1.2%,0.6(-0)0.3%,0.1(-0.2)-0.1%,-000.12%1.1%0.50.301.70.86%0.848.95   345.78(0.34%)343.13-345.99Uptrend Consolidation 345.02(-0.22%)344.5-346.6359
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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