Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 15, 2024

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Apr. 29, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $504.4500 (-1.25%) ($503.5800 - $515.3000) on Mon. Apr. 15, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $504.4500(-1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(95%)    IVW(93%)    QQQ(93%)    IWM(89%)    XBI(86%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-85%)    VIXM(-62%)    UUP(-45%)    GLD(-3%)    GDX(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV -2.1 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $517.6
5 Day Moving Average   $513.35(-1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $515.33(-2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $517.6(-2.54%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -79.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 19, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2024	491.83	517.6	515.33	513.35	513.1	511.07	504.45(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-300	-30	-334	-198	91.83	62%	0.1	-8	0.74%	-2.1	-2.9	35	-3
2	Apr_12_2024	491.32	517.99	517.16	516.2	515.39	514.43	510.84(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-115	-20	-123	-89	92.46	65%	0.04	9.3	0.73%	-1.7	-1.8	38	-2.8
3	Apr_11_2024	491.12	518.25	518.41	517.72	517	515.14	518(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-81	-30	-87	-62	69.97	69%	0.14	21.7	0.7%	1.9	-0.1	44	1
4	Apr_10_2024	490.45	518.16	518.89	516.73	517.13	516.35	514.12(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-205	-10	-231	-126	82.49	68%	0.13	22.9	0.7%	-1	-1.1	41	-0.4
5	Apr_9_2024	489.81	518.32	519.42	517.79	518.21	518.85	519.32(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	10	66	6	68.02	71%	0.14	44.1	0.69%	-0.7	0.3	57	-0.3

6	Apr_8_2024	489.13	517.95	519.46	517.69	518.27	517.91	518.72(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-0	30	2	48.35	73%	0.15	39.2	0.69%	0.1	0.2	61	-0.3
7	Apr_5_2024	488.41	517.63	519.7	518.38	518.05	517.57	518.43(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-118	-10	-142	-44	74.48	73%	0.15	41	0.71%	-0.4	0.2	64	-1.1
8	Apr_4_2024	487.69	517.46	520.07	519.31	519.55	518.62	513.07(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-43	-10	-60	9	96.64	72%	0.14	54.4	0.7%	-2.2	-1.1	50	-0.4
9	Apr_3_2024	487.03	517.35	520.9	521.33	520.83	518.54	519.41(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-133	-30	-174	-9	58.99	73%	0.15	69.9	0.68%	-0.3	0.5	56	0.4
10	Apr_2_2024	486.28	516.78	520.6	521.21	521.57	520.48	518.84(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-167	-10	-213	-27	74.11	73%	0.17	62.4	0.69%	-1	0.4	54	0.3

11	Apr_1_2024	485.46	516.46	520.09	521.4	522.03	523.13	522.16(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	20	66	91	62.38	73%	0.29	69.1	0.69%	-0.1	1.2	66	0.7
12	Mar_28_2024	484.07	515.98	518.93	521.21	521.33	522.65	523.07(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	137	20	143	118	96.18	73%	0.19	73.4	0.69%	1.8	1.5	67	1.1
13	Mar_27_2024	483.17	515.23	518.11	521.03	520.91	520.94	523.17(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	-0	59	84	82.81	73%	0.18	73.7	0.69%	1.1	1.6	60	1.6
14	Mar_26_2024	482.28	514.38	517.34	520.49	521.16	520.02	518.81(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-15	-10	-38	53	65.32	72%	0.18	81.7	0.68%	-1.5	0.9	63	1.4
15	Mar_25_2024	481.41	513.79	517.12	519.87	520.66	520.88	519.77(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	10	-28	67	48.39	72%	0.19	85.4	0.68%	-1.2	1.2	67	1.8

16	Mar_22_2024	480.52	513.11	516.3	518.49	519.09	522.31	521.21(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	217	50	236	158	79.02	72%	0.2	86.2	0.69%	0.3	1.7	59	1.8
17	Mar_21_2024	479.58	512.42	515.33	516.22	517.08	520.44	522.2(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	425	50	487	237	60.18	73%	0.22	85.2	0.68%	1.1	2.2	60	1.9
18	Mar_20_2024	478.54	511.65	514.51	514.77	513.85	515.87	520.48(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	172	20	191	116	69.25	69%	0.22	78.4	0.69%	2.8	1.8	63	1.6
19	Mar_19_2024	477.48	510.51	513.41	513.86	513.16	513.72	515.71(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	99	0	106	79	60.7	68%	0.22	72.1	0.71%	1.1	1	62	1.6
20	Mar_18_2024	476.44	509.6	512.59	514.08	513.77	511.84	512.86(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-42	-30	-61	15	88.63	68%	0.23	70.9	0.71%	0.5	0.6	58	1.3

21	Mar_15_2024	475.37	508.96	512.53	513.76	514	512.59	509.83(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-182	-20	-228	-45	107.27	68%	0.21	64.5	0.71%	-1.3	0.2	57	1.2
22	Mar_14_2024	474.36	508.6	512.86	514.14	514.14	515.71	514.95(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	20	33	73	109.98	71%	0.21	68.1	0.7%	-2.3	1.1	60	1.8
23	Mar_13_2024	473.35	507.8	512.2	514.11	513.87	515.41	515.97(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	214	20	234	155	54.98	73%	0.21	66.7	0.7%	0.7	1.4	62	2
24	Mar_12_2024	472.38	506.72	511.22	512.87	513.32	512.57	516.78(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	77	-10	72	92	72.91	73%	0.21	58.1	0.72%	1.7	1.6	74	2.3
25	Mar_11_2024	471.38	505.9	510.21	510.94	512.21	512.34	511.28(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-61	10	-90	27	62.4	71%		60.3	0.71%	-0.9	0.9	71	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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