Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2022

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 10, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $438.0600 (-1.51%) ($437.1000 - $450.0100) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $438.0600(-1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    DIA(94%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-39%)    UUP(-26%)    TBT(-10%)    VXX(-7%)    TLT(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV -2.5 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $447.64
5 Day Moving Average   $440.73(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $442.05(-0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $447.64(-2.14%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -79.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 19, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.07%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.99%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.2%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2022	449.91	447.64	442.05	440.73	442.06	444.56	438.06(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	26	50	46	-36	84.97	51%	-0.03	-18.1	1.32%	-2.5	-1.3	37	1.3
2	Apr_20_2022	450.04	448	442.9	441.78	441.43	443.64	444.76(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	143	30	186	14	64.86	51%	-0.02	-9.2	1.33%	0.8	-0.5	36	0.7
3	Apr_19_2022	450.15	448	443.43	440.45	440.21	439.56	445.04(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10	20	-70	76.39	50%	-0.04	0.7	1.34%	1.8	-0.5	34	0.8
4	Apr_18_2022	450.35	448.26	444.47	439.47	440.03	439.22	437.97(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-101	-10	-94	-122	65.59	47%	-0.05	14.4	1.33%	-1.5	-1.5	34	1
5	Apr_14_2022	450.57	448.66	445.96	441.39	441.19	440.86	437.83(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-58	-10	-46	-93	97.46	47%	-0.07	40.4	1.34%	-1.2	-1.7	39	1.5

6	Apr_13_2022	450.87	448.93	447.44	443.58	442.97	440.84	443.3(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-69	-40	-63	-88	73.65	45%	-0.06	59.3	1.34%	1.1	-0.8	45	1.5
7	Apr_12_2022	451.13	448.64	448.92	444.22	444.56	441.52	438.12(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-159	-50	-173	-116	84.05	45%	-0.07	56.6	1.34%	-1.8	-1.3	48	1
8	Apr_11_2022	451.43	448.23	451.28	446.81	445.95	445.1	440.12(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-149	-20	-168	-90	88.09	46%	-0.07	57	1.34%	-1.6	-0.8	44	0.1
9	Apr_8_2022	451.73	447.28	452.95	450.16	448.79	447.61	447.57(-0.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-9	-30	-12	1	78.46	48%	-0.05	58.2	1.32%	0.8	0	55	0.7
10	Apr_7_2022	451.96	446.04	453.53	451.23	450.48	446.81	448.79(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-122	-60	-149	-41	77.58	48%	-0.04	53.4	1.33%	0.4	0.2	56	1.3

11	Apr_6_2022	452.16	444.95	453.79	451.9	451.74	449.96	446.52(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-174	-30	-214	-54	106.34	48%	-0.05	49.7	1.33%	-1	0.1	57	1.1
12	Apr_5_2022	452.39	444.07	453.7	454.33	453.87	454.15	451.03(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-15	49	73.94	46%	-0.04	47.5	1.32%	-1.2	0.5	66	0.5
13	Apr_4_2022	452.56	442.43	453.62	456.43	455.29	453.51	456.91(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	-30	-35	75	58.63	46%	-0.02	45.6	1.33%	0.7	1	77	-0.1
14	Apr_1_2022	452.67	440.59	452.4	456.22	456.75	453.6	452.92(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-89	-40	-139	61	87.87	46%	-0.02	41.4	1.32%	-1.3	0.9	80	-0.5
15	Mar_31_2022	452.78	439.51	451.61	456.16	457.06	457.08	452.11(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-36	10	-84	108	120.2	46%	-0.03	40.9	1.33%	-1.9	0.9	76	-0.9

16	Mar_30_2022	452.9	438.63	450.6	455.84	456.14	459.9	458.7(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	195	60	182	232	79.33	47%	-0.02	44.1	1.32%	0.1	1.5	74	-0.7
17	Mar_29_2022	452.99	437.47	448.33	452.84	453.32	457.05	461.53(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	268	60	270	262	85.98	47%	-0.02	46.1	1.32%	1.8	1.9	74	-0.9
18	Mar_28_2022	453.07	435.79	444.84	450.44	449.59	452.37	455.84(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	163	40	146	213	68.3	47%	-0.03	46.1	1.31%	1.8	1.7	77	-1.5
19	Mar_25_2022	453.2	434.71	441.09	448.13	448.22	449.59	452.64(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	168	20	155	206	76.87	49%	-0.03	45.4	1.3%	1.2	1.7	72	-0.9
20	Mar_24_2022	453.34	433.83	437.89	446.47	446.39	446.8	450.48(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	10	44	143	64.1	49%	-0.03	44.6	1.31%	1.2	1.7	59	-0.7

21	Mar_23_2022	453.49	432.65	435.33	444.59	444.68	446.85	443.71(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	101	30	87	141	79.06	47%	-0.04	32.9	1.31%	-0.5	1.2	54	-0.8
22	Mar_22_2022	453.68	431.56	433.66	442.95	442.56	445.98	449.54(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	231	50	245	187	73.8	48%	-0.02	18.2	1.3%	1.5	1.9	55	-1
23	Mar_21_2022	453.79	430.46	430.3	438.28	438.43	442.51	444.3(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	244	70	272	158	87.96	50%	-0.03	-0.5	1.3%	0.7	1.6	58	-1.2
24	Mar_18_2022	453.94	429.86	427.74	432.82	433.13	439.13	444.31(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	272	100	320	128	104.87	49%	-0.03	-23.4	1.32%	1.7	1.8	53	0.2
25	Mar_17_2022	454.09	429.38	426.27	427.97	427.77	434.36	441.07(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	297	110	359	109	101.98	48%		-50.6	1.32%	1.4	1.6	50	-0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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