Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 12, 2022

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 10, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $471.0200 (0.27%) ($468.9400 - $473.2000) on Wed. Jan. 12, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $471.0200(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    DIA(94%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-46%)    UUP(-27%)    VXX(-11%)    TBT(-8%)    TLT(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $468.06(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $471.31(-0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $470.12(0.19%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -79.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 19, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2022	456.33	470.12	471.31	468.06	466.89	468.96	471.02(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	228	20	282	65	67.16	62%	0.05	1.5	0.85%	0.9	0.1	57	1
2	Jan_11_2022	456.09	469.76	471.9	467.53	466.1	464.68	469.75(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-68	-30	-70	-62	73.69	62%	0.05	-4.4	0.85%	1.4	-0	62	0.8
3	Jan_10_2022	455.86	469.62	472.6	469.09	467.66	464.82	465.51(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-257	-50	-304	-114	116.71	61%	0.05	8.1	0.86%	-0.6	-0.6	68	1
4	Jan_7_2022	455.63	469.9	473.82	471.53	471.52	467.52	466.09(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-212	-60	-265	-54	83.96	62%	0.06	31.1	0.86%	-0.8	-0.6	60	0.7
5	Jan_6_2022	455.36	469.95	474.4	473.31	473.89	470.51	467.94(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-292	-50	-365	-73	86.16	62%	0.07	46.3	0.86%	-1.3	-0.3	53	0.7

6	Jan_5_2022	455.06	470.04	474.52	474.95	475.76	475.53	468.38(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-105	0	-148	26	100.97	64%	0.05	67.9	0.86%	-3.2	-0.3	49	0.9
7	Jan_4_2022	454.81	470.05	474.18	476.77	476.82	477.28	477.55(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	99	10	85	140	68.24	65%	0.07	86.6	0.83%	1.2	1.2	63	1.4
8	Jan_3_2022	454.5	469.12	472.06	476.64	476.61	476	477.71(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-10	-30	78	71.76	65%	0.07	79.7	0.84%	0.7	1.3	59	1.4
9	Dec_31_2021	454.17	467.93	470.34	476.55	476.84	476.37	474.96(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	-10	-39	60	65.14	66%	0.07	71.1	0.85%	-0.9	1	53	1.3
10	Dec_30_2021	453.86	467.05	469.48	475.67	476.63	477.23	476.16(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	10	66	95	51.63	64%	0.07	59.5	0.86%	-0.2	1.3	58	1.4

11	Dec_29_2021	453.53	465.79	468.8	473.98	474.84	477.32	477.48(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	178	40	192	134	53.39	64%	0.08	39.6	0.87%	1.3	1.5	55	1.4
12	Dec_28_2021	453.17	464.68	467.34	471.1	471.83	476.03	476.87(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	329	70	379	179	47.04	60%	0.08	23.3	0.87%	0.9	1.6	56	1.4
13	Dec_27_2021	452.81	463.99	466.19	466.72	467.57	472.36	477.26(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	380	80	446	180	56.01	60%	0.1	4.1	0.91%	1.4	1.9	63	1.3
14	Dec_23_2021	452.34	463.02	465.36	463.28	462.4	467.64	470.6(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	293	70	345	135	55.57	60%	0.07	-18.9	0.91%	1.2	1.2	63	1.4
15	Dec_22_2021	452.02	462.82	464.86	462.5	460.15	462.77	467.69(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	233	20	273	112	57.04	61%	0.06	-23.3	0.91%	1.3	0.8	58	1.3

16	Dec_21_2021	451.75	462.78	464.97	463.03	461.16	457.15	463.06(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-53	-70	-71	3	68.52	60%	0.06	-21.5	0.91%	1	0	61	0.9
17	Dec_20_2021	451.49	462.98	465.48	463.09	462.67	457.54	454.98(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-427	-80	-517	-156	106.06	55%	0.04	-21.2	0.89%	-1	-1.3	52	0.5
18	Dec_17_2021	451.32	463.69	466.05	465.41	464.94	465.16	460.08(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-169	0	-217	-25	134.69	55%	0.04	-10.2	0.9%	-0.9	-0.6	47	0.8
19	Dec_16_2021	451.12	464.16	465.58	467.54	466.77	467.8	466.68(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	163	10	170	142	114.9	57%	0.06	4.6	0.9%	0.5	0.4	56	0.8
20	Dec_15_2021	450.84	464.2	464.68	467.47	466.8	464.73	470.35(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-42	-40	-67	35	115.97	58%	0.07	7.6	0.89%	1.6	1	50	1

21	Dec_14_2021	450.52	464.08	462.76	467.31	467.11	465.75	463.36(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-187	-20	-231	-54	95.63	56%	0.05	8.5	0.88%	-0.9	-0.1	46	0.8
22	Dec_13_2021	450.29	464.08	462.03	468.29	468.52	468.88	466.57(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	60	10	61	56	85.08	56%	0.06	11.5	0.88%	-0.2	0.4	48	0.8
23	Dec_10_2021	450.02	464.28	461.75	466.71	467.68	468.46	470.74(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	122	20	139	69	76.65	56%	0.08	3.1	0.87%	1.9	1.1	50	0.9
24	Dec_9_2021	449.66	463.9	461.75	463.24	464.66	468.16	466.35(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	151	60	186	44	59.58	55%	0.07	-15	0.87%	-2.3	0.4	46	0.3
25	Dec_8_2021	449.34	463.75	460.48	461.36	461.64	466.91	469.52(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	391	80	474	142	72.08	55%		-25.4	0.87%	0.9	1	50	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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