Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 29, 2021

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $434.4500 (0.12%) ($433.8500 - $437.0400) on Wed. Sep. 29, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $434.4500(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    DIA(94%)    QQQ(94%)    IVE(93%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-49%)    UUP(-26%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $444.34
5 Day Moving Average   $438.56(-0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $439.5(-1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $444.34(-2.23%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -79.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 19, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 47 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(49%) Average negative next day return: -1.33%(51%) Sample size 47 Average positive next three day return: 2.14%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.76%(47%) Sample size 47 Average positive next weekly return: 2.31%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.72%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2021	433.62	444.34	439.5	438.56	439.36	435.89	434.45(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-274	-50	-298	-202	81.96	51%	0.05	-41.6	0.69%	-0.4	-1.5	33	-1.1
2	Sep_28_2021	433.42	445.24	440.49	438.39	439.81	439.75	433.92(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-203	10	-209	-183	127.87	51%	0.04	-41.3	0.69%	-1.2	-1.8	32	-1.1
3	Sep_27_2021	433.25	446.1	441.78	438.42	439.47	442.83	442.64(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	260	60	341	16	61.07	56%	0.05	-38.8	0.64%	1.1	-0.6	36	1.3
4	Sep_24_2021	433.04	446.31	442.02	438.17	437.16	439.87	443.91(1.38%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	206	40	284	-27	62.09	56%	0.1	-35.8	0.64%	0	-0.4	37	1.8
5	Sep_22_2021	432.61	446.56	442.44	438.82	437.25	436.12	437.86(0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-35	-30	2	-144	101.39	53%	0.05	-26.9	0.62%	1.2	-1.5	30	-0.6

6	Sep_21_2021	432.38	447.11	443.72	440.82	439.7	434.45	433.63(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-432	-90	-471	-316	91.82	54%	0.03	-14.9	0.61%	-0.2	-2.5	22	-2.3
7	Sep_20_2021	432.23	447.87	445.55	442.93	442.4	438.39	434.04(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-609	-70	-686	-377	164.96	54%	0.04	-5.1	0.63%	-1.6	-3.1	22	-1.6
8	Sep_17_2021	432.06	448.45	447.53	445.44	445.49	444.95	441.4(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-160	-10	-168	-137	116.24	54%	0.05	11	0.63%	-1.6	-2.2	35	0.2
9	Sep_16_2021	431.84	448.46	448.73	446.25	446.46	446.41	447.17(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	0	9	-47	77.37	58%	0.07	10.4	0.61%	1.4	-0.4	54	1.3
10	Sep_15_2021	431.53	448.11	449.18	446.61	446.86	446.03	447.88(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-91	-10	-95	-78	76.43	58%	0.07	6.7	0.61%	2	-0.1	49	1.3

11	Sep_14_2021	431.22	447.94	449.55	447.22	447.9	446.51	444.17(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-147	-20	-165	-93	77.4	56%	0.06	12.1	0.61%	-1.7	-0.9	45	0.7
12	Sep_13_2021	430.95	448.11	450.4	448.67	449.06	447.7	446.58(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-173	-20	-203	-81	83.48	56%	0.07	28.1	0.6%	-1.2	-0.4	51	0.9
13	Sep_10_2021	430.65	448.09	450.81	449.97	450.28	449.29	445.44(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-128	-10	-159	-34	89.3	56%	0.08	41.6	0.6%	-2.3	-0.7	58	0.4
14	Sep_9_2021	430.31	448.11	451.01	451.52	451.34	450.42	448.98(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-80	-20	-113	20	56.58	58%	0.08	55.6	0.59%	-1.5	0.2	72	1
15	Sep_8_2021	429.97	447.86	451.04	452.09	452.06	451.27	450.91(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-67	-10	-106	51	56.04	58%	0.09	64.1	0.59%	-0.8	0.7	78	1.2

16	Sep_7_2021	429.58	447.46	450.78	452.22	452.47	452.26	451.46(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	-0	-49	86	51.41	58%	0.11	66.7	0.59%	-1	1	63	1.1
17	Sep_3_2021	429.09	446.99	450.38	452.37	452.43	452.85	453.08(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	10	28	122	46.99	61%	0.09	73.4	0.59%	1	1.4	59	1.6
18	Sep_2_2021	428.71	446.45	449.45	451.81	452.23	452.69	453.19(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	130	10	123	150	42.23	61%	0.1	76.9	0.59%	0.1	1.7	61	1.6
19	Sep_1_2021	428.29	445.86	448.16	450.42	451.14	452.02	451.8(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	20	87	109	48.7	61%	0.09	70.8	0.59%	-0.4	1.5	60	1.7
20	Aug_31_2021	427.9	445.22	446.94	449.84	449.94	451.77	451.56(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	163	30	174	129	58.49	61%	0.1	70.9	0.59%	-0.1	1.7	62	1.5

21	Aug_30_2021	427.49	444.68	446.15	449.12	449.14	450.26	452.23(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	211	20	233	146	47.71	61%	0.1	69.4	0.6%	1.2	2	65	1.5
22	Aug_27_2021	427.08	443.94	445.54	448.13	448.2	448.12	450.25(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	-0	52	72	77.14	61%	0.1	62.5	0.6%	1.4	1.8	64	1.4
23	Aug_26_2021	426.66	443.34	445.04	446.75	447.52	448.03	446.26(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	64	10	63	68	57.02	58%	0.09	54.8	0.59%	-2.2	0.9	58	0.9
24	Aug_25_2021	426.26	443.06	444.91	445.47	446.08	448.27	448.91(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	226	40	256	137	40.16	61%	0.1	51.4	0.58%	1.5	1.8	65	1.6
25	Aug_24_2021	425.83	442.54	444.36	443.53	443.52	447.01	447.97(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	310	60	359	163	37.48	63%		43.5	0.58%	0.8	1.8	68	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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