Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 2, 2021

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 17, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $437.5900 (-0.21%) ($437.2100 - $440.9300) on Mon. Aug. 2, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $437.5900(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    DIA(94%)    QQQ(94%)    IVE(93%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-50%)    UUP(-26%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-4%)    IGOV(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $438.91(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $437.78(-0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $435.65(0.45%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -79.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 19, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.63%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.42%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.46%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.04%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2021	418.2	435.65	437.78	438.91	439.29	438.8	437.59(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-31	-10	-55	41	58.52	59%	0.11	61.4	0.7%	-1.3	0.5	53	-0.3
2	Jul_30_2021	417.76	435.46	436.65	439.6	439.21	439.55	438.51(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	0	-35	36	68.77	59%	0.11	75.9	0.71%	-1	0.8	51	0.5
3	Jul_29_2021	417.3	435.06	435.96	439.88	439.61	439.78	440.65(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	88	0	90	82	46.74	59%	0.12	84.3	0.71%	1	1.4	56	0.7
4	Jul_28_2021	416.78	434.43	435.32	438.84	439.14	438.88	438.83(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-0	9	46	52.32	59%	0.13	83.3	0.71%	0.5	1.1	61	0.5
5	Jul_27_2021	416.25	433.89	435	437.99	438.11	439.44	438.97(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	20	71	66	63.48	59%	0.14	80.6	0.71%	-0.8	1.3	55	0.3

6	Jul_26_2021	415.67	433.31	434.61	436.41	436.73	439.41	441.02(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	286	50	329	157	43.59	59%	0.14	76.6	0.71%	1.1	1.9	59	0.4
7	Jul_23_2021	415.08	432.58	434.11	433.22	433.81	436.79	439.94(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	286	50	337	131	63.44	61%	0.15	73	0.71%	1.7	1.9	57	-0.2
8	Jul_22_2021	414.44	431.83	433.58	431.5	430.69	434.04	435.46(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	201	50	240	83	47.7	59%	0.14	65.9	0.71%	1.3	1	57	-0
9	Jul_21_2021	413.88	431.22	433.14	431.36	430.36	430.84	434.55(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	191	0	228	81	64.34	59%	0.12	59.8	0.72%	1.1	0.8	59	0.7
10	Jul_20_2021	413.4	430.67	433.1	431.7	430.68	427.34	431.06(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-226	-60	-267	-101	99.33	57%	0.1	57.3	0.72%	0.7	0.1	56	-0.5

11	Jul_19_2021	412.97	430.2	433.31	432.61	432.71	429.88	425.11(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-345	-50	-413	-140	147.33	54%	0.11	54.4	0.71%	-1.5	-1	50	-2.8
12	Jul_16_2021	412.52	429.8	434.27	435	435.22	434.02	431.34(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-106	-20	-144	9	75.48	58%	0.12	50.4	0.69%	-2.1	0.3	62	0.3
13	Jul_15_2021	412.02	429.36	434.25	435.84	435.88	435.53	434.75(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-22	-10	-52	68	54.85	63%	0.11	52.1	0.68%	-1.2	0.9	72	1
14	Jul_14_2021	411.58	428.73	433.64	435.07	435.68	436.43	436.24(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	101	20	92	128	63.92	63%	0.12	48.9	0.69%	-0.3	1.2	79	1.6
15	Jul_13_2021	411.08	428.12	432.81	434.71	433.96	436.23	435.59(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	132	30	126	149	52.13	63%	0.12	51.5	0.69%	-0.3	1.3	76	1.2

16	Jul_12_2021	410.59	427.57	432.01	434.18	433.3	434.94	437.08(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	263	20	278	217	51.22	63%	0.12	53.8	0.69%	1.2	1.7	82	1.2
17	Jul_9_2021	410.11	426.89	430.95	433.51	432.42	431.69	435.52(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	-20	21	132	74.72	63%	0.11	57.5	0.69%	1.3	1.7	86	1.1
18	Jul_8_2021	409.65	426.26	429.91	432.49	432.13	431.67	430.92(-0.81%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-58	-10	-104	80	97.36	61%	0.1	61.3	0.68%	-0.9	1	63	-0.1
19	Jul_7_2021	409.26	425.79	429.13	431.92	432.12	433.14	434.46(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	127	20	114	165	63.36	64%	0.11	60	0.68%	1.6	1.9	69	1
20	Jul_6_2021	408.83	425.15	427.99	430.57	430.66	432.59	432.93(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	171	30	171	172	68.15	64%	0.1	61	0.68%	0.8	1.8	62	0.9

21	Jul_2_2021	408.42	424.58	426.79	429.48	429.45	431.09	433.72(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	224	30	239	179	57.46	67%	0.11	64	0.69%	1.7	2.4	61	1.5
22	Jul_1_2021	407.98	423.98	424.94	428.05	428.08	428.74	430.43(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	107	10	111	96	53.19	68%	0.1	64.6	0.69%	2	1.9	59	1.7
23	Jun_30_2021	407.57	423.38	424.05	426.99	427.24	427.81	428.06(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	10	65	63	63.88	68%	0.1	62.5	0.69%	0.9	1.5	57	1.5
24	Jun_29_2021	407.18	422.99	423.42	425.9	426.55	427.43	427.7(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	101	20	111	70	35.88	68%	0.09	58	0.7%	0.8	1.6	60	1.4
25	Jun_28_2021	406.8	422.57	423.03	424.98	425.37	426.67	427.47(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	119	20	134	73	51.54	68%		53.8	0.7%	1.8	1.8	58	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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