Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2020

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $367.2400 (-0.17%) ($366.0300 - $368.3350) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $367.2400(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(96%)    IWF(96%)    DIA(93%)    QQQ(93%)    IWD(92%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-52%)    UUP(-28%)    VXX(-18%)    EDOC(-5%)    TBT(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV -0.1 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $369.34(-0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $368.14(-0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $367.16(0.02%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -42.7000 k (Fri. Dec. 18, 2020) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.74% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2020	346.68	367.16	368.14	369.34	369.32	367.9	367.24(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-57	-30	-69	-20	46.5	64%	0.11	105.4	1.09%	-0.1	0	52	-0.7
2	Dec_21_2020	346.29	366.73	368.42	369.81	369.96	368.96	367.86(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-20	-78	-14	94.54	62%	0.12	80.9	1.09%	-0.5	0.3	55	-1.6
3	Dec_18_2020	345.87	366.15	368.54	369.17	369.91	370.75	369.18(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	20	12	26	126.89	59%	0.13	60.5	1.1%	-1.5	0.7	65	1.2
4	Dec_17_2020	345.41	365.6	368.59	368.59	369.24	370.96	372.24(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	120	40	134	78	63.47	59%	0.14	57.7	1.12%	1.2	1.5	67	1.6
5	Dec_16_2020	344.94	364.81	368.01	367.49	367.58	369.07	370.17(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	90	30	99	61	58.16	59%	0.15	50	1.12%	1.5	1.2	66	1.5

6	Dec_15_2020	344.44	364.32	367.65	366.83	366.61	367.51	369.59(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	20	58	44	63.27	59%	0.13	54.5	1.13%	1.3	1.2	64	0.8
7	Dec_14_2020	343.98	363.95	367.29	366.94	366.75	366.1	364.66(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10	-1	34	68.48	59%	0.13	65.5	1.12%	-0.5	0.2	68	-0.6
8	Dec_11_2020	343.53	363.65	367.11	367.83	367.29	365.71	366.3(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-75	-30	-103	10	57.51	59%	0.13	78	1.12%	-0.3	0.6	75	0.3
9	Dec_10_2020	343.1	363.03	366.89	368.54	368.18	367.4	366.73(-0.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-53	-20	-82	34	55.77	56%	0.12	78.7	1.12%	-0.9	0.7	68	0.9
10	Dec_9_2020	342.69	362.53	366.53	368.53	368.79	368.88	366.85(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	0	9	78	73.1	58%	0.12	89.9	1.15%	-2	0.9	70	1

11	Dec_8_2020	342.27	361.91	366.19	368.52	368.31	368.96	370.17(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	10	37	94	41.91	54%	0.13	103.5	1.16%	1.8	1.6	65	1.6
12	Dec_7_2020	341.81	361.12	364.95	367.69	367.46	368.7	369.09(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	20	66	91	48.22	54%	0.14	125.7	1.22%	0.2	1.6	59	1.1
13	Dec_4_2020	341.33	360.18	363.62	366.28	366.77	367.66	369.85(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	102	20	105	93	50.24	54%	0.15	136.8	1.23%	1.4	1.9	66	1.2
14	Dec_3_2020	340.83	359.19	362.39	365.05	365.08	366.22	366.69(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	20	37	64	62.44	49%	0.13	153.9	1.23%	0.9	1.5	69	0.9
15	Dec_2_2020	340.38	358.07	361.35	364.24	364.28	365.87	366.79(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	30	95	78	45.18	51%	0.14	146.9	1.31%	0.8	1.5	62	1

16	Dec_1_2020	339.9	356.59	360.67	363.53	363.51	363.93	366.02(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	79	10	80	76	73.62	51%	0.15	115.6	1.32%	0.4	1.3	64	1
17	Nov_30_2020	339.38	354.88	360.24	361.81	362.41	362.68	362.06(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	10	17	48	81.96	51%	0.13	84.9	1.31%	0.3	0.8	60	1.1
18	Nov_27_2020	338.93	353.21	359.84	360.47	361.23	363.09	363.67(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	40	82	75	28.45	51%	0.21	59.3	1.31%	-3	1	67	1.1
19	Nov_25_2020	338.21	351.58	358.81	359.29	359.45	362.14	362.66(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	135	50	147	98	46.42	51%	0.15	43.3	1.3%	0.8	0.9	66	1.3
20	Nov_24_2020	337.72	349.84	358.19	358.01	357.91	359.38	363.22(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	114	30	120	94	61.98	51%	0.14	35.1	1.3%	1.7	1.1	73	1.1

21	Nov_23_2020	337.26	348.56	357.25	357.49	357.18	356.77	357.46(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10	-10	61	66.31	49%	0.06	33.1	1.29%	1.4	0.8	76	1.1
22	Nov_20_2020	337.05	347.65	356.98	358.52	357.96	356.44	355.33(-0.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-40	-30	-77	73	72.83	49%	0.13	35.6	1.29%	-0.8	0.7	78	1.2
23	Nov_19_2020	336.62	347.13	356.55	359.07	359.22	357.6	357.78(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-25	-30	-71	112	59.5	49%	0.14	37.1	1.29%	-0.7	0.9	83	1.3
24	Nov_18_2020	336.14	346.42	355.84	358.16	359.29	359.48	356.28(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	10	-26	151	70.24	49%	0.14	34.8	1.29%	-2.6	0.9	76	1.3
25	Nov_17_2020	335.66	345.69	354.68	358.23	358.13	360.84	360.62(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	128	50	95	228	66.07	49%		34	1.28%	0.5	1.4	83	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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