Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 27, 2018

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $268.4000 (0.34%) ($265.6600 - $268.4000) on Tue. Nov. 27, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $268.4000(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-24%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    DIA(-12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $271.38
5 Day Moving Average   $265.66(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $268.5(-0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $271.38(-1.1%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   224.3000 k (Mon. Nov. 26, 2018) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_27_2018	281.38	271.38	268.5	265.66			268.4(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-32	-10000	-1	-123	75.5	46%	-0.03	-16	1.04%	0	-0.6	41	0.6
2	Nov_26_2018	281.47	271.21	268.88	265.8			267.5(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-39	-10000	-9	-129	79.98	46%	-0.03	-24.5	1.04%	0	-0.7	43	0.4
3	Nov_23_2018	281.55	271.15	269.83	267.04			263.25(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-14	-109	42.81	44%	-0.04	-27.1	1.03%	0	-1.5	40	-0.7
4	Nov_21_2018	281.65	271.54	271.54	269			265.02(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-7	-72	75.56	44%	-0.02	-22.9	1.02%	0	-1.3	40	-0.4
5	Nov_20_2018	281.71	271.63	273.13	270.03			264.12(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-12	-43	136.02	44%	-0.03	-32.6	1.02%	0	-1.6	44	-1.1

6	Nov_19_2018	281.79	272.14	274.32	271.62			269.1(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-5	-8	103.06	46%	-0.01	-32.1	0.99%	0	-0.7	55	-0.2
7	Nov_16_2018	281.81	272.43	274.83	272.32			273.73(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-6	20	126.67	50%	0.01	-27	0.97%	0	0.3	67	0.5
8	Nov_15_2018	281.78	272.53	274.69	273.12			273.02(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-11	42	135.1	49%	0.01	-21.8	0.98%	0	0.1	63	-0.2
9	Nov_14_2018	281.75	272.68	274.77	274.62			270.2(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-16	68	125.34	48%	-0	-8	0.97%	0	-0.5	52	-0.5
10	Nov_13_2018	281.76	273.16	274.91	276.78			272.06(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	25	-10000	-5	113	98.18	48%	0	6	0.97%	0	-0.2	60	-0.2

11	Nov_12_2018	281.75	273.55	274.59	277.39			272.57(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	28	-10000	-1	113	99.67	48%	-0.01	3.3	0.97%	0	-0.2	49	-0.2
12	Nov_9_2018	281.77	273.64	273.84	277.56			277.76(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	9	101	98.81	50%	0.01	-7.7	0.95%	0	0.8	52	0.8
13	Nov_8_2018	281.74	273.51	272.63	276.38			280.5(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	11	66	65.58	52%	0.02	-25.4	0.94%	0	1.4	53	0.8
14	Nov_7_2018	281.69	273.06	271.51	274.98			281.01(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	16	37	102.75	52%	0.02	-50	0.94%	0	1.7	53	0.9
15	Nov_6_2018	281.63	272.85	269.88	272.91			275.12(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	12	-25	60.09	48%	-0.01	-66	0.91%	0	0.4	41	0.1

16	Nov_5_2018	281.65	273.38	269.63	271.44			273.39(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	16	-60	65.62	48%	-0.01	-67.5	0.9%	0	0	39	-0.3
17	Nov_2_2018	281.69	274.03	269.69	269.53			271.89(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	11	-88	122.63	48%	-0.02	-72.4	0.9%	0	-0.3	47	-0.5
18	Nov_1_2018	281.76	274.77	270.03	268.22			273.51(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-23	-10000	6	-108	99.5	48%	-0.01	-73.5	0.9%	0	-0.2	47	-0.5
19	Oct_31_2018	281.8	275.5	270.22	267.53			270.63(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	9	-111	128.3	46%	-0.03	-70.7	0.89%	0	-0.6	49	-0.8
20	Oct_30_2018	281.89	276.5	271.1	266.47			267.77(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-41	-10000	-10	-132	157.12	44%	-0.04	-70.2	0.88%	0	-1	39	-1.1

21	Oct_29_2018	281.99	277.67	272.32	267.64			263.86(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-10000	-19	-140	160.75	41%	-0.05	-65.4	0.86%	0	-1.6	28	-1.6
22	Oct_26_2018	282.14	279.07	273.46	269.87			265.33(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-10000	-19	-141	201.57	40%	-0.04	-61	0.86%	0	-1.6	29	-1.8
23	Oct_25_2018	282.26	280.37	274.6	272.05			270.08(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-11	-139	138.06	45%	-0.02	-58.3	0.84%	0	-1.3	31	-1.6
24	Oct_24_2018	282.33	281.41	274.9	273.32			265.32(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-64	-10000	-27	-175	177.81	40%	-0.04	-57.7	0.81%	0	-2	23	-1.9
25	Oct_23_2018	282.43	282.69	276.28	276.34			273.61(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-10000	-13	-177	146.35	46%		-53.8	0.73%	0	-1.3	26	-1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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