Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $245.4400 (1.05%) ($243.5500 - $245.6200) on Tue. Aug. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $245.4400(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $246.02
5 Day Moving Average   $244.22(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $244.88(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $246.02(-0.24%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   150.2000 k (Fri. Aug. 18, 2017) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2017	241.8	246.02	244.88	244.22			245.44(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-24	-10000	-4	-82	63.14	53%	0.04	-45.6	0.48%	0	-0.3	43	0
2	Aug_21_2017	241.7	246.11	245.04	244.43			242.9(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-10000	-13	-85	65.47	49%	0.03	-36.8	0.46%	0	-1.9	34	0
3	Aug_18_2017	241.62	246.33	245.53	245.16			242.71(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-18	-10000	-5	-56	136.75	51%	0.02	-24.6	0.47%	0	-2.4	37	0
4	Aug_17_2017	241.56	246.55	246.02	245.44			243.09(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-13	-10000	-2	-44	128.49	46%	0.03	-17.6	0.47%	0	-2.7	37	0
5	Aug_16_2017	241.48	246.55	246.43	245.57			246.94(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-11	-10000	-1	-42	56.72	51%	0.05	-7.5	0.48%	0	0.2	48	0

6	Aug_15_2017	241.36	246.77	246.47	245.64			246.51(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-13	-10000	-3	-41	55.24	53%	0.05	7.3	0.48%	0	-0.3	45	0
7	Aug_14_2017	241.23	246.74	246.54	245.79			246.54(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-13	-10000	-4	-38	73.29	53%	0.05	26.2	0.49%	0	-0.2	45	0
8	Aug_11_2017	241.1	246.69	246.56	246.05			244.12(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-17	-10000	-11	-36	74.87	49%	0.04	46.5	0.47%	0	-2.4	35	0
9	Aug_10_2017	241	246.79	246.87	246.71			243.76(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-13	-10000	-11	-17	120.48	49%	0.04	81	0.47%	0	-2.9	32	0
10	Aug_9_2017	240.9	246.85	247.25	247.35			247.25(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-1	6	62.63	55%	0.06	119.5	0.44%	0	0.4	52	0

11	Aug_8_2017	240.76	246.7	247.26	247.39			247.26(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	0	10	61.72	55%	0.04	92.9	0.44%	0	0.4	53	0
12	Aug_7_2017	240.66	246.47	247.28	247.4			247.87(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	4	21	32	55%	0.05	81.5	0.44%	0	0.9	73	0
13	Aug_4_2017	240.55	246.2	247.17	247.18			247.41(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	20	60.19	55%	0.04	71.2	0.44%	0	0.7	71	0
14	Aug_3_2017	240.46	245.95	247.12	247.08			246.96(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-1	23	40.86	55%	0.04	62.4	0.44%	0	0.5	69	0
15	Aug_2_2017	240.37	245.65	247.13	247.08			247.44(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	10	-10000	0	38	47.21	55%	0.04	55.7	0.44%	0	0.8	82	0

16	Aug_1_2017	240.27	245.42	247.09	247.13			247.32(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	14	-10000	-0	55	55.05	55%	0.04	59.1	0.44%	0	0.9	83	0
17	Jul_31_2017	240.17	245.17	246.93	247.15			246.77(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	0	74	65.84	55%	0.04	56.7	0.44%	0	0.7	87	0
18	Jul_28_2017	240.08	244.93	246.82	247.16			246.91(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	0	91	50.09	55%	0.05	52.7	0.44%	0	0.9	86	0
19	Jul_27_2017	239.97	244.66	246.7	247.15			247.2(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	28	-10000	0	112	70.77	55%	0.04	49.5	0.44%	0	1.1	90	0
20	Jul_26_2017	239.87	244.46	246.44	247.13			247.43(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	35	-10000	2	133	47.58	55%	0.05	52.2	0.44%	0	1.3	94	0

21	Jul_25_2017	239.76	244.16	246.11	247.04			247.42(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	6	141	54.92	57%	0.04	49.5	0.44%	0	1.5	71	0
22	Jul_24_2017	239.66	243.93	245.6	246.69			246.82(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	5	134	46.62	60%	0.04	44.2	0.44%	0	1.4	72	0
23	Jul_21_2017	239.57	243.74	245.17	246.43			246.88(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	5	126	88.71	60%	0.03	45.7	0.46%	0	1.6	73	0
24	Jul_20_2017	239.49	243.52	244.7	246.17			247.1(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	-10000	10	127	47.14	62%	0.03	42.1	0.46%	0	1.9	76	0
25	Jul_19_2017	239.41	243.29	244.06	245.63			246.99(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	10	97	51.03	62%		35.8	0.47%	0	2.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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