Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $227.0500 (0.23%) ($226.6900 - $227.4000) on Fri. Jan. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $227.0500(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $226.72(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $226.3(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $225.93(0.5%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.1
One Month Target Price   > $227.05
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $221.15

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   21.4000 k (Fri. Jan. 13, 2017) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.7% away from the target price of 227.05.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.44% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2017	218.59	225.93	226.3	226.72			227.05(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	-0	39	62.72	70%	0.05	13.6	0.52%	0	1.1	58	0
2	Jan_12_2017	218.49	225.87	226.04	226.75			226.53(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	0	35	72.11	70%	0.04	20.9	0.52%	0	0.7	53	0
3	Jan_11_2017	218.4	225.92	225.84	226.73			227.1(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	2	26	74.65	64%	0.04	50	0.52%	0	1.2	52	0
4	Jan_10_2017	218.32	225.87	225.73	226.62			226.46(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	4	27	63.77	64%	0.04	66.7	0.55%	0	0.6	54	0
5	Jan_9_2017	218.24	225.86	225.65	226.38			226.46(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	9	25	46.94	64%	0.04	91.1	0.55%	0	0.6	57	0

6	Jan_6_2017	218.16	225.8	225.53	225.79			227.21(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	9	4	71.56	64%	0.04	102.2	0.55%	0	1.4	50	0
7	Jan_5_2017	218.07	225.66	225.37	225.22			226.4(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	7	-14	78.38	64%	0.04	109.3	0.55%	0	0.8	51	0
8	Jan_4_2017	217.99	225.45	225.34	224.82			226.58(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-8	-10000	1	-33	78.74	64%	0.04	102.3	0.55%	0	1.1	44	0
9	Jan_3_2017	217.9	225.18	225.22	224.76			225.24(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-1	-40	91.37	62%	0.03	79.3	0.55%	0	0	46	0
10	Dec_30_2016	217.84	224.93	225.21	224.85			223.53(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-6	-46	109	62%	0.02	50	0.55%	0	-0.7	39	0

11	Dec_29_2016	217.79	224.77	225.54	225.22			224.35(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-5	-29	48.7	58%	0.03	46.5	0.55%	0	-0.2	49	0
12	Dec_28_2016	217.72	224.6	225.7	225.51			224.4(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-6	-16	64.1	58%	0.03	45.5	0.57%	0	-0.1	51	0
13	Dec_27_2016	217.66	224.44	225.7	225.91			226.27(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	3	23	42.67	62%	0.04	50.4	0.56%	0	0.7	68	0
14	Dec_23_2016	217.58	224.16	226.03	225.76			225.71(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	2	41	36.7	58%	0.04	50.4	0.57%	0	0.6	68	0
15	Dec_22_2016	217.49	223.96	226.11	225.62			225.38(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-5	64	56.22	58%	0.04	53.7	0.57%	0	0.5	71	0

16	Dec_21_2016	217.4	223.73	226.1	225.91			225.77(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	-0	98	67.91	61%	0.05	61	0.58%	0	0.7	73	0
17	Dec_20_2016	217.29	223.47	226.01	225.93			226.4(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	26	-10000	-4	115	89.84	61%	0.04	65.3	0.59%	0	1.1	71	0
18	Dec_19_2016	217.2	223.16	225.57	226.2			225.53(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-10000	-2	129	90.34	61%	0.04	74.2	0.59%	0	0.9	66	0
19	Dec_16_2016	217.11	222.82	225.16	226.35			225.04(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	32	-10000	-4	138	156.42	58%	0.04	77.5	0.59%	0	0.8	67	0
20	Dec_15_2016	217.03	222.52	224.68	226.64			226.81(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	5	144	124.97	63%	0.05	83.2	0.59%	0	1.5	68	0

21	Dec_14_2016	216.92	222.07	223.98	226.31			225.88(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	4	133	142.5	63%	0.04	83.8	0.6%	0	1.3	68	0
22	Dec_13_2016	216.83	221.69	223.44	226.05			227.76(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	18	135	110.48	61%	0.05	89.9	0.59%	0	2.1	77	0
23	Dec_12_2016	216.72	221.12	222.72	224.84			226.25(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	15	105	102.02	63%	0.04	90.8	0.61%	0	1.9	75	0
24	Dec_9_2016	216.63	220.62	222.12	223.79			226.51(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	36	-10000	19	87	88.01	55%	0.05	98.3	0.64%	0	2.3	80	0
25	Dec_8_2016	216.53	220.12	221.57	222.43			225.15(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	15	59	99.71	55%		111.8	0.7%	0	2.2	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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