Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $214.1700 (-0.34%) ($213.9800 - $214.9800) on Tue. Oct. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $214.1700(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $214.52
5 Day Moving Average   $214.24(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $213.74(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $214.52(-0.16%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   23.0000 k (Fri. Oct. 21, 2016) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.54% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2016	214.34	214.52	213.74	214.24			214.17(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	1	-18	66.54	43%	0.01	-31.5	0.59%	0	-0.3	42	0
2	Oct_24_2016	214.31	214.58	213.67	214.15			214.89(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	8	-23	60.15	43%	0.02	-25.9	0.59%	0	0.3	50	0
3	Oct_21_2016	214.27	214.55	213.75	213.65			213.98(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	3	-37	89.09	43%	0.01	-33.9	0.59%	0	-0.5	41	0
4	Oct_20_2016	214.24	214.65	213.84	213.47			213.88(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	3	-49	73.64	43%	0.02	-26.2	0.59%	0	-0.6	39	0
5	Oct_19_2016	214.2	214.8	214.01	213.3			214.28(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	2	-49	66.52	43%	0.02	-23	0.6%	0	-0.4	49	0

6	Oct_18_2016	214.16	214.8	214.13	213.19			213.71(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	1	-59	76.87	43%	0	-16.1	0.59%	0	-0.9	39	0
7	Oct_17_2016	214.16	214.88	214.23	213.13			212.38(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-12	-71	58.28	40%	0.01	-17.7	0.59%	0	-1.9	40	0
8	Oct_14_2016	214.14	214.96	214.58	213.89			213.12(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-6	-43	93.35	40%	0.02	-11.9	0.59%	0	-1.4	48	0
9	Oct_13_2016	214.1	214.99	214.9	214.27			213.01(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-9	-33	101.36	40%	0.02	-3.6	0.59%	0	-1.6	42	0
10	Oct_12_2016	214.06	215.11	215.09	214.82			213.71(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-6	-29	73.87	40%	0.03	-1.8	0.59%	0	-1.2	40	0

11	Oct_11_2016	214	215.1	215.39	215.21			213.43(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-4	-15	130.37	40%	0.04	-15.8	0.6%	0	-1.4	44	0
12	Oct_10_2016	213.92	215.1	215.62	215.46			216.16(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1	-10000	1	2	51.86	44%	0.05	-32.1	0.58%	0	0.9	59	0
13	Oct_7_2016	213.81	215.11	215.44	215.38			215.04(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-4	2	89.79	51%	0.05	-39.7	0.6%	0	-0.1	56	0
14	Oct_6_2016	213.7	215.03	215.53	215.63			215.78(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	3	22	62.93	51%	0.05	-43.3	0.6%	0	0.5	59	0
15	Oct_5_2016	213.59	215.14	215.65	215.41			215.63(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-3	22	72.82	51%	0.05	-37.2	0.61%	0	0.3	51	0

16	Oct_4_2016	213.48	215.29	215.67	215.62			214.68(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-3	39	119.95	51%	0.04	-29.1	0.61%	0	-0.3	55	0
17	Oct_3_2016	213.4	215.49	215.58	215.79			215.78(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	5	49	83.51	51%	0.05	-25.3	0.61%	0	0.2	58	0
18	Sep_30_2016	213.29	215.6	215.36	215.49			216.3(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	1	28	117.2	55%	0.05	-26.1	0.61%	0	0.4	49	0
19	Sep_29_2016	213.19	215.64	215.08	215.42			214.68(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-7	24	128.07	58%	0.04	-26.9	0.63%	0	-0.5	54	0
20	Sep_28_2016	213.1	215.77	215.14	215.92			216.64(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	2	27	87.41	66%	0.04	-21.3	0.65%	0	0.4	45	0

21	Sep_27_2016	213.02	215.83	214.79	215.76			215.57(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	6	2	78.49	60%	0.05	-25	0.68%	0	-0.1	42	0
22	Sep_26_2016	212.92	215.96	214.56	215.33			214.24(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-6	-10000	2	-30	89.83	60%	0.04	-31	0.71%	0	-0.8	39	0
23	Sep_23_2016	212.83	216.11	214.75	215.16			215.99(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	6	-33	73.63	54%	0.05	-36.7	0.84%	0	-0.1	44	0
24	Sep_22_2016	212.72	216.19	214.48	214.64			217.18(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-11	-10000	4	-56	76.68	54%	0.06	-45.5	0.85%	0	0.5	48	0
25	Sep_21_2016	212.6	216.21	214.54	214.26			215.82(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	6	-60	110.28	54%		-52	0.85%	0	-0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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