Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $214.6800 (-0.51%) ($213.9900 - $216.1700) on Tue. Oct. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $214.6800(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $215.29
5 Day Moving Average   $215.62(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $215.67(-0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $215.29(-0.28%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   60.1000 k (Fri. Sep. 30, 2016) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2016	213.48	215.29	215.67	215.62			214.68(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-3	39	119.95	51%	0.04	-29.1	0.61%	0	-0.3	55	0
2	Oct_3_2016	213.4	215.49	215.58	215.79			215.78(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	5	49	83.51	51%	0.05	-25.3	0.61%	0	0.2	58	0
3	Sep_30_2016	213.29	215.6	215.36	215.49			216.3(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	1	28	117.2	55%	0.05	-26.1	0.61%	0	0.4	49	0
4	Sep_29_2016	213.19	215.64	215.08	215.42			214.68(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-7	24	128.07	58%	0.04	-26.9	0.63%	0	-0.5	54	0
5	Sep_28_2016	213.1	215.77	215.14	215.92			216.64(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	2	27	87.41	66%	0.04	-21.3	0.65%	0	0.4	45	0

6	Sep_27_2016	213.02	215.83	214.79	215.76			215.57(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	6	2	78.49	60%	0.05	-25	0.68%	0	-0.1	42	0
7	Sep_26_2016	212.92	215.96	214.56	215.33			214.24(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-6	-10000	2	-30	89.83	60%	0.04	-31	0.71%	0	-0.8	39	0
8	Sep_23_2016	212.83	216.11	214.75	215.16			215.99(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	6	-33	73.63	54%	0.05	-36.7	0.84%	0	-0.1	44	0
9	Sep_22_2016	212.72	216.19	214.48	214.64			217.18(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-11	-10000	4	-56	76.68	54%	0.06	-45.5	0.85%	0	0.5	48	0
10	Sep_21_2016	212.6	216.21	214.54	214.26			215.82(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	6	-60	110.28	54%	0.05	-52	0.85%	0	-0.2	46	0

11	Sep_20_2016	212.5	216.36	214.8	213.73			213.42(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-10000	0	-71	69.67	53%	0.03	-54.8	0.84%	0	-1.3	38	0
12	Sep_19_2016	212.44	216.62	215.34	213.69			213.41(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-6	-73	80.25	53%	0.03	-59	0.85%	0	-1.5	37	0
13	Sep_16_2016	212.37	216.89	215.83	214.27			213.37(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	0	-59	155.24	51%	0.03	-54.7	0.85%	0	-1.7	41	0
14	Sep_15_2016	212.31	217.17	216.25	214.26			215.28(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-10000	-7	-64	145.74	53%	0.03	-59.1	0.85%	0	-1	44	0
15	Sep_14_2016	212.25	217.33	216.46	214.9			213.15(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-13	-57	134.19	51%	0.02	-49.4	0.84%	0	-2.2	37	0

16	Sep_13_2016	212.21	217.59	216.98	216.07			213.23(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-20	-10000	-13	-40	182.83	49%	0.02	-39.2	0.84%	0	-2.7	34	0
17	Sep_12_2016	212.16	217.9	217.52	217.23			216.34(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-5	-17	168.11	53%	0.04	-20.3	0.82%	0	-1.2	43	0
18	Sep_9_2016	212.08	218.02	217.64	217.64			213.28(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.6	-11	-10000	-9	-15	221.59	47%	0.02	-12.5	0.81%	0	-3.9	29	0
19	Sep_8_2016	212.04	218.31	218.13	218.46			218.51(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	1	74.1	53%	0.04	30.8	0.76%	0	0.4	46	0
20	Sep_7_2016	211.95	218.27	218.06	218.24			219.01(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	3	-5	76.55	53%	0.04	34.6	0.76%	0	1.3	54	0

21	Sep_6_2016	211.86	218.22	218.04	218.03			219.03(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	0	-10000	2	-6	56.7	53%	0.07	48	0.76%	0	1.5	57	0
22	Sep_2_2016	211.72	218.17	217.97	217.9			218.37(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	3	-11	79.29	53%	0.05	52.2	0.75%	0	0.4	44	0
23	Sep_1_2016	211.62	218.16	217.98	217.68			217.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	-10000	-1	-16	97.84	53%	0.05	41.4	0.75%	0	-1.2	43	0
24	Aug_31_2016	211.52	218.12	218.12	217.75			217.38(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-1	-15	85.27	53%	0.05	35.3	0.75%	0	-1	42	0
25	Aug_30_2016	211.41	218.08	218.23	217.84			218(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-2	-11	58.11	53%		31.7	0.75%	0	-0.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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